Mark Edward Borsuk | Scholars@Duke

Mark Edward Borsuk
Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering

Mark Borsuk’s research concerns the development and application of mathematical models for integrating scientific information on natural, technical, and social systems. He is a widely-cited expert in Bayesian network modeling with regular application to environmental and human health regulation and decision making. He is also the originator of novel approaches to climate change assessment, combining risk analysis, game theory, and agent-based modeling. Borsuk’s highly collaborative research has been funded by NSF, EPA, NIH, NIEHS and USFS, and he has authored or co-authored 75 peer-reviewed journal publications and 6 book chapters.

Borsuk received the Chauncey Starr Distinguished Young Risk Analyst Award from the Society for Risk Analysis in 2013 and the Early Career Research Excellence Award from the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society in 2008. Before joining the Duke faculty, Dr. Borsuk was a member of the Dartmouth College faculty for 10 years where he held an appointment in the Thayer School of Engineering. Dr. Borsuk received a B.S.E. in Civil Engineering and Operations Research from Princeton University, an M.S. in Statistics and Decision Sciences from Duke University, and a Ph.D. in Environmental Science and Policy from Duke University. He did his post-doctoral training in the Department of Systems Analysis, Integrated Assessment, and Modelling (SIAM) at the Swiss Federal Institute for Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG), where he advanced to head of the Decision Analysis and Integrated Assessment group.

As part of his appointment at Duke, Dr. Borsuk directs a new interdisciplinary research and teaching initiative in risk, uncertainty, optimization and decision-making.

Current Research Interests

Mathematical models for integrating scientific information on natural, technical, and social systems; Bayesian network modeling with regular application to environmental and human health regulation and decision making; novel approaches to climate change assessment, combining risk analysis, game theory, and agent-based modeling.

Current Appointments & Affiliations

Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pratt School of Engineering 2021
Director of the RESILE Center, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pratt School of Engineering 2022
Associate of the Duke Initiative for Science & Society, Duke Science & Society, Initiatives 2019

Contact Information

166 Hudson Hall, Box 90287, Durham, NC 27708
Box 90287, 166 Hudson Hall, Durham, NC 27708
mark.borsuk@duke.edu (919) 660-1767
Borsuk Lab

Background
Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., Duke University 2001
Previous Appointments & Affiliations
- Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pratt School of Engineering 2016 - 2021
- Visiting Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pratt School of Engineering 2016
Recognition
In the News
- FEB 4, 2022 Duke Research Blog
  
  The Climate Crisis is Imminent: Duke Experts Offer Their Solutions
- DEC 15, 2017
  
