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Emergent microtubule properties in a model of filament turnover and nucleation.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Nelson, AC; McKinley, SA; Rolls, MM; Ciocanel, M-V
Published in: Journal of theoretical biology
January 2026

Microtubules (MTs) are dynamic protein filaments essential for intracellular organization and transport, particularly in long-lived cells such as neurons. The plus and minus ends of neuronal MTs switch between growth and shrinking phases, and the nucleation of new filaments is believed to be regulated in both healthy and injury conditions. We propose stochastic and deterministic mathematical models to investigate the impact of filament nucleation and length-regulation mechanisms on emergent properties such as MT lengths and numbers in living cells. We expand our stochastic continuous-time Markov chain model of filament dynamics to incorporate MT nucleation and capture realistic stochastic fluctuations in MT numbers and tubulin availability. We also propose a simplified partial differential equation (PDE) model, which allows for tractable analytical investigation into steady-state MT distributions under different nucleation and length-regulating mechanisms. We find that the stochastic and PDE modeling approaches show good agreement in MT length distributions, and that both MT nucleation and the catastrophe rate of large-length MTs regulate MT length distributions. In both frameworks, multiple mechanistic combinations achieve the same average MT length. The models proposed can predict parameter regimes where the system is scarce in tubulin, the building block of MTs, and suggest that low filament nucleation regimes are characterized by high variation in MT lengths, while high nucleation regimes drive high variation in MT numbers. These mathematical frameworks have the potential to improve our understanding of MT regulation in both healthy and injured neurons.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Journal of theoretical biology

DOI

EISSN

1095-8541

ISSN

0022-5193

Publication Date

January 2026

Volume

616

Start / End Page

112254

Related Subject Headings

  • Tubulin
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Neurons
  • Models, Biological
  • Microtubules
  • Markov Chains
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Animals
  • 49 Mathematical sciences
  • 31 Biological sciences
 

Citation

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Nelson, A. C., McKinley, S. A., Rolls, M. M., & Ciocanel, M.-V. (2026). Emergent microtubule properties in a model of filament turnover and nucleation. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 616, 112254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2025.112254
Nelson, Anna C., Scott A. McKinley, Melissa M. Rolls, and Maria-Veronica Ciocanel. “Emergent microtubule properties in a model of filament turnover and nucleation.Journal of Theoretical Biology 616 (January 2026): 112254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2025.112254.
Nelson AC, McKinley SA, Rolls MM, Ciocanel M-V. Emergent microtubule properties in a model of filament turnover and nucleation. Journal of theoretical biology. 2026 Jan;616:112254.
Nelson, Anna C., et al. “Emergent microtubule properties in a model of filament turnover and nucleation.Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 616, Jan. 2026, p. 112254. Epmc, doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2025.112254.
Nelson AC, McKinley SA, Rolls MM, Ciocanel M-V. Emergent microtubule properties in a model of filament turnover and nucleation. Journal of theoretical biology. 2026 Jan;616:112254.
Journal cover image

Published In

Journal of theoretical biology

DOI

EISSN

1095-8541

ISSN

0022-5193

Publication Date

January 2026

Volume

616

Start / End Page

112254

Related Subject Headings

  • Tubulin
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Neurons
  • Models, Biological
  • Microtubules
  • Markov Chains
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Animals
  • 49 Mathematical sciences
  • 31 Biological sciences