Skip to main content
Journal cover image

Rising mortality rates linked to type-2 diabetes and obesity in the United States: An observational analysis from 1999 to 2022.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Ahmed, M; Nofal, A; Shafiq, A; Javaid, H; Ahsan, A; Nadeem, ZA; Ahmed, R; Alam, M; Mamas, MA; Fudim, M; Fonarow, GC
Published in: J Diabetes Investig
March 2025

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity are increasing in the United States. However, population-level data for mortality trends due to T2D and obesity are limited. This study aims to assess these death trends among adults in the United States categorized by sex, race, and geographical location. METHODS: We queried the CDC-WONDER database for multiple cause of death data of adults aged ≥25 years. The crude mortality rates (CMR), age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs), annual percent change (APC), and the average APC (AAPC) along with a 95% confidence interval (CI) were analyzed. RESULTS: From 1999 to 2022, a total of 88,597 T2DM and obesity-related deaths were recorded in the United States. The AAMR consistently increased from 1999 to 2017 (APC: 7.64; 95% CI: 1.91-9.96), followed by a marked rise from 2017 to 2022 (APC: 20.13; 95% CI: 12.88-38.57). The AAMR was approximately 3.58 times higher during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the period from 1999 to 2019. The AAMR for males was consistently greater than that for females. The highest AAMR was observed in non-Hispanic (NH) Blacks or African Americans, followed by NH White, Hispanic or Latino, and other NH populations. Rural areas (AAMR: 1.86, 95% CI: 1.83-1.89) exhibited a greater AAMR than urban regions 1.26 (95% CI: 1.25-1.27). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate a substantial increasing trend of T2D and obesity-related deaths in the United States especially during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Duke Scholars

Published In

J Diabetes Investig

DOI

EISSN

2040-1124

Publication Date

March 2025

Volume

16

Issue

3

Start / End Page

492 / 500

Location

Japan

Related Subject Headings

  • United States
  • Prevalence
  • Obesity
  • Mortality
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Female
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
  • COVID-19
 

Citation

APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Ahmed, M., Nofal, A., Shafiq, A., Javaid, H., Ahsan, A., Nadeem, Z. A., … Fonarow, G. C. (2025). Rising mortality rates linked to type-2 diabetes and obesity in the United States: An observational analysis from 1999 to 2022. J Diabetes Investig, 16(3), 492–500. https://doi.org/10.1111/jdi.14386
Ahmed, Mushood, Abdullah Nofal, Aimen Shafiq, Hira Javaid, Areeba Ahsan, Zain Ali Nadeem, Raheel Ahmed, et al. “Rising mortality rates linked to type-2 diabetes and obesity in the United States: An observational analysis from 1999 to 2022.J Diabetes Investig 16, no. 3 (March 2025): 492–500. https://doi.org/10.1111/jdi.14386.
Ahmed M, Nofal A, Shafiq A, Javaid H, Ahsan A, Nadeem ZA, et al. Rising mortality rates linked to type-2 diabetes and obesity in the United States: An observational analysis from 1999 to 2022. J Diabetes Investig. 2025 Mar;16(3):492–500.
Ahmed, Mushood, et al. “Rising mortality rates linked to type-2 diabetes and obesity in the United States: An observational analysis from 1999 to 2022.J Diabetes Investig, vol. 16, no. 3, Mar. 2025, pp. 492–500. Pubmed, doi:10.1111/jdi.14386.
Ahmed M, Nofal A, Shafiq A, Javaid H, Ahsan A, Nadeem ZA, Ahmed R, Alam M, Mamas MA, Fudim M, Fonarow GC. Rising mortality rates linked to type-2 diabetes and obesity in the United States: An observational analysis from 1999 to 2022. J Diabetes Investig. 2025 Mar;16(3):492–500.
Journal cover image

Published In

J Diabetes Investig

DOI

EISSN

2040-1124

Publication Date

March 2025

Volume

16

Issue

3

Start / End Page

492 / 500

Location

Japan

Related Subject Headings

  • United States
  • Prevalence
  • Obesity
  • Mortality
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Female
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
  • COVID-19