  Using Good Governance to Mitigate Natural Disasters
- APR 28, 2017
  
  Energy Initiative Awards Seven New Seed Grants
- OCT 1, 2016
  
  Mark Borsuk: Valuing the Invaluable, Predicting the Unpredictable
Awards & Honors
- Chauncey Starr Distinguished Young Risk Analyst Award. Society for Risk Analysis. 2013
- Early Career Research Excellence Award. International Environmental Modelling and Software Society. 2008
Research
Selected Grants
- Model-based Tracking and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services (MoTIVES) for Military Base Land-Use and Land-Management Decisions awarded by Strategic Environmental Research & Development Program 2022 - 2027
- Duke University Program in Environmental Health awarded by National Institutes of Health 2019 - 2024
- NSF2026: EAGER Identifying microbes' population-level environmental responses using Bayesian modeling awarded by National Science Foundation 2020 - 2023
- Building community resilience to natural-disaster-driven contaminant exposures through system-level risk analysis, management, and readiness awarded by Environmental Protection Agency 2020 - 2023
- Collaborative Research: Implications of Solar Radiation Management for Strategic Behavior and Climate Governance awarded by National Science Foundation 2020 - 2023
- Structured Decision Analysis as a Tool for Implementing Shared Stewardship awarded by US Forest Service 2020 - 2022
- Assessing the contribution of small streams to use and non-use water quality values using modeling, stakeholder participation, and decision theory awarded by Dartmouth College 2016 - 2022
- Mapping Spatio-Temporal Variability of Prairie Wetlands awarded by National Aeronautics and Space Administration 2017 - 2020
- Co-occurrence of mercury with other inorganic and organic contaminants in marine and freshwater fish and shellfish awarded by Dartmouth College 2018 - 2020
- CNH-L: Assessing the Potential for Climate Change and Forest Insects to Drive Land-Use Regime Shifts awarded by Harvard University 2016 - 2019
- Analysis of Defense Related Ecosystem Services awarded by Oregon State University 2018 - 2019
- TNC Bridge Collaborative awarded by Nature Conservancy 2016 - 2017
Publications & Artistic Works
Selected Publications
- Academic Articles
  - Calder, Ryan S. D., Celine S. Robinson, and Mark E. Borsuk. “Total Social Costs and Benefits of Long-Distance Hydropower Transmission.” Environmental Science & Technology 56, no. 24 (December 2022): 17510–22. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c06221.
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  - Krapu, C., and M. Borsuk. “A Differentiable Hydrology Approach for Modeling With Time-Varying Parameters.” Water Resources Research 58, no. 9 (September 1, 2022). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031377.
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  - Holt, Jonathan R., Jennifer R. Smetzer, Mark E. Borsuk, Danelle Laflower, David A. Orwig, and Jonathan R. Thompson. “Emerald ash borer intensifies harvest regimes on private land.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 32, no. 2 (March 2022): e2508. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2508.
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  - Mavrommati, G., M. E. Borsuk, A. I. Kreiley, C. Larosee, S. Rogers, K. Burford, and R. B. Howarth. “A methodological framework for understanding shared social values in deliberative valuation.” Ecological Economics 190 (December 1, 2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107185.
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  - Holt, J. R., B. J. Butler, M. E. Borsuk, M. Markowski-Lindsay, M. G. MacLean, and J. R. Thompson. “Using the Theory of Planned Behavior to Understand Family Forest Owners’ Intended Responses to Invasive Forest Insects.” Society and Natural Resources 34, no. 8 (January 1, 2021): 1001–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2021.1924330.
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  - Wiener, J., J. Aldy, T. Felgenhauer, M. Borsuk, W. Pizer, M. Tavoni, M. Belaia, and A. Ghosh. “Social Science Research to Inform Solar Geoengineering.” Science 374, no. 6569 (2021): 815–18.
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  - Holt, J. R., and M. E. Borsuk. “Using Zillow data to value green space amenities at the neighborhood scale.” Urban Forestry and Urban Greening 56 (December 1, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2020.126794.
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  - Calder, R. S. D., A. Alatorre, R. S. Marx, V. Mallampalli, S. A. Mason, L. P. Olander, M. Jeuland, and M. E. Borsuk. “Graphical models and the challenge of evidence-based practice in development and sustainability.” Environmental Modelling and Software 130 (August 1, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104734.
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  - Krapu, C., and M. Borsuk. “A spatial community regression approach to exploratory analysis of ecological data.” Methods in Ecology and Evolution 11, no. 5 (May 1, 2020): 608–20. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13371.
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  - MacLean, M. G., J. Holt, M. Borsuk, M. Markowski-Lindsay, B. J. Butler, D. B. Kittredge, M. J. Duveneck, et al. “Potential impacts of insect-induced harvests in the mixed forests of new England.” Forests 11, no. 5 (May 1, 2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/F11050498.
