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A Data-driven Approach in Real-time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity

Publication ,  Conference
Das, A; Hale, E; Candon, M; Marzocca, P
Published in: AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025
January 1, 2025

The release of stores from internal carriage configurations in modern aircraft requires precise modeling due to the highly unsteady flow dynamics involved. Traditional methods for predicting store trajectories are often computationally intensive, making real-time predictions challenging. In this study, we develop a data-driven reduced-order model (ROM) capable of accurately predicting the real-time trajectory of a store released from an internal cavity. Using data generated from two-dimensional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, we employ Dynamic Time Warping (DTW)-based clustering to group similar cases and Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) for mode reduction. A Support Vector Machine (SVM)-based regression model is then used to predict the POD components for new cases. The proposed ROM successfully predicts the x-position, y-position, and orientation of the store with moderate to satisfactory accuracy when compared to CFD simulations. However, limitations in predicting higher-order POD modes, particularly for the y-position, indicate areas for future improvement. Despite these challenges, the proposed ROM shows significant promise for efficiently predicting store trajectories, making it a viable solution for real-time analysis in defense and aerospace applications.

Duke Scholars

Published In

AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025

DOI

Publication Date

January 1, 2025
 

Citation

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Das, A., Hale, E., Candon, M., & Marzocca, P. (2025). A Data-driven Approach in Real-time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity. In AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025. https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2025-1261
Das, A., E. Hale, M. Candon, and P. Marzocca. “A Data-driven Approach in Real-time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity.” In AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025, 2025. https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2025-1261.
Das A, Hale E, Candon M, Marzocca P. A Data-driven Approach in Real-time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity. In: AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025. 2025.
Das, A., et al. “A Data-driven Approach in Real-time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity.” AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025, 2025. Scopus, doi:10.2514/6.2025-1261.
Das A, Hale E, Candon M, Marzocca P. A Data-driven Approach in Real-time Trajectory Prediction of Store Release from Cavity. AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025. 2025.

Published In

AIAA Science and Technology Forum and Exposition AIAA Scitech Forum 2025

DOI

Publication Date

January 1, 2025