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P16/HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma survival: Comparing primary surgery to primary chemoradiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Festa, BM; Schaefer, N; Reschly, W; Mendenhall, WM; Conrad, D; Hanubal, K; Shama, M; Dirain, CO; Hughley, B; Danan, D; Dziegielewski, PT
Published in: Eur J Surg Oncol
July 2025

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated differences in survival for p16/HPV-negative OPSCC patients treated with primary surgery versus primary (chemo-)radiation therapy (CRT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed, CINAHL and Web of Science databases and the online Cochrane Library were searched for relevant English language studies describing the survival outcomes of p16/HPV-negative OPSCC patients treated with primary surgery or primary CRT. The primary endpoint was the 5-year OS; the secondary endpoints included 5-year DSS and DFS, and 3- and 2-year OS, DSS and DFS. The pooled survival curves were estimated using a distribution-free approach assuming random effects. Cumulative KM curves for OS, DSS and DFS were built for each treatment group. RESULTS: Twenty-two publications were included in the final analysis. Patients included (n = 1903) were divided according to treatment ("surgery" group, n = 942; "RT/CRT" group, n = 961). For all the endpoints, surgery demonstrated improved short- and long-term survival compared to RT/CRT, although selection bias may have impacted the outcomes. The estimated pooled 5-year OS for the surgery and the RT/CRT group was 54.1 % (95 % CI: 44.4%-65.9 %) and 45.7 % (95 % CI: 41.8%-49.9 %), respectively. CONCLUSION: Primary surgery and primary CRT for p16/HPV-negative OPSCC both provide acceptable survival outcomes, although in many cases surgery has shown improved survival rates. Further research should focus on when each treatment modality should be used to achieve the goals of treatment completion, survival and functional outcomes.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Eur J Surg Oncol

DOI

EISSN

1532-2157

Publication Date

July 2025

Volume

51

Issue

7

Start / End Page

109739

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Survival Rate
  • Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck
  • Oropharyngeal Neoplasms
  • Oncology & Carcinogenesis
  • Humans
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16
  • Chemoradiotherapy
  • 3211 Oncology and carcinogenesis
  • 3202 Clinical sciences
  • 1112 Oncology and Carcinogenesis
 

Citation

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MLA
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Festa, B. M., Schaefer, N., Reschly, W., Mendenhall, W. M., Conrad, D., Hanubal, K., … Dziegielewski, P. T. (2025). P16/HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma survival: Comparing primary surgery to primary chemoradiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Surg Oncol, 51(7), 109739. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejso.2025.109739
Festa, Bianca Maria, Nancy Schaefer, William Reschly, William M. Mendenhall, Dustin Conrad, Krishna Hanubal, Mohamed Shama, et al. “P16/HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma survival: Comparing primary surgery to primary chemoradiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis.Eur J Surg Oncol 51, no. 7 (July 2025): 109739. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejso.2025.109739.
Festa BM, Schaefer N, Reschly W, Mendenhall WM, Conrad D, Hanubal K, et al. P16/HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma survival: Comparing primary surgery to primary chemoradiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Surg Oncol. 2025 Jul;51(7):109739.
Festa, Bianca Maria, et al. “P16/HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma survival: Comparing primary surgery to primary chemoradiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis.Eur J Surg Oncol, vol. 51, no. 7, July 2025, p. 109739. Pubmed, doi:10.1016/j.ejso.2025.109739.
Festa BM, Schaefer N, Reschly W, Mendenhall WM, Conrad D, Hanubal K, Shama M, Dirain CO, Hughley B, Danan D, Dziegielewski PT. P16/HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma survival: Comparing primary surgery to primary chemoradiotherapy. A systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Surg Oncol. 2025 Jul;51(7):109739.
Journal cover image

Published In

Eur J Surg Oncol

DOI

EISSN

1532-2157

Publication Date

July 2025

Volume

51

Issue

7

Start / End Page

109739

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Survival Rate
  • Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck
  • Oropharyngeal Neoplasms
  • Oncology & Carcinogenesis
  • Humans
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16
  • Chemoradiotherapy
  • 3211 Oncology and carcinogenesis
  • 3202 Clinical sciences
  • 1112 Oncology and Carcinogenesis