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  - Holt, J. R., M. E. Borsuk, B. J. Butler, D. B. Kittredge, D. Laflower, M. G. MacLean, M. Markowski-Lindsay, D. Orwig, and J. R. Thompson. “Landowner functional types to characterize response to invasive forest insects.” People and Nature 2, no. 1 (March 1, 2020): 204–16. https://doi.org/10.1002/pan3.10065.
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  - Markowski-Lindsay, M., M. E. Borsuk, B. J. Butler, M. J. Duveneck, J. Holt, D. B. Kittredge, D. Laflower, M. G. MacLean, D. Orwig, and J. R. Thompson. “Compounding the Disturbance: Family Forest Owner Reactions to Invasive Forest Insects.” Ecological Economics 167 (January 1, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106461.
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  - Mavrommati, G., S. Rogers, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Representing future generations in the deliberative valuation of ecosystem services.” Elementa 8, no. 23 (January 1, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.417.
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  - Curtis, Amanda N., Kimberly Bourne, Mark E. Borsuk, Kate L. Buckman, Eugene Demidenko, Vivien F. Taylor, and Celia Y. Chen. “Effects of temperature, salinity, and sediment organic carbon on methylmercury bioaccumulation in an estuarine amphipod.” The Science of the Total Environment 687 (October 2019): 907–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.094.
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  - Calder, R. S. D., C. Shi, S. A. Mason, L. P. Olander, and M. E. Borsuk. “Forecasting ecosystem services to guide coastal wetland rehabilitation decisions.” Ecosystem Services 39 (October 1, 2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101007.
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  - Rogers, Shannon H., Laurie R. Rardin, Kathrin Lawlor, Celia Y. Chen, and Mark E. Borsuk. “Communicating Arsenic's Risks.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16, no. 18 (September 2019): E3436. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16183436.
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  - Bryant, B. P., M. E. Borsuk, P. Hamel, K. L. L. Oleson, C. J. E. Schulp, and S. Willcock. “Corrigendum to “Transparent and feasible uncertainty assessment adds value to applied ecosystem services modeling” [Ecosystem Services 33 (2018) 103–109](S2212041618303218)(10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.09.001).” Ecosystem Services 38 (August 1, 2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.100932.
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  - Krapu, C., M. Borsuk, and M. Kumar. “Gradient-Based Inverse Estimation for a Rainfall-Runoff Model.” Water Resources Research 55, no. 8 (August 1, 2019): 6625–39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024461.
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  - Tallis, H., K. Kreis, L. Olander, C. Ringler, D. Ameyaw, M. E. Borsuk, D. Fletschner, et al. “Aligning evidence generation and use across health, development, and environment.” Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 39 (August 1, 2019): 81–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2019.09.004.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., G. Mavrommati, N. R. Samal, S. Zuidema, W. Wollheim, S. H. Rogers, A. M. Thorn, et al. “Deliberative multiattribute valuation of ecosystem services across a range of regional land-use, socioeconomic, and climate scenarios for the upper merrimack river watershed, New Hampshire, USA.” Ecology and Society 24, no. 2 (July 1, 2019). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10806-240211.
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  - Krapu, C., and M. Borsuk. “Probabilistic programming: A review for environmental modellers.” Environmental Modelling and Software 114 (April 1, 2019): 40–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.01.014.
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  - Wiener, J., K. Grieger, T. Felgenhauer, O. Renn, and M. Borsuk. “Emerging Risk Governance for Stratospheric Aerosol Injection as a Climate Management Technology.” Environment Systems and Decisions 39, no. 4 (2019): 371–82.
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  - Bryant, B. P., M. E. Borsuk, P. Hamel, K. L. L. Oleson, C. J. E. Schulp, and S. Willcock. “Transparent and feasible uncertainty assessment adds value to applied ecosystem services modeling.” Ecosystem Services 33 (October 1, 2018): 103–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.09.001.
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  - Krapu, C., M. Kumar, and M. Borsuk. “Identifying Wetland Consolidation Using Remote Sensing in the North Dakota Prairie Pothole Region.” Water Resources Research 54, no. 10 (October 1, 2018): 7478–94. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023338.
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  - Murphy, M. B., G. Mavrommati, V. R. Mallampalli, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Comparing group deliberation to other forms of preference aggregation in valuing ecosystem services.” Ecology and Society 22, no. 4 (December 1, 2017). https://doi.org/10.5751/7.ES-09519-220417.
