Skip to main content
Journal cover image
The Economics of Environmental Risk: Information, Perception and Valuation

Do smokers respond to health shocks?

Publication ,  Chapter
Smith, VK; Taylor, DH; Sloan, FA; Johnson, FR; Desvousges, WH
December 13, 2022

This paper reports the first effort to use data to evaluate how new information, acquired through exogenous health shocks, affects people's longevity expectations. We find that smokers react differently to health shocks than do those who quit smoking or never smoked. These differences, together with insights from qualitative research conducted along with the statistical analysis, suggest specific changes in the health warnings used to reduce smoking. Our specific focus is on how current smokers responded to health information in comparison to former smokers and nonsmokers. The three groups use significantly different updating rules to revise their assessments about longevity. The most significant finding of our study documents that smokers differ from persons who do not smoke in how information influences their personal longevity expectations. When smokers experience smoking-related health shocks, they interpret this information as reducing their chances of living to age 75 or more. Our estimated models imply smokers update their longevity expectations more dramatically than either former smokers or those who never smoked. Smokers are thus assigning a larger risk equivalent to these shocks. They do not react comparably to general health shocks, implying that specific information about smoking-related health events is most likely to cause them to update beliefs. It remains to be evaluated whether messages can be designed that focus on the link between smoking and health outcomes in ways that will have comparable effects on smokers' risk perceptions. © 2001 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Duke Scholars

DOI

ISBN

9781858985251

Publication Date

December 13, 2022

Start / End Page

255 / 267
 

Citation

APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Smith, V. K., Taylor, D. H., Sloan, F. A., Johnson, F. R., & Desvousges, W. H. (2022). Do smokers respond to health shocks? In The Economics of Environmental Risk: Information, Perception and Valuation (pp. 255–267). https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035301614.00028
Smith, V. K., D. H. Taylor, F. A. Sloan, F. R. Johnson, and W. H. Desvousges. “Do smokers respond to health shocks?” In The Economics of Environmental Risk: Information, Perception and Valuation, 255–67, 2022. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035301614.00028.
Smith VK, Taylor DH, Sloan FA, Johnson FR, Desvousges WH. Do smokers respond to health shocks? In: The Economics of Environmental Risk: Information, Perception and Valuation. 2022. p. 255–67.
Smith, V. K., et al. “Do smokers respond to health shocks?The Economics of Environmental Risk: Information, Perception and Valuation, 2022, pp. 255–67. Scopus, doi:10.4337/9781035301614.00028.
Smith VK, Taylor DH, Sloan FA, Johnson FR, Desvousges WH. Do smokers respond to health shocks? The Economics of Environmental Risk: Information, Perception and Valuation. 2022. p. 255–267.
Journal cover image

DOI

ISBN

9781858985251

Publication Date

December 13, 2022

Start / End Page

255 / 267