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Why ecologists struggle to predict coexistence from functional traits.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Levine, JI; An, R; Kraft, NJB; Pacala, SW; Levine, JM
Published in: Trends in ecology & evolution
February 2025

The rationale behind trait-based ecology is that shifting focus from species' taxonomic names to their measurable characteristics ('functional traits') leads to greater generality and predictive power. This idea has been applied to one of ecology's most intractable problems: the coexistence of competing species. But after 20 years, we lack clear evidence that functional traits effectively predict coexistence. Here, we present a theory-based argument for why this might be the case. Specifically, we argue that coexistence often depends on special quantities called 'process-informed metrics' (PIMs), which combine multiple traits and demographic characteristics in non-intuitive ways, obscuring any direct ties between individual traits and coexistence. We then lay a path forward for trait-based coexistence research that builds on mechanistic models of competition.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Trends in ecology & evolution

DOI

EISSN

1872-8383

ISSN

0169-5347

Publication Date

February 2025

Volume

40

Issue

2

Start / End Page

147 / 158

Related Subject Headings

  • Models, Biological
  • Life History Traits
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Ecosystem
  • Ecology
  • Animals
  • 41 Environmental sciences
  • 31 Biological sciences
  • 06 Biological Sciences
  • 05 Environmental Sciences
 

Citation

APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
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Levine, J. I., An, R., Kraft, N. J. B., Pacala, S. W., & Levine, J. M. (2025). Why ecologists struggle to predict coexistence from functional traits. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 40(2), 147–158. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2024.10.002
Levine, Jacob I., Ruby An, Nathan J. B. Kraft, Stephen W. Pacala, and Jonathan M. Levine. “Why ecologists struggle to predict coexistence from functional traits.Trends in Ecology & Evolution 40, no. 2 (February 2025): 147–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2024.10.002.
Levine JI, An R, Kraft NJB, Pacala SW, Levine JM. Why ecologists struggle to predict coexistence from functional traits. Trends in ecology & evolution. 2025 Feb;40(2):147–58.
Levine, Jacob I., et al. “Why ecologists struggle to predict coexistence from functional traits.Trends in Ecology & Evolution, vol. 40, no. 2, Feb. 2025, pp. 147–58. Epmc, doi:10.1016/j.tree.2024.10.002.
Levine JI, An R, Kraft NJB, Pacala SW, Levine JM. Why ecologists struggle to predict coexistence from functional traits. Trends in ecology & evolution. 2025 Feb;40(2):147–158.
Journal cover image

Published In

Trends in ecology & evolution

DOI

EISSN

1872-8383

ISSN

0169-5347

Publication Date

February 2025

Volume

40

Issue

2

Start / End Page

147 / 158

Related Subject Headings

  • Models, Biological
  • Life History Traits
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Ecosystem
  • Ecology
  • Animals
  • 41 Environmental sciences
  • 31 Biological sciences
  • 06 Biological Sciences
  • 05 Environmental Sciences