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  - Samal, N. R., W. M. Wollheim, S. Zuidema, R. J. Stewart, Z. Zhou, M. M. Mineau, M. E. Borsuk, et al. “A coupled terrestrial and aquatic biogeophysical model of the Upper Merrimack River watershed, New Hampshire, to inform ecosystem services evaluation and management under climate and land-cover change.” Ecology and Society 22, no. 4 (December 1, 2017). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09662-220418.
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  - Mavrommati, G., M. E. Borsuk, and R. B. Howarth. “A novel deliberative multicriteria evaluation approach to ecosystem service valuation.” Ecology and Society 22, no. 2 (June 1, 2017). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09105-220239.
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  - Mavrommati, Georgia, Kostas Bithas, Mark E. Borsuk, and Richard B. Howarth. “Integration of ecological-biological thresholds in conservation decision making.” Conservation Biology : The Journal of the Society for Conservation Biology 30, no. 6 (December 2016): 1173–81. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12745.
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  - Mallampalli, V. R., G. Mavrommati, J. Thompson, M. Duveneck, S. Meyer, A. Ligmann-Zielinska, C. G. Druschke, et al. “Methods for translating narrative scenarios into quantitative assessments of land use change.” Environmental Modelling and Software 82 (August 1, 2016): 7–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.04.011.
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  - Su, C., and M. E. Borsuk. “Improving structure MCMC for Bayesian networks through Markov Blanket resampling.” Journal of Machine Learning Research 17 (April 1, 2016): 1–20.
  - Lutz, David A., Elizabeth A. Burakowski, Mackenzie B. Murphy, Mark E. Borsuk, Rebecca M. Niemiec, and Richard B. Howarth. “Trade-offs between three forest ecosystem services across the state of New Hampshire, USA: timber, carbon, and albedo.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 26, no. 1 (January 2016): 146–61. https://doi.org/10.1890/14-2207.
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  - Paul, Michael P., Pierce Rigrod, Steve Wingate, and Mark E. Borsuk. “A Community-Driven Intervention in Tuftonboro, New Hampshire, Succeeds in Altering Water Testing Behavior.” Journal of Environmental Health 78, no. 5 (December 2015): 30–39.
  - Ding, P., M. D. Gerst, G. Bang, and M. E. Borsuk. “An application of automated mediation to international climate treaty negotiation.” Group Decision and Negotiation 24, no. 5 (September 1, 2015): 885–903. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10726-014-9419-1.
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  - Andrew, Angeline S., Jiang Gui, Ting Hu, Asaf Wyszynski, Carmen J. Marsit, Karl T. Kelsey, Alan R. Schned, et al. “Genetic polymorphisms modify bladder cancer recurrence and survival in a USA population-based prognostic study.” Bju International 115, no. 2 (February 2015): 238–47. https://doi.org/10.1111/bju.12641.
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  - Turaga, R. M. R., R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Perceptions of Mercury Risk and Its Management.” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 20, no. 5 (September 1, 2014): 1385–1405. https://doi.org/10.1080/10807039.2013.858526.
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  - Chen, Celia Y., Mark E. Borsuk, Deenie M. Bugge, Terill Hollweg, Prentiss H. Balcom, Darren M. Ward, Jason Williams, and Robert P. Mason. “Benthic and pelagic pathways of methylmercury bioaccumulation in estuarine food webs of the northeast United States.” Plos One 9, no. 2 (January 2014): e89305. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0089305.
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  - Howarth, R. B., M. D. Gerst, and M. E. Borsuk. “Risk mitigation and the social cost of carbon.” Global Environmental Change 24, no. 1 (January 1, 2014): 123–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.11.012.
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  - Rinderknecht, S. L., C. Albert, M. E. Borsuk, N. Schuwirth, H. R. Künsch, and P. Reichert. “The effect of ambiguous prior knowledge on Bayesian model parameter inference and prediction.” Environmental Modelling and Software 62 (January 1, 2014): 300–315. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.08.020.
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  - Anderson, Cori A., Umut Eser, Therese Korndorf, Mark E. Borsuk, Jan M. Skotheim, and Amy S. Gladfelter. “Nuclear repulsion enables division autonomy in a single cytoplasm.” Current Biology : Cb 23, no. 20 (October 2013): 1999–2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2013.07.076.
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  - Kelly, R. A., A. J. Jakeman, O. Barreteau, M. E. Borsuk, S. ElSawah, S. H. Hamilton, H. J. Henriksen, et al. “Selecting among five common modelling approaches for integrated environmental assessment and management.” Environmental Modelling and Software 47 (September 1, 2013): 159–81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.05.005.
