David Siegel | Scholars@Duke

David Siegel
Professor of Political Science

David A Siegel (Stanford Ph.D., 2006) is Professor of Political Science and Public Policy. His research addresses the theoretical determinants of collective action in the contexts of political violence and terrorism, elections, and opinion and identity formation. He has published in journals such as the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, and Journal of Politics, and is the coauthor of A Behavioral Theory of Elections and A Mathematics Course for Political and Social Research, both from Princeton University Press. Prior to coming to Duke, he was on faculty at Florida State University.

Current Appointments & Affiliations

Professor of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2019
Associate Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2017
Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2019

Contact Information

140 Science Drive, 293 Gross Hall, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
david.siegel@duke.edu (919) 660-4300
CV
www.davesiegel.com

Background
Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., Stanford University 2006
Previous Appointments & Affiliations
- Associate Professor of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2013 - 2019
- Associate Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2017 - 2019
Recognition
In the News
- NOV 8, 2016 The Hill
  
  David Siegel: The Election Coverage We Need and Deserve
- SEP 12, 2016 WUNC
  
  Fifteen years after 9/11, Duke scholars reflect
- JUN 17, 2016 The News & Observer
  
  David Siegel: Orlando shooting shows why ‘inspired by terrorism’ a useless distinction
- JUN 17, 2016 The Hill
  
  No Fly List? No Guns
- JUN 17, 2016 the News & Observer
  
  Why ‘Inspired by Terrorism’ is a Useless Distinction
- JUN 16, 2016 The Hill
  
  David Siegel: Why you can't support a no-fly list but allow those on it to get guns
- MAR 28, 2016 News & Observer
  
  Commentary: To thwart terror, don’t fear
- MAR 28, 2016 the News & Observer
  
  To Thwart Terror, Don’t Fear
- JAN 21, 2016
  
  Scholars Discuss the Origins, Consequences and Responses to ISIS
- DEC 14, 2015
  
  News Tip: On Eve of GOP Debate, a ‘Rhetorical Arms Race,’ Expert Says
- DEC 9, 2015 France 24, AFP
  
  David Siegel comments: Provocation, vitriol are Trump strategies, analysts say
- NOV 18, 2015 The Detroit Free Press
  
  David Siegel: A better way to deal with ISIS
- NOV 18, 2015
  
  Send Ground Troops, Reject Syrian Refugees?
- NOV 17, 2015 Detroit Free Press
  
  A Better Way to Deal With ISIS
- APR 30, 2015 The Hill
  
  David Siegel: The America Competes Reauthorization Act does not compute
- FEB 27, 2015 The Washington Post
  
  David Siegel, co-author: Will cell phones help insurgents? Or the regimes they oppose?
- FEB 5, 2015 The Hill
  
  David Siegel: How would vaccine choice work?
- JAN 12, 2015 The Hill
  
  David Siegel: The attack on Charlie Hebdo was about strategy, not cartoons
- JAN 12, 2015 WNCN
  
