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Design aspects for prognostic factor studies.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Sekula, P; Steinbrenner, I; Schultheiss, UT; Valveny, N; Rebora, P; Halabi, S; Cadarette, SM; Riley, RD; Collins, GS; Sauerbrei, W; Gail, MH ...
Published in: BMJ Open
August 31, 2025

Prognostic research is clinically relevant and ultimately facilitates stratified medicine. However, its quality and output are limited. More guidance is needed to improve understanding and thus quality. On behalf of the topic group 'TG5: study design' of the STRATOS initiative and for the general readership, this article describes key concepts and issues for prognostic factor studies, a sub-area of prognosis research. After providing a general overview on prognosis research, the article covers aspects such as aims, estimands and designs of prognostic factor studies, highlighting standards and current practice. Focusing on prognostic factor studies that assess a single factor at a time and a binary outcome, this article is complemented by a glossary of terms and a list of general aspects to consider in prognostic factor studies.

Duke Scholars

Published In

BMJ Open

DOI

EISSN

2044-6055

Publication Date

August 31, 2025

Volume

15

Issue

8

Start / End Page

e095065

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Research Design
  • Prognosis
  • Humans
  • Biomedical Research
  • 52 Psychology
  • 42 Health sciences
  • 32 Biomedical and clinical sciences
  • 1199 Other Medical and Health Sciences
  • 1117 Public Health and Health Services
  • 1103 Clinical Sciences
 

Citation

APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Sekula, P., Steinbrenner, I., Schultheiss, U. T., Valveny, N., Rebora, P., Halabi, S., … for topic group 5 of the STRATOS initiative. (2025). Design aspects for prognostic factor studies. BMJ Open, 15(8), e095065. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095065
Sekula, Peggy, Inga Steinbrenner, Ulla T. Schultheiss, Neus Valveny, Paola Rebora, Susan Halabi, Suzanne M. Cadarette, et al. “Design aspects for prognostic factor studies.BMJ Open 15, no. 8 (August 31, 2025): e095065. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095065.
Sekula P, Steinbrenner I, Schultheiss UT, Valveny N, Rebora P, Halabi S, et al. Design aspects for prognostic factor studies. BMJ Open. 2025 Aug 31;15(8):e095065.
Sekula, Peggy, et al. “Design aspects for prognostic factor studies.BMJ Open, vol. 15, no. 8, Aug. 2025, p. e095065. Pubmed, doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095065.
Sekula P, Steinbrenner I, Schultheiss UT, Valveny N, Rebora P, Halabi S, Cadarette SM, Riley RD, Collins GS, Sauerbrei W, Gail MH, for topic group 5 of the STRATOS initiative. Design aspects for prognostic factor studies. BMJ Open. 2025 Aug 31;15(8):e095065.

Published In

BMJ Open

DOI

EISSN

2044-6055

Publication Date

August 31, 2025

Volume

15

Issue

8

Start / End Page

e095065

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Research Design
  • Prognosis
  • Humans
  • Biomedical Research
  • 52 Psychology
  • 42 Health sciences
  • 32 Biomedical and clinical sciences
  • 1199 Other Medical and Health Sciences
  • 1117 Public Health and Health Services
  • 1103 Clinical Sciences