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State-level changes in racial disparities in probation and parole rates in the United States, 2001-2018.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Rigby, D; Hibi, D; Wygle, R; Lee, H; Casey, J; Gemmill, A; Bruckner, T
Published in: American journal of epidemiology
November 2025

Although the public health field has increasingly studied the collateral consequences of incarceration, we know little about the health consequences of other forms of criminal legal contact, including probation and parole. Understanding spatial and racial-ethnic variation in probation/parole across US states provides new insights into how community supervision impacts population health disparities. However, state-level probation/parole prevalence has not been adequately described. Using data from the Bureau of Justice Statistics and the Census for the years 2001 to 2018, we provide the first state-level estimates of probation and parole populations by race over time in the United States. We find large variation in disparities across states and time that is masked by national-level estimates. The US probation population decreased, and its racial composition remained steady between 2001 and 2018. However, in all but 5 states, the Black-White gap in probation rates declined. The Black-White gap in parole rates declined in all but 7 states. The extent to which these race-specific changes in probation or parole over time reflect adjudication processes favoring White people, and/or affect population health, warrant further investigation. This article is part of a Special Collection on Methods in Social Epidemiology.

Duke Scholars

Published In

American journal of epidemiology

DOI

EISSN

1476-6256

ISSN

0002-9262

Publication Date

November 2025

Volume

194

Issue

11

Start / End Page

3091 / 3098

Related Subject Headings

  • White
  • United States
  • Racial Groups
  • Prisoners
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Health Status Disparities
  • Female
  • Epidemiology
  • Criminals
 

Citation

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Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Rigby, D., Hibi, D., Wygle, R., Lee, H., Casey, J., Gemmill, A., & Bruckner, T. (2025). State-level changes in racial disparities in probation and parole rates in the United States, 2001-2018. American Journal of Epidemiology, 194(11), 3091–3098. https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwae460
Rigby, David, Daichi Hibi, Ruth Wygle, Hedwig Lee, Joan Casey, Alison Gemmill, and Tim Bruckner. “State-level changes in racial disparities in probation and parole rates in the United States, 2001-2018.American Journal of Epidemiology 194, no. 11 (November 2025): 3091–98. https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwae460.
Rigby D, Hibi D, Wygle R, Lee H, Casey J, Gemmill A, et al. State-level changes in racial disparities in probation and parole rates in the United States, 2001-2018. American journal of epidemiology. 2025 Nov;194(11):3091–8.
Rigby, David, et al. “State-level changes in racial disparities in probation and parole rates in the United States, 2001-2018.American Journal of Epidemiology, vol. 194, no. 11, Nov. 2025, pp. 3091–98. Epmc, doi:10.1093/aje/kwae460.
Rigby D, Hibi D, Wygle R, Lee H, Casey J, Gemmill A, Bruckner T. State-level changes in racial disparities in probation and parole rates in the United States, 2001-2018. American journal of epidemiology. 2025 Nov;194(11):3091–3098.
Journal cover image

Published In

American journal of epidemiology

DOI

EISSN

1476-6256

ISSN

0002-9262

Publication Date

November 2025

Volume

194

Issue

11

Start / End Page

3091 / 3098

Related Subject Headings

  • White
  • United States
  • Racial Groups
  • Prisoners
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Health Status Disparities
  • Female
  • Epidemiology
  • Criminals