David Siegel
Professor of Political Science
David A Siegel (Stanford Ph.D., 2006) is Professor of Political Science and Public Policy. His research addresses the theoretical determinants of collective action in the contexts of political violence and terrorism, elections, and opinion and identity formation. He has published in journals such as the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, and Journal of Politics, and is the coauthor of A Behavioral Theory of Elections and A Mathematics Course for Political and Social Research, both from Princeton University Press. Prior to coming to Duke, he was on faculty at Florida State University.
Current Appointments & Affiliations
- Professor of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2019
- Associate Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2017
- Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2019
Contact Information
- 140 Science Drive, 293 Gross Hall, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
- Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
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david.siegel@duke.edu
(919) 660-4300
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CV
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www.davesiegel.com
- Background
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Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., Stanford University 2006
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Previous Appointments & Affiliations
- Associate Professor of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2013 - 2019
- Associate Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2017 - 2019
- Recognition
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In the News
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NOV 8, 2016 The Hill -
SEP 12, 2016 WUNC -
JUN 17, 2016 The News & Observer -
JUN 17, 2016 The Hill -
JUN 17, 2016 The Hill -
JUN 17, 2016 the News & Observer -
JUN 16, 2016 The Hill -
JUN 16, 2016 The Hill -
MAR 28, 2016 News & Observer -
MAR 28, 2016 the News & Observer -
JAN 21, 2016 -
DEC 14, 2015 -
DEC 9, 2015 France 24, AFP -
NOV 18, 2015 The Detroit Free Press -
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NOV 17, 2015 Detroit Free Press -
APR 30, 2015 The Hill -
FEB 27, 2015 The Washington Post -
FEB 5, 2015 The Hill -
JAN 12, 2015 The Hill -
JAN 12, 2015 WNCN
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Awards & Honors
- Expertise
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Subject Headings
- Research
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Selected Grants
- Theory-Based Measurement of Varieties of Power Using a Novel Semi-supervised IRT Model awarded by National Science Foundation 2022 - 2023
- Ralph Bunche Summer Institute-2019 awarded by National Science Foundation 2019 - 2023
- Collaborative Research: Decreasing Actions: Integrating Theory and Data to Assess Government Policy Options awarded by National Science Foundation 2018 - 2021
- Workshop: Behavioral Models of Politics awarded by National Science Foundation 2017 - 2018
- COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH WORKSHOP: Behavioral Models of Politics awarded by National Science Foundation 2015 - 2016
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External Relationships
- Princeton University Press
- Publications & Artistic Works
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Selected Publications
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Books
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Moore, Will H., and David A. Siegel. A Mathematics Course for Political and Social Research. Princeton University Press, 2013.
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Bendor, J., D. Diermeier, D. A. Siegel, and M. M. Ting. A behavioral theory of elections, 2011.
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Bendor, J., D. Diermeier, D. A. Siegel, and M. M. Ting. A behavioral theory of elections, 2011.
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Academic Articles
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Wirtz, J. J., D. A. Siegel, J. N. Shapiro, A. Zegart, and L. K. Johnson. “INS special forum on David Sherman’s ‘An Intelligence Classic That Almost Never Was–Roberta Wohlstetter’s Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision.” Intelligence and National Security 37, no. 3 (January 1, 2022): 346–58. https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2021.2015852.Full Text
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Datta, A. C., and D. A. Siegel. “Inclusive and Non-Inclusive Networks.” Ps Political Science and Politics, January 1, 2021, 7–9. https://doi.org/10.1017/S104909652100007X.Full Text
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Crabtree, C., H. L. Kern, and D. A. Siegel. “Cults of personality, preference falsification, and the dictator’s dilemma.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 32, no. 3 (July 1, 2020): 409–34. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629820927790.Full Text
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Beardsley, K., H. Liu, P. J. Mucha, D. A. Siegel, and J. F. Tellez. “Hierarchy and the provision of order in international politics.” Journal of Politics 82, no. 2 (April 1, 2020): 731–46. https://doi.org/10.1086/707096.Full Text
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Mele, C. S., and D. A. Siegel. “Identifiability, state repression, and the onset of ethnic conflict.” Public Choice 181, no. 3–4 (December 1, 2019): 399–422. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-019-00664-w.Full Text
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Foster, M. J., and D. A. Siegel. “Pink Slips from the Underground: Changes in Terror Leadership.” International Studies Quarterly 63, no. 2 (June 1, 2019): 231–43. https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqz017.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A. “Analyzing Computational Models.” American Journal of Political Science 62, no. 3 (July 1, 2018): 745–59. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12364.Full Text
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Mele, C. S., and D. A. Siegel. “Identity, repression, and the threat of ethnic conflict in a strong state.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 29, no. 4 (October 1, 2017): 578–98. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629817710562.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A., and J. Shapiro. “Coordination and Security: How Mobile Communications Affect Insurgency (Accepted).” Journal of Peace Research, 2015.
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Siegel, D. A. “Evaluating a Stochastic Model of Government Formation.” Journal of Politics 76, no. 4 (2014): 880–86.
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Gaskins, Ben, Matt Golder, and David A. Siegel. “Religious Participation, Social Conservatism, and Human Development.” The Journal of Politics 75, no. 04 (October 2013): 1125–41. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381613000765.Full Text
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Gaskins, B., M. Golder, and D. A. Siegel. “Religious Participation and Economic Conservatism.” American Journal of Political Science 57, no. 4 (January 1, 2013): 823–40. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12024.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A. “Social networks and the mass media.” American Political Science Review 107, no. 4 (January 1, 2013): 786–805. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055413000452.Full Text
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Siegel, David A. “Will you accept the government's friend request? Social networks and privacy concerns.” Plos One 8, no. 11 (January 2013): e80682. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0080682.Full Text
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Siegel, David A. “Voter Turnout: A Social Theory of Political Participation. By Meredith Rolfe.” The Journal of Politics 75 (2013).