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  - Gerst, M. D., P. Wang, A. Roventini, G. Fagiolo, G. Dosi, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Agent-based modeling of climate policy: An introduction to the ENGAGE multi-level model framework.” Environmental Modelling and Software 44 (June 1, 2013): 62–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.09.002.
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  - Gerst, M. D., P. Wang, and M. E. Borsuk. “Discovering plausible energy and economic futures under global change using multidimensional scenario discovery.” Environmental Modelling and Software 44 (June 1, 2013): 76–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.09.001.
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  - Giupponi, C., M. E. Borsuk, B. J. M. de Vries, and K. Hasselmann. “Innovative approaches to integrated global change modelling.” Environmental Modelling and Software 44 (June 1, 2013): 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.01.013.
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  - Lee, Changhwan, Huaiying Zhang, Amy E. Baker, Patricia Occhipinti, Mark E. Borsuk, and Amy S. Gladfelter. “Protein aggregation behavior regulates cyclin transcript localization and cell-cycle control.” Developmental Cell 25, no. 6 (June 2013): 572–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.devcel.2013.05.007.
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  - Gerst, M. D., R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “The interplay between risk attitudes and low probability, high cost outcomes in climate policy analysis.” Environmental Modelling and Software 41 (March 1, 2013): 176–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.12.004.
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  - Nair, Apurva, Andrew C. Thomas, and Mark E. Borsuk. “Interannual variability in the timing of New England shellfish toxicity and relationships to environmental forcing.” The Science of the Total Environment 447 (March 2013): 255–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.01.023.
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  - Su, Chengwei, Angeline Andrew, Margaret R. Karagas, and Mark E. Borsuk. “Using Bayesian networks to discover relations between genes, environment, and disease.” Biodata Mining 6, no. 1 (March 2013): 6. https://doi.org/10.1186/1756-0381-6-6.
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  - Wang, P., M. D. Gerst, and M. E. Borsuk. “Exploring energy and economic futures using agent-based modeling and scenario discovery.” Understanding Complex Systems, January 1, 2013, 251–69. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8606-0_13.
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  - Ding, P., M. D. Gerst, A. Bernstein, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Rare disasters and risk attitudes: international differences and implications for integrated assessment modeling.” Risk Analysis : An Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis 32, no. 11 (November 2012): 1846–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01872.x.
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  - Rinderknecht, S. L., M. E. Borsuk, and P. Reichert. “Bridging uncertain and ambiguous knowledge with imprecise probabilities.” Environmental Modelling and Software 36 (October 1, 2012): 122–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.07.022.
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  - Barton, David N., Sakari Kuikka, Olli Varis, Laura Uusitalo, Hans Jørgen Henriksen, Mark Borsuk, Africa de la Hera, Raziyeh Farmani, Sandra Johnson, and John D. C. Linnell. “Bayesian networks in environmental and resource management.” Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 8, no. 3 (July 2012): 418–29. https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.1327.
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  - Borsuk, Mark E., Steffen Schweizer, and Peter Reichert. “A Bayesian network model for integrative river rehabilitation planning and management.” Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 8, no. 3 (July 2012): 462–72. https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.233.
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  - Gui, J., T. D. Tosteson, and M. Borsuk. “Weighted multiple testing procedures for genomic studies.” Biodata Mining 5, no. 1 (June 11, 2012). https://doi.org/10.1186/1756-0381-5-4.
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  - Jakeman, A., A. Rizzoli, A. Voinov, I. Athanasiadis, T. Berger, M. Borsuk, M. Donatelli, et al. “Best Paper Awards for 2010.” Environmental Modelling and Software 26, no. 12 (December 1, 2011): 1375. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.11.001.
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  - Rinderknecht, S. L., M. E. Borsuk, and P. Reichert. “Eliciting density ratio classes.” International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 52, no. 6 (September 1, 2011): 792–804. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijar.2011.02.002.
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  - Tomassini, L., R. Knutti, G. K. Plattner, D. P. van Vuuren, T. F. Stocker, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century: Comparing mitigation to non-intervention scenarios.” Climatic Change 103, no. 3 (December 1, 2010): 399–422. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9763-3.
