Scott de Marchi | Scholars@Duke

Scott de Marchi
Professor of Political Science

Scott de Marchi is Professor of Political Science and Director of the Decision Science program at Duke University. His work has been funded by the Department of Defense, the National Science Foundation, and USAID.

His research focuses on the use of mathematical methods, especially bargaining theory, computational social science, game theory, and machine learning and statistics. Substantively, he examines decision-making in contexts that include the American Congress, coalition bargaining in parliamentary democracies, crisis bargaining and interstate conflict, and voting behavior.

At Duke, he is the founder (and sometimes director) of the Modeling Economic and Political Systems Focus program (MESS) and the Decision Science program. He has been an external fellow at the Santa Fe Institute and the National Defense University and is currently a principal investigator for NSF’s EITM program.

Current Appointments & Affiliations

Professor of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2014

Contact Information

140 Science Drive, 294F Gross, Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708
Box 90204, Durham, NC 27708-0204
demarchi@duke.edu (919) 660-4300
Main Web Page

Research
Selected Grants
- Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (EITM) 2020 awarded by Princeton University 2020 - 2023
- CNH-Ex: Balancing Water Needs and Water Uses for Humans and Nature awarded by National Science Foundation 2013 - 2017
- Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (EITM) awarded by University of Michigan 2015 - 2016
- Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (EITM) awarded by University of Michigan 2015 - 2016
- EITM Summer Training Institute awarded by University of Michigan 2013 - 2015
- REU in Political Science: Ralph Bunche Summer Institute awarded by National Science Foundation 2012 - 2013
- REU Site: Ralph Bunche Summer Institute awarded by National Science Foundation 2000 - 2012
- Assessing the Accuracy of Self-reported Pollution Data awarded by National Science Foundation 2002 - 2004
Publications & Artistic Works
Selected Publications
- Books
  - Marchi, Scott de, and James T. Hamilton. You Are What You Choose. Penguin, 2009.
  - Marchi, Scott de. Computational and Mathematical Modeling in the Social Sciences. Cambridge University Press, 2005.
- Academic Articles
  - Stafford, Allison McCord, Aneri Tanna, Karina Moreno Bueno, Gabriela A. Nagy, Irene Crabtree Felsman, Scott de Marchi, Rushina Cholera, Kate Evans, Eliazar Posada, and Rosa Gonzalez-Guarda. “Documentation Status and Self-Rated Physical Health Among Latinx Young Adult Immigrants: the Mediating Roles of Immigration and Healthcare Stress.” J Racial Ethn Health Disparities 10, no. 2 (April 2023): 761–74. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40615-022-01264-z.
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  - Marchi, Scott de. “The complexity of polarization.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119, no. 17 (April 2022): e2115019119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2115019119.
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  - Marchi, Scott de, John Gerring, Alexandra Hartman, Monika Nalepa, Daniel Pemstein, and Brigitte Seim. “A Political Science Peer Review and Publication Consortium,” September 21, 2021.
  - De Marchi, S., S. Dorsey, and M. J. Ensley. “Policy and the structure of roll call voting in the US house.” Journal of Public Policy 41, no. 2 (June 1, 2021): 384–408. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0143814X20000069.
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  - Marchi, S. de, and M. Laver. “Government formation as logrolling in high-dimensional issue spaces.” Journal of Politics 82, no. 2 (April 1, 2020): 543–58. https://doi.org/10.1086/706462.
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  - Marchi, Scott de, and Scotte E. Page. “Computational Social Science: Discovery and Prediction. Edited by R. Michael Alvarez. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2016. 337p. $99.99 cloth, $34.99 paper.” Perspectives on Politics 14, no. 4 (December 2016): 1169–70. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1537592716003327.
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  - Cutler, J., S. De Marchi, M. Gallop, F. M. Hollenbach, M. Laver, and M. Orlowski. “Cabinet Formation and Portfolio Distribution in European Multiparty Systems.” British Journal of Political Science 46, no. 1 (February 13, 2014): 31–43. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123414000180.
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  - De Marchi, S., and S. E. Page. “Agent-based models.” Annual Review of Political Science 17 (January 1, 2014): 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-080812-191558.
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  - Sullivan, T., and S. De Marchi. “Congressional bargaining in presidential time: Give and take, anticipation, and the constitutional rationalization of dead ducks.” Journal of Politics 73, no. 3 (July 1, 2011): 748–63. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381611000430.