  Duke professor calls French attacks 'provocative terrorism'
Awards & Honors
- Honorable mention for the William F. Riker Prize. Political Economics section of APSA. August 2012
- Political Ties Award. Political Networks section of APSA. August 2012
Expertise
Subject Headings
Research
Selected Grants
- Theory-Based Measurement of Varieties of Power Using a Novel Semi-supervised IRT Model awarded by National Science Foundation 2022 - 2023
- Ralph Bunche Summer Institute-2019 awarded by National Science Foundation 2019 - 2023
- Collaborative Research: Decreasing Actions: Integrating Theory and Data to Assess Government Policy Options awarded by National Science Foundation 2018 - 2021
- Workshop: Behavioral Models of Politics awarded by National Science Foundation 2017 - 2018
- COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH WORKSHOP: Behavioral Models of Politics awarded by National Science Foundation 2015 - 2016
External Relationships
- Princeton University Press
Publications & Artistic Works
Selected Publications
- Books
  - Moore, Will H., and David A. Siegel. A Mathematics Course for Political and Social Research. Princeton University Press, 2013.
  - Bendor, J., D. Diermeier, D. A. Siegel, and M. M. Ting. A behavioral theory of elections, 2011.
  - Bendor, J., D. Diermeier, D. A. Siegel, and M. M. Ting. A behavioral theory of elections, 2011.
- Academic Articles
  - Wirtz, J. J., D. A. Siegel, J. N. Shapiro, A. Zegart, and L. K. Johnson. “INS special forum on David Sherman’s ‘An Intelligence Classic That Almost Never Was–Roberta Wohlstetter’s Pearl Harbor: warning and decision’.” Intelligence and National Security, January 1, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2021.2015852.
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  - Datta, A. C., and D. A. Siegel. “Inclusive and Non-Inclusive Networks.” Ps Political Science and Politics, January 1, 2021, 7–9. https://doi.org/10.1017/S104909652100007X.
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  - Crabtree, C., H. L. Kern, and D. A. Siegel. “Cults of personality, preference falsification, and the dictator’s dilemma.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 32, no. 3 (July 1, 2020): 409–34. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629820927790.
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  - Beardsley, K., H. Liu, P. J. Mucha, D. A. Siegel, and J. F. Tellez. “Hierarchy and the provision of order in international politics.” Journal of Politics 82, no. 2 (April 1, 2020): 731–46. https://doi.org/10.1086/707096.
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  - Mele, C. S., and D. A. Siegel. “Identifiability, state repression, and the onset of ethnic conflict.” Public Choice 181, no. 3–4 (December 1, 2019): 399–422. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-019-00664-w.
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  - Foster, M. J., and D. A. Siegel. “Pink Slips from the Underground: Changes in Terror Leadership.” International Studies Quarterly 63, no. 2 (June 1, 2019): 231–43. https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqz017.
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  - Siegel, D. A. “Analyzing Computational Models.” American Journal of Political Science 62, no. 3 (July 1, 2018): 745–59. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12364.
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  - Mele, C. S., and D. A. Siegel. “Identity, repression, and the threat of ethnic conflict in a strong state.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 29, no. 4 (October 1, 2017): 578–98. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629817710562.
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  - Siegel, D. A., and J. Shapiro. “Coordination and Security: How Mobile Communications Affect Insurgency (Accepted).” Journal of Peace Research, 2015.
  - Siegel, D. A. “Evaluating a Stochastic Model of Government Formation.” Journal of Politics 76, no. 4 (2014): 880–86.
  - Gaskins, Ben, Matt Golder, and David A. Siegel. “Religious Participation, Social Conservatism, and Human Development.” The Journal of Politics 75, no. 04 (October 2013): 1125–41. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381613000765.
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  - Gaskins, B., M. Golder, and D. A. Siegel. “Religious Participation and Economic Conservatism.” American Journal of Political Science 57, no. 4 (January 1, 2013): 823–40. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12024.
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  - Siegel, D. A. “Social networks and the mass media.” American Political Science Review 107, no. 4 (January 1, 2013): 786–805. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055413000452.
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  - Siegel, David A. “Will you accept the government's friend request? Social networks and privacy concerns.” Plos One 8, no. 11 (January 2013): e80682. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0080682.
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  - Siegel, David A. “Voter Turnout: A Social Theory of Political Participation. By Meredith Rolfe.” The Journal of Politics 75 (2013).
  - Golder, M., S. N. Golder, and D. A. Siegel. “Modeling the institutional foundation of parliamentary government formation.” Journal of Politics 74, no. 2 (April 1, 2012): 427–45. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381611001654.
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  - Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Moral hazard, discipline, and the management of terrorist organizations.” World Politics 64, no. 1 (January 1, 2012): 39–78. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887111000293.
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  - Siegel, D. A. “When does repression work? Collective action in social networks.” Journal of Politics 73, no. 4 (October 1, 2011): 993–1010. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381611000727.
