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Arnaud Maurel

Professor of Economics
Economics
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708
225 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097

Selected Publications


Partially Linear Models under Data Combination

Journal Article Review of Economic Studies · January 1, 2025 We study partially linear models when the outcome of interest and some of the covariates are observed in two different datasets that cannot be linked. This type of data combination problem arises very frequently in empirical microeconomics. Using recent to ... Full text Cite

Changes across cohorts in wage returns to schooling and early work experiences

Journal Article Journal of Labor Economics · October 1, 2021 Featured Publication This paper investigates the wage returns to schooling and actual early work experiences and how these returns have changed over the past 20 years. Using the NLSY surveys, we develop and estimate a dynamic model of the joint schooling and work decisions tha ... Full text Cite

Rationalizing rational expectations: Characterizations and tests

Journal Article Quantitative Economics · July 2021 Featured Publication In this paper, we build a new test of rational expectations based on the marginal distributions of realizations and subjective beliefs. This test is widely applicable, including in the common situation where realizations and beliefs are observed in ... Full text Cite

Introduction to the special issue on advances in structural microeconometrics

Journal Article Annals of Economics and Statistics · June 1, 2021 Featured Publication Full text Open Access Cite

Estimating the Value of Higher Education Financial Aid: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Journal Article Journal of Labor Economics · February 19, 2021 Featured Publication Using data from a Canadian field experiment on financial barriers to higher education, we estimate the distribution of the value of financial aid for prospective students. We find that a considerable share of prospective students perceive significant credi ... Full text Link to item Cite

Ex ante returns and occupational choice

Journal Article Journal of Political Economy · December 1, 2020 Featured Publication Using data from Duke University undergraduates, we make three main contributions to the literature. First, we show that data on earnings beliefs and probabilities of choosing particular occupations are highly informative of future earnings and occupations. ... Full text Cite

Estimating selection models without an instrument with Stata

Journal Article Stata Journal · June 1, 2020 Featured Publication In this article, we present the eqregsel command, which estimates and provides bootstrap inference for sample-selection models via extremal quantile regression. eqregsel estimates a semiparametric sample-selection model without an instrument or a large sup ... Full text Cite

Estimating Selection Models Without Instrument with Stata

Journal Article IZA Discussion Paper · July 2019 Cite

Estimating the Value of Higher Education Financial Aid: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Scholarly Edition · June 1, 2016 Using data from a Canadian field experiment designed to elicit risk and time preferences and quantify financial barriers to higher education, we estimate the distribution of the value of financial aid for prospective students, and relate it to parental soc ... Open Access Cite

College Attrition and the Dynamics of Information Revelation

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · May 31, 2016 This paper investigates the role played by informational frictions in college and the workplace. We estimate a dynamic structural model of schooling and work decisions, where individuals have imperfect information about their schooling ability and labor ma ... Open Access Cite

The Analysis of Field Choice in College and Graduate School. Determinants and Wage Effects

Chapter · January 1, 2016 As the workforce has become more educated, educational decisions are about what type of education to pursue as well as how much to pursue. In college, individuals somewhat specialize through their choice of college major. Further specialization occurs in g ... Full text Cite

The Analysis of Field Choice in College and Graduate School: Determinants and Wage Effects

Journal Article In Handbook of the Economics of Education · 2016 Cite

Quels sont les déterminants des choix d'orientation dans l'enseignement supérieur?

Journal Article Reflets Et Perspectives De La Vie Economique · January 1, 2015 Students who enroll in post-secondary education have to make a number of choices, such as which type of college or which major to attend, with important implications regarding their future earnings and career prospects. It is crucial, especially from a pol ... Full text Cite

Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations Using Subjective Expectations Data

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper · October 1, 2014 We show that data on subjective expectations, especially on outcomes from counterfactual choices and choice probabilities, are a powerful tool in recovering ex ante treatment effects as well as preferences for different treatments. In this paper we focus o ... Cite

Extremal Quantile Regressions for Selection Models and the Black-White Wage Gap

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · June 1, 2014 We consider the estimation of a semiparametric location-scale model subject to endogenous selection, in the absence of an instrument or a large support regressor. Identification relies on the independence between the covariates and selection, for arbitrari ... Open Access Cite

The Career Prospects of Overeducated Americans

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · May 1, 2014 In this paper we analyze career dynamics for the large share of U.S. workers who have more schooling than their peers in the same occupation. We use data from the NLSY79 combined with the CPS to analyze transitions into and out of overeducated employment, ... Open Access Cite

Another look at the identification at infinity of sample selection models

Journal Article Econometric Theory · 2013 It is often believed that without instruments, endogenous sample selection models are identified only if a covariate with a large support is available (see, e.g., Chamberlain, 1986, Journal of Econometrics 32, 189-218; Lewbel, 2007, Journal of Econometrics ... Full text Cite

Inference on an extended Roy model, with an application to schooling decisions in France

Journal Article Journal of Econometrics · 2013 Featured Publication This paper considers the identification and estimation of an extension of Roy's model (1951) of sectoral choice, which includes a non-pecuniary component in the selection equation and allows for uncertainty on potential earnings. We focus on the identifica ... Full text Cite

The Effect of Employment while in High School on Educational Attainment: A Conditional Difference-in-Differences Approach

Journal Article Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · June 1, 2012 Using American panel data from the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988, this article investigates the effect of working during grade 12 on attainment. We employ, for the first time in the related literature, a semiparametric propensity score matc ... Full text Cite

Choosing the field of study in postsecondary education: Do expected earnings matter?

Journal Article Review of Economics and Statistics · 2012 Featured Publication This paper examines the determinants of the choice of the college major when the length of studies and future earnings are uncertain. We estimate a three-stage schooling decision model, focusing on the effect of expected earnings on major choice. We contro ... Full text Cite