Methods for national population forecasts: a review.
Publication
, Journal Article
Land, KC
Published in: Journal of the American Statistical Association
December 1986
"Three widely used classes of methods for forecasting national populations are reviewed: demographic accounting/cohort-component methods for long-range projections, statistical time series methods for short-range forecasts, and structural modeling methods for the simulation and forecasting of the effects of policy changes. In each case, the major characteristics, strengths, and weaknesses of the methods are described. Factors that place intrinsic limits on the accuracy of population forecasts are articulated. Promising lines of additional research by statisticians and demographers are identified for each class of methods and for population forecasting generally."
Duke Scholars
Published In
Journal of the American Statistical Association
DOI
EISSN
1537-274X
ISSN
0162-1459
Publication Date
December 1986
Volume
81
Issue
396
Start / End Page
888 / 901
Related Subject Headings
- Time Factors
- Statistics as Topic
- Statistics & Probability
- Research Design
- Research
- Reproducibility of Results
- Population Dynamics
- Population
- Models, Theoretical
- Methods
Citation
APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Land, K. C. (1986). Methods for national population forecasts: a review. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81(396), 888–901. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1986.10478347
Land, K. C. “Methods for national population forecasts: a review.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 81, no. 396 (December 1986): 888–901. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1986.10478347.
Land KC. Methods for national population forecasts: a review. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1986 Dec;81(396):888–901.
Land, K. C. “Methods for national population forecasts: a review.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol. 81, no. 396, Dec. 1986, pp. 888–901. Epmc, doi:10.1080/01621459.1986.10478347.
Land KC. Methods for national population forecasts: a review. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1986 Dec;81(396):888–901.
Published In
Journal of the American Statistical Association
DOI
EISSN
1537-274X
ISSN
0162-1459
Publication Date
December 1986
Volume
81
Issue
396
Start / End Page
888 / 901
Related Subject Headings
- Time Factors
- Statistics as Topic
- Statistics & Probability
- Research Design
- Research
- Reproducibility of Results
- Population Dynamics
- Population
- Models, Theoretical
- Methods