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  - Siegel, David A. “Non-disruptive tactics of suppression are superior in countering terrorism, insurgency, and financial panics.” Plos One 6, no. 4 (April 13, 2011): e18545. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0018545.
    Full Text Open Access Copy
  - Baybeck, B., W. D. Berry, and D. A. Siegel. “A strategic theory of policy diffusion via intergovernmental competition.” Journal of Politics 73, no. 1 (January 1, 2011): 232–47. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381610000988.
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  - Block, R., and D. A. Siegel. “Identity, bargaining, and third-party mediation.” International Theory 3, no. 3 (January 1, 2011): 416–49. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1752971911000169.
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  - Siegel, D. A. “Social networks in comparative perspective.” Ps Political Science and Politics 44, no. 1 (January 1, 2011): 51–54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S104909651000185X.
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  - Siegel, David A. “When does repression work? Collective action in social networks.” Journal of Politics 73 (2011): 232–47.
  - Bendor, J., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Satisficing: A pretty good heuristic,” June 2, 2010, 48–60.
  - Bendor, J., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Adaptively rational retrospective voting.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 22, no. 1 (January 1, 2010): 26–63. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629809347581.
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  - Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Is this paper dangerous? Balancing secrecy and openness in counterterrorism.” Security Studies 19, no. 1 (January 1, 2010): 66–98. https://doi.org/10.1080/09636410903546483.
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  - Siegel, D. A., and J. K. Young. “Simulating terrorism: Credible commitment, costly signaling, and strategic behavior.” Ps Political Science and Politics 42, no. 4 (October 1, 2009): 765–71. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096509990151.
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  - Bendor, J. B., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Satisficing: A 'Pretty Good' Heuristic.” B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics 9, no. 1 (January 1, 2009). https://doi.org/10.2202/1935-1704.1478.
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  - Siegel, D. A. “Social networks and collective action.” American Journal of Political Science 53, no. 1 (January 1, 2009): 122–38. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00361.x.
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  - Siegel, David A. “The Risk Society at War: Terror, Technology and Strategy in the Twenty-First Century. By Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen.” Perspectives on Politics 6 (2008): 427–28.
  - Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Underfunding in terrorist organizations.” International Studies Quarterly 51, no. 2 (June 1, 2007): 405–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2007.00457.x.
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  - Souder, P. A., P. L. Bogorad, E. J. Brash, G. D. Cates, W. J. Cummings, A. Gorelov, M. D. Hasinoff, et al. “Laser polarized muonic He3 and spin dependent μ capture.” Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research Section A: Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment 402 (1998): 311–18.
  - Bogorad, P., E. J. Brash, G. D. Cates, W. J. Cummings, A. Gorelov, M. D. Hasinoff, O. Hausser, K. Hicks, R. Holmes, and J. C. Huang. “A combined polarized target/ionization chamber for measuring the spin dependence of nuclear muon capture in laser polarized muonic He-3.” Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research Section A: Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment 398 (1997): 211–23.
  - Bogorad, P., J. Behr, E. J. Brash, G. D. Cates, W. J. Cummings, A. Gorelov, M. D. Hasinoff, et al. “Laser-polarized muonic3He and a measurement of the induced pseudoscalar coupling.” Hyperfine Interactions 101 (1996): 433–37.
- Book Sections
  - Siegel, D. “Democratic Institutions and Political Networks.” In The Oxford Handbook of Political Networks. Oxford University Press, 2017.
  - Shapiro, J. N., and D. A. Siegel. “Underfunding in terrorist organizations.” In Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism, 349–82, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-211-09442-6_21.
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  - Bendor, J., S. Kumar, and D. A. Siegel. “Rational parties and retrospective voters,” 17:1–28, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1571-0386(06)17001-5.
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Teaching & Mentoring
Recent Courses
Scholarly, Clinical, & Service Activities
Presentations & Appearances
Outreach & Engaged Scholarship
- Bass Connections Faculty Team Member. Networks of Cooperation and Conflict in the Middle East. August 2017 - May 2018 2017 - 2018
Service to the Profession
- Co-organized conference on Behavioral Models of Politics. October 11, 2013 2013
- Co-organized mini-conference on formal modeling at SPSA. January 12, 2012 2012

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Education, Training, & Certifications

Previous Appointments & Affiliations

In the News

Awards & Honors

Subject Headings

Selected Grants

External Relationships

Selected Publications

Books

Academic Articles

Book Sections

Recent Courses

Presentations & Appearances

Outreach & Engaged Scholarship

Service to the Profession