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Attila Ambrus

Professor of Economics
Economics
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708
313 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708

Selected Publications


Informal Risk Sharing with Local Information

Journal Article Review of Economic Studies · October 1, 2022 This article considers the effect of contracting limitations in risk-sharing networks, arising for example from observability, verifiability, complexity, or cultural constraints. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for Pareto efficiency under the ... Full text Cite

A Delegation-Based Theory of Expertise

Other American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · November 1, 2021 Featured Publication We investigate information aggregation and competition in a delegation framework. An uninformed principal is unable to perform a task herself and must choose between one of two biased and imperfectly informed experts. In the focal equilibrium, experts exag ... Open Access Link to item Cite

On defining ex ante payoffs in games with diffuse prior

Journal Article Economic Theory · September 1, 2021 While the diffuse prior has been widely used in applied economic theory for its technical convenience and as a way of modeling complete lack of knowledge, it is not formally defined, nor are ex ante payoffs in games under this prior. In this paper, we prov ... Full text Cite

Investments in social ties, risk sharing, and inequality

Journal Article The Review of Economic Studies · July 1, 2021 Featured Publication This article investigates stable and efficient networks in the context of risk sharing, when it is costly to establish and maintain relationships that facilitate risk sharing. We find a novel trade-off between efficiency and equality: the most stable effic ... Open Access Link to item Cite

Loss in the time of cholera: Long-run impact of a disease epidemic on the urban landscape

Journal Article American Economic Review · January 1, 2020 Featured Publication How do geographically concentrated income shocks influence the long-run spatial distribution of poverty within a city? We examine the impact on housing prices of a cholera epidemic in one neighborhood of nineteenth century London. Ten years after the epide ... Full text Cite

Individual, Dictator, and Democratic punishment in public good games with perfect and imperfect observability

Journal Article Journal of Public Economics · October 1, 2019 Featured Publication In the context of repeated public good contribution games, we experimentally compare the institution of democratic punishment, where members of a group decide by majority voting whether to inflict punishment on another member, with individual peer-to-peer ... Full text Cite

The Effects of a ‘None of the Above’ Ballot Paper Option on Voting Behavior and Election Outcomes

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper · March 14, 2019 Cite

Pirates of the Mediterranean: An empirical investigation of bargaining with asymmetric information

Journal Article Quantitative Economics · March 1, 2018 We investigate the effect of delay on prices in bargaining situations using a data set containing thousands of captives ransomed from Barbary pirates between 1575 and 1692. Plausibly exogenous variation in the delay in ransoming provides evidence that nego ... Full text Cite

Delegation and Nonmonetary Incentives

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · December 4, 2015 In many contracting settings, actions costly to one party but with no direct benefits to the other (money-burning) may be part of the explicit or implicit contract. A leading example is bureaucratic procedures in an employer-employee relationship. We study ... Open Access Cite

Supplementary Appendix to 'Delegation and Nonmonetary Incentives'

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · December 4, 2015 Supplementary Appendix to "Delegation and Nonmonetary Incentives." ... Open Access Cite

The Case for Nil Votes: Voter Behavior Under Asymmetric Information in Compulsory and Voluntary Voting Systems

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · December 2, 2015 We experimentally study the impact of adding an explicit nil vote option to the ballot in both compulsory and voluntary voting settings. We investigate this issue in an informational voting setting, in which some voters are uninformed and face the swing vo ... Open Access Cite

A Delegation-Based Theory of Expertise

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · September 17, 2015 Featured Publication We investigate competition in a delegation framework, with a coarsely informed principal. Two imperfectly informed and biased experts simultaneously propose action choices. A principal with a diffuse prior, and only being able to ordinally compare the two ... Open Access Cite

Supplementary Appendix to 'A Delegation-Based Theory of Expertise'

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · September 17, 2015 This supplement provides welfare results not contained in the main text and a proof of Lemma A.1. For small bonuses, a mixed equilibrium exists if and only if a downward equilibrium exists; if so, it is unique. For large bonuses, we find a unique candidate ... Open Access Cite

Democratic Punishment in Public Good Games with Perfect and Imperfect Observability

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · August 26, 2015 In the context of repeated public good contribution games, we experimentally investigate the impact of democratic punishment, when members of a group decide by majority voting whether to inflict punishment on another member, relative to individual peer-to- ... Open Access Cite

On Asynchronicity of Moves and Coordination

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · March 23, 2015 This paper shows that asynchronicity of moves can lead to a unique prediction in coordination games, in an infinite-horizon setting, under certain conditions on off-equilibrium payoffs. In two-player games we derive necessary and sufficient conditions for ... Open Access Cite

Social Investments, Informal Risk Sharing, and Inequality

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper · March 16, 2015 Cite

Supplement to 'Compensated Discount Functions: An Experiment on the Influence of Expected Income on Time Preferences'

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper · March 1, 2015 This Supplementary Appendix contains the English translations of the experimental questionnaire, survey questions, and instructions that were used in our experimental sessions on June 9th and 10th of 2010. For the original Icelandic language documents, ple ... Open Access Cite

A continuous-time model of multilateral bargaining

Journal Article American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · January 1, 2015 We propose a finite-horizon continuous-time framework for coalitional bargaining, in which players can make offers at random discrete times. In our model: (i) expected payoffs in Markov perfect equilibrium (MPE) are unique, generating sharp predictions and ... Full text Cite

