V. Joseph Hotz | Scholars@Duke

V. Joseph Hotz
Arts and Sciences Distinguished Professor of Economics

Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.

Current Appointments & Affiliations

Arts and Sciences Distinguished Professor of Economics, Economics, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2008
Professor of Economics, Economics, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2007
Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University 2022
Faculty Research Scholar of DuPRI's Population Research Center, Duke Population Research Center, Duke Population Research Institute 2010
Faculty Affiliate in the Center for Child and Family Policy in the Sanford School, Center for Child and Family Policy, Sanford School of Public Policy 2022

Contact Information

1501 N State Pkwy, Unit 17A, Chicago, IL 60610
243 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
v.joseph.hotz@duke.edu (310) 780-4689
Personal Website

Background
Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., University of Wisconsin - Madison 1980
- M.S., University of Wisconsin - Madison 1977
- B.A., University of Notre Dame 1972
Recognition
In the News
- MAY 13, 2014 NPR’s “Morning Edition”
  
  More parental attention may give first-born kids advantages
- MAY 5, 2014 The Wall Street Journal
  
  Joseph Hotz comments: Just how much are parents bailing out their student-debt-addled kids?
- OCT 31, 2013 Slate
  
  Why First-Born Kids Do Better in School
- OCT 31, 2013 “PBS NewsHour”
  