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  - Gronewold, Andrew D., and Mark E. Borsuk. “Improving water quality assessments through a hierarchical Bayesian analysis of variability.” Environmental Science & Technology 44, no. 20 (October 2010): 7858–64. https://doi.org/10.1021/es100657p.
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  - Nair, Dhanalakshmi R., Cori A. D’Ausilio, Patricia Occhipinti, Mark E. Borsuk, and Amy S. Gladfelter. “A conserved G₁ regulatory circuit promotes asynchronous behavior of nuclei sharing a common cytoplasm.” Cell Cycle (Georgetown, Tex.) 9, no. 18 (September 2010): 3771–79. https://doi.org/10.4161/cc.9.18.12999.
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  - Rieckermann, J., M. E. Borsuk, D. Sydler, W. Gujer, and P. Reichert. “Bayesian experimental design of tracer studies to monitor wastewater leakage from sewer networks.” Water Resources Research 46, no. 8 (August 19, 2010). https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008630.
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  - Gerst, M. D., R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Accounting for the risk of extreme outcomes in an integrated assessment of climate change.” Energy Policy 38, no. 8 (August 1, 2010): 4540–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2010.04.008.
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  - Wullschleger, S. D., E. B. Davis, M. E. Borsuk, C. A. Gunderson, and L. R. Lynd. “Biomass production in switchgrass across the United States: Database description and determinants of yield.” Agronomy Journal 102, no. 4 (July 1, 2010): 1158–68. https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2010.0087.
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  - Turaga, Rama Mohana R., Richard B. Howarth, and Mark E. Borsuk. “Pro-environmental behavior: rational choice meets moral motivation.” Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1185 (January 2010): 211–24. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.05163.x.
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  - Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, H. R. Künsch, C. Buser, R. Knutti, and M. E. Borsuk. “A smoothing algorithm for estimating stochastic, continuous time model parameters and its application to a simple climate model.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics 58, no. 5 (December 1, 2009): 679–704. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9876.2009.00678.x.
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  - Gronewold, A. D., and M. E. Borsuk. “A software tool for translating deterministic model results into probabilistic assessments of water quality standard compliance.” Environmental Modelling and Software 24, no. 10 (October 1, 2009): 1257–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2009.04.004.
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  - Gronewold, Andrew D., Mark E. Borsuk, Robert L. Wolpert, and Kenneth H. Reckhow. “An assessment of fecal indicator bacteria-based water quality standards.” Environmental Science & Technology 42, no. 13 (July 2008): 4676–82. https://doi.org/10.1021/es703144k.
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  - Mieleitner, J., M. Borsuk, H. R. Bürgi, and P. Reichert. “Identifying functional groups of phytoplankton using data from three lakes of different trophic state.” Aquatic Sciences 70, no. 1 (April 1, 2008): 30–46. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-007-0940-z.
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  - Borsuk, Mark E., Max Maurer, Judit Lienert, and Tove A. Larsen. “Charting a path for innovative toilet technology using multicriteria decision analysis.” Environmental Science & Technology 42, no. 6 (March 2008): 1855–62. https://doi.org/10.1021/es702184p.
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  - Burkhardt-Holm, P., H. Segner, R. Burki, A. Peter, S. Schubert, M. J. F. Suter, and M. E. Borsuk. “Estrogenic endocrine disruption in Switzerland: Assessment of fish exposure and effects.” Chimia 62, no. 5 (January 1, 2008): 376–82. https://doi.org/10.2533/chimia.2008.376.
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  - Stow, C. A., K. H. Reckhow, S. S. Qian, E. C. Lamon, G. B. Arhonditsis, M. E. Borsuk, and D. Seo. “Approaches to evaluate water quality model parameter uncertainty for adaptive TMDL implementation.” Journal of the American Water Resources Association 43, no. 6 (December 1, 2007): 1499–1507. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2007.00123.x.
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  - Schweizer, S., M. E. Borsuk, and P. Reichert. “Erratum: Predicting the morphological and hydraulic consequences of river rehabilitation (River Research and Applications vol. 3 (23) (303-322)).” River Research and Applications 23, no. 7 (September 1, 2007): 799. https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.1028.
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  - Spörri, C., M. Borsuk, I. Peters, and P. Reichert. “The economic impacts of river rehabilitation: A regional Input-Output analysis.” Ecological Economics 62, no. 2 (April 20, 2007): 341–51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.07.001.
