What proportion of CT scan patients are alive or deceased after 10 years?

PURPOSE: When discussing radiation risks for patients who undergo many CT examinations, some question the risks, believing that most of these patients are already very sick and likely to die within a few years, thus negating worry about radiation risk. This study seeks to evaluate the validity of this notion. METHODS: In this retrospective single large-hospital study, patients who received CT exams in 2013 were sorted into four cumulative effective dose (CED) groups: Group A (>0 to <10 mSv), Group B (10 to <50 mSv), Group C (50 to < 100 mSv), and Group D (≥100 mSv). The death rates of patients in each group were analyzed, up to December 2023. RESULTS: 36,545 patients underwent CT examinations in 2013 (mean age, 56 ± 20 years, 51.4 % men). Death rates for all dose groups peaked in the year of imaging or 1 year after. At one year after imaging, Group D had 6.7 times and Group C had 4.3 times the death rate of Group A. However, a significant portion of these patients are alive after 10 years, with 1324/2756 patients (48.0 %) in Group C and 282/769 patients (36.7 %) in Group D with the potential to face radiation effects. CONCLUSIONS: While it is true that patients receiving relatively higher doses (≥50 mSv) are more likely to die within the first two years of receiving such doses, nearly one-third to half remain alive a decade after their CT scans, potentially facing the effects of radiation. This knowledge may help policymakers and practitioners.

Duke Scholars

Author Madan Mohan Rehani Radiology