  Why does the first child get the gold? An economics answer
Awards & Honors
- Fellow. Econometric Society. 2003
- Researcher (NBER Family Members). National Bureau of Economic Research. 1997
Expertise
Global Scholarship
- Expertise
  - United States of America (Country)
Research
Selected Grants
- Tracing the Health Consequences of Family Support during the COVID-19 Pandemic awarded by Syracuse University 2022 - 2027
- Great Smoky Mountains Study of Rural Aging awarded by University of Vermont 2021 - 2026
- Add Health Parent Study: Phase I awarded by National Institutes of Health 2013 - 2019
- Panel Study of Income Dynamics awarded by University of Michigan 2012 - 2018
- NCRN-MN:Triangle Census Research Network awarded by National Science Foundation 2011 - 2016
- Preferences and Economic Decision-Making awarded by National Institutes of Health 2005 - 2012
Publications & Artistic Works
Selected Publications
- Academic Articles
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Christopher R. Bollinger, Tatiana Komarova, Charles F. Manski, Robert A. Moffitt, Denis Nekipelov, Aaron Sojourner, and Bruce D. Spencer. “Balancing data privacy and usability in the federal statistical system.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119, no. 31 (August 2022): e2104906119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2104906119.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Joseph Salvo. “A Chronicle of the Application of Differential Privacy to the 2020 Census.” Harvard Data Science Review, June 24, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.ff891fe5.
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  - Ashworth, J., V. J. Hotz, A. Maurel, and T. Ransom. “Changes across cohorts in wage returns to schooling and early work experiences.” Journal of Labor Economics, October 1, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1086/711851.
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  - Duke, Naomi N., Todd M. Jensen, Krista M. Perreira, V Joseph Hotz, and Kathleen Mullan Harris. “The Role of Family Health History in Predicting Midlife Chronic Disease Outcomes.” American Journal of Preventive Medicine 61, no. 4 (October 2021): 509–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2021.02.021.
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  - Jensen, Todd M., Naomi N. Duke, Kathleen Mullan Harris, V Joseph Hotz, and Krista M. Perreira. “Like Parent, Like Child: Intergenerational Patterns of Cardiovascular Risk Factors at Midlife.” J Adolesc Health 68, no. 3 (March 2021): 596–603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jadohealth.2020.06.039.
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  - Arcidiacono, P., V. Joseph Hotz, A. Maurel, and T. Romano. “Ex ante returns and occupational choice.” Journal of Political Economy 128, no. 12 (December 1, 2020): 4475–4522. https://doi.org/10.1086/710559.
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  - Wiemers, Emily E., Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V Joseph Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni, and Judith A. Seltzer. “Disparities in vulnerability to complications from COVID-19 arising from disparities in preexisting conditions in the United States.” Research in Social Stratification and Mobility 69 (October 2020): 100553. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rssm.2020.100553.
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  - Wiemers, Emily E., Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V Joseph Hotz, Robert F. Schoeni, and Judith A. Seltzer. “Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States.” Medrxiv : The Preprint Server for Health Sciences, May 30, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.28.20115899.
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  - Choi, HwaJung, Robert F. Schoeni, Emily E. Wiemers, V Joseph Hotz, and Judith A. Seltzer. “Spatial Distance between Parents and Adult Children in the United States.” Journal of Marriage and the Family 82, no. 2 (April 2020): 822–40. https://doi.org/10.1111/jomf.12606.
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  - Hotz, V. J., and M. Wiswall. “Child Care and Child Care Policy: Existing Policies, Their Effects, and Reforms.” Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 686, no. 1 (November 1, 2019): 310–38. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716219884078.
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  - Wiemers, Emily E., Judith A. Seltzer, Robert F. Schoeni, V Joseph Hotz, and Suzanne M. Bianchi. “Stepfamily Structure and Transfers Between Generations in U.S. Families.” Demography 56, no. 1 (February 2019): 229–60. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-018-0740-1.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, Emily Wiemers, Joshua Rasmussen, and Kate Koegel. “The Role of Parental Wealth and Income in Financing Children's College Attendance and its Consequences,” October 2018.
  - Ashworth, Jared, V Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel, and Tyler Ransom. “Changes Across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences,” May 27, 2018.
  - Ashworth, Jared, V Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel, and Tyler Ransom. “Changes Across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences,” December 2017.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Per Johansson, and Arizo Karimi. “Parenthood, Family Friendly Workplaces, and the Gender Gaps in Early Work Careers,” December 2017.
  - Aucejo, E. M., F. A. Bugni, and V. J. Hotz. “Identification and inference on regressions with missing covariate data.” Econometric Theory 33, no. 1 (February 1, 2017): 196–241. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466615000250.
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  - Aucejo, Esteban M., Federico A. Bugni, and V Joseph Hotz. “IDENTIFICATION AND INFERENCE ON REGRESSIONS WITH MISSING COVARIATE DATA.” Econometric Theory 33, no. 01 (February 2017): 196–241.
  - Wiemers, Emily E., Vladislav Slanchev, Kathleen McGarry, and V Joseph Hotz. “Living Arrangements of Mothers and Their Adult Children Over the Life Course.” Research on Aging 39, no. 1 (January 2017): 111–34. https://doi.org/10.1177/0164027516656138.
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  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban M. Aucejo, and V Joseph Hotz. “University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California.” American Economic Review 106, no. 3 (March 2016).
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Juan Pantano. “Strategic parenting, birth order, and school performance.” Journal of Population Economics 28, no. 4 (October 2015): 911–36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-015-0542-3.