Almost fully revealing cheap talk with imperfectly informed senders

Journal Article Games and Economic Behavior · November 1, 2014 We show that in multi-sender communication games where senders imperfectly observe the state, if the state space is large enough, then there can exist equilibria arbitrarily close to full revelation of the state as the noise in the senders' observations ge ... Full text Cite

Consumption Risk-Sharing in Social Networks

Journal Article American Economic Review · January 2014 We develop a model in which connections between individuals serve as social collateral to enforce informal insurance payments. We show that: (i) The degree of insurance is governed by the expansiveness of the network, measured with the per capita number o ... Cite

Legislative committees as information intermediaries: A unified theory of committee selection and amendment rules

Journal Article Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization · October 1, 2013 This paper considers a model of legislative decision-making, in which information must be collected from a strategic lobbyist. The legislature appoints a committee to communicate with the lobbyist and propose a bill, and determines whether the proposal is ... Full text Cite

How Individual Preferences Get Aggregated in Groups - An Experimental Study

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · September 19, 2013 This paper experimentally investigates how individual preferences, through unrestricted deliberation, get aggregated into a group decision in two contexts: reciprocating gifts, and choosing between lotteries. In both contexts we find that median group memb ... Cite

Gradual Bidding in Ebay-Like Auctions

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · September 5, 2013 This paper shows that in online auctions like eBay, if bidders can only place bids at random times, then many di fferent equilibria arise besides truthful bidding, despite the option to leave proxy bids. These equilibria can involve gradual bidding, period ... Open Access Cite

Legislative Committees as Information Intermediaries

Journal Article Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization · 2013 Cite

Comment on "Commitment vs. Flexibility"

Journal Article Econometrica · January 1, 2013 This comment corrects two results in the 2006 Econometrica paper by Amador, Werning, and Angeletos (AWA), that features a model in which individuals face a trade-off between flexibility and commitment. First, in contrast to Proposition 1 in AWA, we show th ... Full text Cite

Imperfect public monitoring with costly punishment: An experimental study

Journal Article American Economic Review · December 1, 2012 This paper experimentally investigates the effects of a costly punishment option on cooperation and social welfare in long, finitely repeated public good contribution games. In a perfect monitoring environment, increasing the severity of the potential puni ... Full text Cite

Testing an Informational Theory of Legislation: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives: Supplementary Appendix

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · October 9, 2012 Supplementary Appendix to Testing an Informational Theory of Legislation: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives. ... Open Access Cite

Rationalizing Choice with Multi-Self Models

Journal Article Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · May 1, 2012 This paper studies a class of multi-self decision-making models proposed in economics, psychology, and marketing. In this class, choices arise from the set-dependent aggregation of a collection of utility functions, where the aggregation procedure satisfie ... Cite

Commitment-Flexibility Trade-Off and Withdrawal Penalties

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) · March 1, 2012 Withdrawal penalties are common features of time deposit contracts offered by commercial banks, as well as individual retirement accounts and employer-sponsored plans. Moreover, there is a significant amount of early withdrawals from these accounts, despit ... Open Access Cite

Appendix for Pirates of the Mediterranean: An Empirical Investigation of Bargaining with Transaction Costs

Other Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper · December 22, 2011 Cite

Cooperation over finite horizons: a theory and experiments

Journal Article Journal of Public Economics · 2011 Link to item Cite

Hierarchical cheap talk

Journal Article Accepted by Theoretical Economics · 2011 Link to item Cite

Muslim family law, prenuptial agreements, and the emergence of dowry in Bangladesh

Journal Article Quarterly Journal of Economics · August 1, 2010 We explain trends in dowry levels in Bangladesh by drawing attention to an institutional feature of marriage contracts previously ignored in the literature: mehr or traditional Islamic bride-price. We develop a model of marriage contracts in which mehr ser ... Full text Cite

Theories of coalitional rationality

Journal Article Journal of Economic Theory · March 1, 2009 This paper generalizes the concept of best response to coalitions of players and offers epistemic definitions of coalitional rationalizability in normal form games. The (best) response of a coalition is defined to be an operator from sets of conjectures to ... Full text Cite

Asymmetric networks in two-sided markets

Journal Article American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · February 1, 2009 This paper investigates pricing decisions and network choices in twosided markets with network externalities. Consumers are heterogeneous in how much they value the externality. Imposing restrictions on the extent of coordination failure among consumers ge ... Full text Cite

Price dispersion and loss leaders

Journal Article Theoretical Economics · December 1, 2008 Dispersion in retail prices of identical goods is inconsistent with the standard model of price competition among identical firms, which predicts that all prices will be driven down to cost. One common explanation for such dispersion is the use of a loss-l ... Cite

Early marriage, age of menarche, and female schooling attainment in Bangladesh

Journal Article Journal of Political Economy · October 1, 2008 Using data from rural Bangladesh, we explore the hypothesis that women attain less schooling as a result of social and financial pressure to marry young. We isolate the causal effect of marriage timing using age of menarche as an instrumental variable. Our ... Full text Cite

Multi-sender cheap talk with restricted state spaces

Journal Article Theoretical Economics · March 1, 2008 This paper analyzes multi-sender cheap talk when the state space might be restricted, either because the policy space is restricted or the set of rationalizable policies of the receiver is not the whole space. We provide a necessary and sufficient conditio ... Cite

Coalitional rationalizability

Journal Article Quarterly Journal of Economics · August 7, 2006 This paper investigates how groups or coalitions of players can act in their collective interest in noncooperative normal form games even if equilibrium play is not assumed. The main idea is that each member of a coalition will confine play to a subset of ... Full text Cite