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  - Fenner, Kathrin, Valentin A. Lanz, Martin Scheringer, and Mark E. Borsuk. “Relating atrazine degradation rate in soil to environmental conditions: implications for global fate modeling.” Environmental Science & Technology 41, no. 8 (April 2007): 2840–46. https://doi.org/10.1021/es061923i.
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  - Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, R. Knutti, T. F. Stocker, and M. E. Borsuk. “Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.” Journal of Climate 20, no. 7 (April 1, 2007): 1239–54. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4064.1.
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  - Schweizer, S., M. E. Borsuk, I. Jowett, and P. Reichert. “Predicting joint frequency distributions of depth and velocity for instream habitat assessment.” River Research and Applications 23, no. 3 (March 1, 2007): 287–302. https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.980.
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  - Schweizer, S., M. E. Borsuk, and P. Reichert. “Predicting the morphological and hydraulic consequences of river rehabilitation.” River Research and Applications 23, no. 3 (March 1, 2007): 303–22. https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.981.
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  - Reichert, P., M. Borsuk, M. Hostmann, S. Schweizer, C. Spörri, K. Tockner, and B. Truffer. “Concepts of decision support for river rehabilitation.” Environmental Modelling and Software 22, no. 2 (February 1, 2007): 188–201. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2005.07.017.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., P. Reichert, A. Peter, E. Schager, and P. Burkhardt-Holm. “Assessing the decline of brown trout (Salmo trutta) in Swiss rivers using a Bayesian probability network.” Ecological Modelling 192, no. 1–2 (February 15, 2006): 224–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.07.006.
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  - Rieckermann, J., M. E. Borsuk, and W. Gujer. “Using decision analysis to determine optimal experimental design for monitoring sewer exfiltration with tracers.” Water Science and Technology : A Journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research 54, no. 6–7 (January 2006): 161–68. https://doi.org/10.2166/wst.2006.615.
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  - Reichert, P., and M. E. Borsuk. “Does high forecast uncertainty preclude effective decision support?” Environmental Modelling and Software 20, no. 8 (August 1, 2005): 991–1001. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.10.005.
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  - Rieckermann, J., M. Borsuk, P. Reichert, and W. Gujer. “A novel tracer method for estimating sewer exfiltration.” Water Resources Research 41, no. 5 (May 1, 2005): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004WR003699.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., and L. Tomassini. “Uncertainty, imprecision, and the precautionary principle in climate change assessment.” Water Science and Technology : A Journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research 52, no. 6 (January 2005): 213–25. https://doi.org/10.2166/wst.2005.0170.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., C. A. Stow, and K. H. Reckhow. “Confounding effect of flow on estuarine response to nitrogen loading.” Journal of Environmental Engineering 130, no. 6 (June 1, 2004): 605–14. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9372(2004)130:6(605).
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  - Borsuk, M. E. “Predictive assessment of fish health and fish kills in the Neuse River Estuary using elicited expert judgment.” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 10, no. 2 (April 1, 2004): 415–34. https://doi.org/10.1080/10807030490438454.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., C. A. Stow, and K. H. Reckhow. “A Bayesian network of eutrophication models for synthesis, prediction, and uncertainty analysis.” Ecological Modelling 173, no. 2–3 (April 1, 2004): 219–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2003.08.020.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., C. A. Stow, and K. H. Reckhow. “Integrated approach to total maximum daily load development for Neuse River Estuary using Bayesian probability network model (Neu-BERN).” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 129, no. 4 (July 1, 2003): 271–82. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2003)129:4(271).
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  - Stow, C. A., C. Roessler, M. E. Borsuk, J. D. Bowen, and K. H. Reckhow. “Comparison of Estuarine water quality models for total maximum daily load development in Neuse River Estuary.” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 129, no. 4 (July 1, 2003): 307–14. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2003)129:4(307).
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  - Stow, Craig A., and Mark E. Borsuk. “Assessing TMDL effectiveness using flow-adjusted concentrations: a case study of the Neuse River, North Carolina.” Environmental Science & Technology 37, no. 10 (May 2003): 2043–50. https://doi.org/10.1021/es020802p.