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  - Laver, M., S. de Marchi, and H. Mutlu. “Negotiation in legislatures over government formation.” Public Choice 147, no. 3–4 (June 1, 2011): 285–304. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-010-9627-4.
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  - Laver, M., S. de Marchi, and H. Mutlu. “Negotiation in legislatures over government formation.” Public Choice 147, no. 3/4 (2011): 285–304. https://doi.org/10.2307/41483661.
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  - Marchi, S. de, and T. Sullivan. “Congressional Bargaining in Presidential Time: Give and Take, Anticipation, and the Constitutional Rationalization of Dead Ducks.” Journal of Politics, 2011.
  - Ensley, M. J., M. W. Tofias, and S. D. Marchi. “District Complexity as an Advantage in Congressional Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 53, no. 4 (2009): 990–1005. https://doi.org/10.2307/20647962.
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  - Marchi, S. de, M. Munger, and M. Ensley. “Costly Search and the Advantages of Incumbency: Some Experimental Results.” Public Choice, 2008.
  - Ensley, M. J., S. De Marchi, and M. C. Munger. “Candidate uncertainty, mental models, and complexity: Some experimental results.” Public Choice 132, no. 1–2 (July 1, 2007): 231–46. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-007-9149-x.
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  - Ensley, M. J., M. C. Munger, and S. de Marchi. “Candidate Uncertainty, Mental Models, and Complexity: Some Experimental Results.” Public Choice 132, no. 1–2 (2007): 231–46. https://doi.org/10.2307/27698137.
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  - Marchi, S. de, and J. Hamilton. “Trust, but Verify: Assessing the Accuracy of Self-Reported Pollution Data.” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2006.
  - Marchi, Scott de, and J. T. Hamilton. “Assessing the Accuracy of Self-Reported Data: An Evaluation of the Toxics Release Inventory.” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, no. 32 (2006): 57–76.
  - De Marchi, S., C. Gelpi, and J. D. Grynaviski. “Untangling neural nets.” American Political Science Review 98, no. 2 (May 1, 2004): 371–78. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055404001200.
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  - Marchi, S. de, C. Gelpi, and J. Grynaviski. “Untangling Neural Networks.” American Political Science Review 98, no. 2 (2004).
  - Marchi, Scott de. “Elements of Reason Edited by Arthur Lupia, Matthew D. McCubbins, and Samuel L. Popkin. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000. 344p. $64.95 cloth, $22.95 paper.” American Political Science Review 96, no. 3 (September 2002): 645–46. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055402590365.
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  - Marchi, S. de, and B. Canes-Wrone. “The President’s Ability to Capitalize on Approval for Legislative Success.” Journal of Politics 64, no. 2 (2002).
  - De Marchi, S. “Adaptive models and electoral instability.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 11, no. 3 (January 1, 1999): 393–419. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951692899011003007.
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  - Marchi, S. de. “Adaptive Models and Electoral Instability.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 11, no. 3 (1999): 393–419.
  - Hinich, M. J., M. C. Munger, and S. De Marchi. “Ideology and the construction of nationality: The Canadian elections of 1993.” Public Choice 97, no. 3 (January 1, 1998): 401–28. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005089925291.
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  - Aldrich, John, Michael C. Brady, Scott de Marchi, Ian McDonald, Brendan Nyhan, David W. Rohde, and Michael Tofias. “The Dynamics of Partisan Behavior: CPG in the House and in the Districts 1982-2000,” n.d.
  - Marchi, S. de, M. Hinich, and M. Munger. “Ideology and the Construction of Nationality: The Canadian Elections of 1993.” Public Choice 97, no. 3 (n.d.): 401–28.
- Book Sections
  - Marchi, S. de, and S. E. Page. “Agent-Based Modeling.” In The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.003.0004.
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  - Marchi, S. de, J. Aldrich, M. Brady, I. McDonald, B. Nyhan, D. Rohde, and M. Tofias. “Party and Constituency in the U.S. Senate, 1933-2004.” In Why Not Parties? University of Chicago Press, 2008.
  - Marchi, S. de, and S. Page. “Computational and Agent Based Models.” In Oxford Handbook of Political Science Methodology, 2008.
  - Marchi, S. de. “A Computational Model of Voter Sophistication, Ideology and Candidate Position taking.” In Computational Models in Political Economy, edited by Ken Kollman, John H. Miller, and Scott E. Page. MIT Press, 2003.
Teaching & Mentoring
Recent Courses

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Selected Grants

Selected Publications

Books

Academic Articles

Book Sections

Recent Courses