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Golder, M., S. N. Golder, and D. A. Siegel. “Modeling the institutional foundation of parliamentary government formation.” Journal of Politics 74, no. 2 (April 1, 2012): 427–45. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381611001654.Full Text
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Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Moral hazard, discipline, and the management of terrorist organizations.” World Politics 64, no. 1 (January 1, 2012): 39–78. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887111000293.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A. “When does repression work? Collective action in social networks.” Journal of Politics 73, no. 4 (October 1, 2011): 993–1010. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381611000727.Full Text
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Siegel, David A. “Non-disruptive tactics of suppression are superior in countering terrorism, insurgency, and financial panics.” Plos One 6, no. 4 (April 2011): e18545. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0018545.Full Text Open Access Copy
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Baybeck, B., W. D. Berry, and D. A. Siegel. “A strategic theory of policy diffusion via intergovernmental competition.” Journal of Politics 73, no. 1 (January 1, 2011): 232–47. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381610000988.Full Text
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Block, R., and D. A. Siegel. “Identity, bargaining, and third-party mediation.” International Theory 3, no. 3 (January 1, 2011): 416–49. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1752971911000169.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A. “Social networks in comparative perspective.” Ps Political Science and Politics 44, no. 1 (January 1, 2011): 51–54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S104909651000185X.Full Text
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Siegel, David A. “When does repression work? Collective action in social networks.” Journal of Politics 73 (2011): 232–47.
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Bendor, J., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Satisficing: A pretty good heuristic,” June 2, 2010, 48–60.
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Bendor, J., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Adaptively rational retrospective voting.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 22, no. 1 (January 1, 2010): 26–63. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629809347581.Full Text
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Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Is this paper dangerous? Balancing secrecy and openness in counterterrorism.” Security Studies 19, no. 1 (January 1, 2010): 66–98. https://doi.org/10.1080/09636410903546483.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A., and J. K. Young. “Simulating terrorism: Credible commitment, costly signaling, and strategic behavior.” Ps Political Science and Politics 42, no. 4 (October 1, 2009): 765–71. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096509990151.Full Text
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Bendor, J. B., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Satisficing: A 'Pretty Good' Heuristic.” B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics 9, no. 1 (January 1, 2009). https://doi.org/10.2202/1935-1704.1478.Full Text
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Siegel, D. A. “Social networks and collective action.” American Journal of Political Science 53, no. 1 (January 1, 2009): 122–38. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00361.x.Full Text
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Siegel, David A. “The Risk Society at War: Terror, Technology and Strategy in the Twenty-First Century. By Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen.” Perspectives on Politics 6 (2008): 427–28.
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Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Underfunding in terrorist organizations.” International Studies Quarterly 51, no. 2 (June 1, 2007): 405–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2007.00457.x.Full Text
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Souder, P. A., P. L. Bogorad, E. J. Brash, G. D. Cates, W. J. Cummings, A. Gorelov, M. D. Hasinoff, et al. “Laser polarized muonic He3 and spin dependent μ capture.” Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research Section A: Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment 402 (1998): 311–18.
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Bogorad, P., E. J. Brash, G. D. Cates, W. J. Cummings, A. Gorelov, M. D. Hasinoff, O. Hausser, K. Hicks, R. Holmes, and J. C. Huang. “A combined polarized target/ionization chamber for measuring the spin dependence of nuclear muon capture in laser polarized muonic He-3.” Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research Section A: Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment 398 (1997): 211–23.
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Bogorad, P., J. Behr, E. J. Brash, G. D. Cates, W. J. Cummings, A. Gorelov, M. D. Hasinoff, et al. “Laser-polarized muonic3He and a measurement of the induced pseudoscalar coupling.” Hyperfine Interactions 101 (1996): 433–37.
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Book Sections
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Siegel, D. “Democratic Institutions and Political Networks.” In The Oxford Handbook of Political Networks. Oxford University Press, 2017.
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Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Underfunding in terrorist organizations.” In Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism, 349–82, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-211-09442-6_21.Full Text
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Bendor, J., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Rational parties and retrospective voters,” 17:1–28, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1571-0386(06)17001-5.Full Text
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- Teaching & Mentoring
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Recent Courses
- POLSCI 493-3: Senior Research Independent Study in Security, Peace and Conflict 2023
- POLSCI 630: Probability and Basic Regression 2023
- POLSCI 634: Social Networks and Political Interdependence 2023
- POLSCI 232: Introduction to Terrorism 2022
- POLSCI 345: Experimental Political Science 2022
- POLSCI 391-5: Senior Independent Study in Political Methodology 2022
- POLSCI 630: Probability and Basic Regression 2022
- POLSCI 631L: Introduction to Deductive & Analytical Approaches to Political Phenomena 2022
- POLSCI 749S: Advanced Game Theory 2022
- POLSCI 427S: World in Your Hand 2021
- POLSCI 493-4: Senior Research Independent Study in Political Behavior and Identities 2021
- POLSCI 630: Probability and Basic Regression 2021
- POLSCI 634: Social Networks and Political Interdependence 2021
- Scholarly, Clinical, & Service Activities
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Presentations & Appearances
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Outreach & Engaged Scholarship
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Service to the Profession
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