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  - Qian, S. S., C. A. Stow, and M. E. Borsuk. “On Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference.” Ecological Modelling 159, no. 2–3 (January 15, 2003): 269–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00299-5.
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  - Stow, C. A., and M. E. Borsuk. “Enhancing causal assessment of estuarine fishkills using graphical models.” Ecosystems 6, no. 1 (January 1, 2003): 11–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/pl00021508.
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  - Borsuk, Mark E., Craig A. Stow, and Kenneth H. Reckhow. “Predicting the frequency of water quality standard violations: a probabilistic approach for TMDL development.” Environmental Science & Technology 36, no. 10 (May 2002): 2109–15. https://doi.org/10.1021/es011246m.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., S. P. Powers, and C. H. Peterson. “A survival model of the effects of bottom-water hypoxia on the population density of an estuarine clam (Macoma balthica).” Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 59, no. 8 (January 1, 2002): 1266–74. https://doi.org/10.1139/f02-093.
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  - Borsuk, M., R. Clemen, L. Maguire, and K. Reckhow. “Stakeholder Values and Scientific Modeling in the Neuse River Watershed.” Group Decision and Negotiation 10, no. 4 (December 1, 2001): 355–73. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1011231801266.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., D. Higdon, C. A. Stow, and K. H. Reckhow. “A Bayesian hierarchical model to predict benthic oxygen demand from organic matter loading in estuaries and coastal zones.” Ecological Modelling 143, no. 3 (September 15, 2001): 165–81. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3800(01)00328-3.
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  - Stow, C. A., M. E. Borsuk, and D. W. Stanley. “Long-term changes in watershed nutrient inputs and riverine exports in the Neuse River, North Carolina.” Water Research 35, no. 6 (April 2001): 1489–99. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0043-1354(00)00402-4.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., C. A. Stow, R. A. Luettich, H. W. Paerl, and J. L. Pinckney. “Modelling oxygen dynamics in an intermittently stratified estuary: Estimation of process rates using field data.” Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 52, no. 1 (January 1, 2001): 33–49. https://doi.org/10.1006/ecss.2000.0726.
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  - Qian, S. S., M. E. Borsuk, and C. A. Stow. “Seasonal and long-term nutrient trend decomposition along a spatial gradient in the neuse river watershed.” Environmental Science and Technology 34, no. 21 (November 1, 2000): 4474–82. https://doi.org/10.1021/es000989p.
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  - Borsuk, M. E., and C. A. Stow. “Bayesian parameter estimation in a mixed-order model of BOD decay.” Water Research 34, no. 6 (April 1, 2000): 1830–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0043-1354(99)00346-2.
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- Book Sections
  - Borsuk, M. E. “Statistical Prediction.” In Encyclopedia of Ecology, Five-Volume Set, 3362–73, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-008045405-4.00234-2.
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  - Borsuk, M. E. “Bayesian Networks.” In Encyclopedia of Ecology, Five-Volume Set, 307–17, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-008045405-4.00144-0.
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- Conference Papers
  - Su, C., M. E. Borsuk, A. Andrew, and M. Karagas. “Incorporating prior expert knowledge in learning Bayesian networks from genetic epidemiological data.” In 2014 Ieee Conference on Computational Intelligence in Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, Cibcb 2014, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1109/CIBCB.2014.6845507.
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  - Gerst, M. D., P. Ding, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “A possible integration of multiple paradigms used in integrated assessment modelling of climate change.” In Iemss 2012 Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, 1343–50, 2012.
  - Gerst, M. D., P. Wang, A. Roventini, G. Dosi, R. B. Howarth, and M. E. Borsuk. “Integrated assessment of mitigation strategies using an agent-based model of the linked energy, economic, and climate system.” In Iemss 2012 Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, 893–900, 2012.
  - Ding, P., C. E. S. Hoyle, and M. E. Borsuk. “Parameter optimization and Bayesian inference in an estuarine eutrophication model of intermediate complexity.” In Modelling for Environment’S Sake: Proceedings of the 5th Biennial Conference of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Iemss 2010, 2:1745–52, 2010.
  - Borsuk, M. E., S. Schweizer, and P. Reichert. “Addressing stakeholder concerns using the Integrative River Rehabilitation Model (IRRM).” In Proc. Iemss 4th Biennial Meeting Int. Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software: Integrating Sciences and Information Technology for Environmental Assessment and Decision Making, Iemss 2008, 2:842–49, 2008.
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