Real Options, Volatility, and Stock Returns

We provide evidence that the positive relation between firm-level stock returns and firm-level return volatility is due to firms' real options. Consistent with real option theory, we find that the positive volatility-return relation is much stronger for firms with more real options and that the sensitivity of firm value to changes in volatility declines significantly after firms exercise their real options. We reconcile the evidence at the aggregate and firm levels by showing that the negative relation at the aggregate level may be due to aggregate market conditions that simultaneously affect both market returns and return volatility. © 2012 the American Finance Association.

Duke Scholars

Author Evgeny Lyandres Fuqua School of Business