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  - Arcidiacono, P., V. Hotz, A. Maurel, and T. Romano. “Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations Using Subjective Expectations Data.” Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (Erid) Working Paper, no. 178 (October 1, 2014).
  - HOTZ, V J. O. S. E. P. H., and M. O. XIAO. “STRATEGIC INFORMATION DISCLOSURE: THE CASE OF MULTIATTRIBUTE PRODUCTS WITH HETEROGENEOUS CONSUMERS.” Economic Inquiry 51, no. 1 (January 2013): 865–81.
  - Hotz, V. J., and M. Xiao. “Strategic information disclosure: The case of multiattribute products with heterogeneous consumers.” Economic Inquiry 51, no. 1 (January 1, 2013): 865–81. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.2010.00340.x.
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  - Cahuc, P., V. J. Hotz, A. C. Gielen, and K. F. Zimmermann. “Editorial: IZA Journal of Labor Economics.” Iza Journal of Labor Economics 1, no. 1 (December 1, 2012). https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-8997-1-1.
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  - Arcidiacono, P., V. J. Hotz, and S. Kang. “Modeling college major choices using elicited measures of expectations and counterfactuals.” Journal of Econometrics 166, no. 1 (January 1, 2012): 3–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.06.002.
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  - Arcidiacono, Peter, V Joseph Hotz, and Songman Kang. “Modeling college major choices using elicited measures of expectations and counterfactuals” 166, no. 1 (2012): 3–16.
  - Joseph Hotz, V., and Mo Xiao. “The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets.” The American Economic Review 101, no. 5 (August 2011): 1775–1805. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.101.5.1775.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Mo Xiao. “The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets.” American Economic Review 101, no. 5 (August 2011): 1775–1805.
  - Fajnzylber, Eduardo, V Joseph Hotz, and Seth G. Sanders. “An economic model of amniocentesis choice.” Advances in Life Course Research 15, no. 1 (March 2010): 11–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2010.08.001.
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  - Klerman, Jacob Alex, Amy G. Cox, V Joseph Hotz, and Charles Mullins. “Program Take-Up Among CalWORKs Leavers: Medi-Cal, Food Stamps, and the EITC: An Evaluation of Participation in Work-Support Programs by CalWORKs Leavers,” January 19, 2010.
  - Crump, R. K., V. J. Hotz, G. W. Imbens, and O. A. Mitnik. “Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects.” Biometrika 96, no. 1 (March 1, 2009): 187–99. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asn055.
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  - Crump, R. K., V. Joseph Hotz, G. W. Imbens, and O. A. Mitnik. “Nonparametric tests for treatment effect heterogeneity.” Review of Economics and Statistics 90, no. 3 (August 1, 2008): 389–405. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.90.3.389.
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  - Hao, Lingxin, V Joseph Hotz, and Ginger Z. Jin. “Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers.” Economic Journal (London, England) 118, no. 528 (April 2008): 515–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2008.02132.x.
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  - Hotz, V. J., and J. K. Scholz. “Can administrative data on child support be used to improve the EITC? Evidence from Wisconsin.” National Tax Journal 61, no. 2 (January 1, 2008): 189–203. https://doi.org/10.17310/ntj.2008.2.02.
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  - Bacolod, M., and V. Joseph Hotz. “Cohort changes in the transition from school to work: Evidence from three NLS surveys.” Economics of Education Review 25, no. 4 (August 1, 2006): 351–73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2005.09.004.
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  - Hotz, V. J., G. W. Imbens, and J. A. Klerman. “Evaluating the differential effects of alternative welfare-to-work training components: A reanalysis of the California GAIN program.” Journal of Labor Economics 24, no. 3 (July 1, 2006): 521–66. https://doi.org/10.1086/505050.
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  - Hao, Lingxin, V Joseph Hotz, and Ginger Zhe Jin. “Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers,” December 2005.
  - Seltzer, Judith A., Christine A. Bachrach, Suzanne M. Bianchi, Caroline H. Bledsoe, Lynne M. Casper, P Lindsay Chase-Lansdale, Thomas A. Diprete, et al. “Explaining Family Change and Variation: Challenges for Family Demographers.” Journal of Marriage and the Family 67, no. 4 (November 2005): 908–25. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1741-3737.2005.00183.x.
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  - Hotz, V. J., G. W. Imbens, and J. H. Mortimer. “Predicting the efficacy of future training programs using past experiences at other locations.” Journal of Econometrics 125, no. 1-2 SPEC. ISS. (March 1, 2005): 241–70. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.04.009.
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  - Hotz, V. J., S. W. McElroy, and S. G. Sanders. “Teenage childbearing and its life cycle consequences: Exploiting a natural experiment.” Journal of Human Resources 40, no. 3 (January 1, 2005): 683–715. https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.xl.3.683.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, Susan Williams McElroy, and Seth G. Sanders. “Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment.” Journal of Human Resources 40, no. 3 (2005).
  - Currie, J., and V. Joseph Hotz. “Inequality in life and death: What drives racial trends in U.S. child death rates?,” December 1, 2004, 569–632.
  - Currie, Janet, and V Joseph Hotz. “Accidents will happen? Unintentional childhood injuries and the effects of child care regulations.” Journal of Health Economics 23, no. 1 (January 2004): 25–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2003.07.004.
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  - Currie, Janet, and V Joseph Hotz. “Accidents will happen?: Unintentional childhood injuries and the effects of child care regulations” 23, no. 1 (January 2004): 25–59.
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  - Hotz, V. J., C. H. Mullin, and J. K. Scholz. “Welfare, Employment, and Income: Evidence on the Effects of Benefit Reductions from California.” American Economic Review 92, no. 2 (May 1, 2002): 380–84. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282802320191651.
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  - Joseph Hotz, V., L. C. Xu, M. Tienda, and A. Ahituv. “Are there returns to the wages of young men from working while in school?” Review of Economics and Statistics 84, no. 2 (May 1, 2002): 221–36. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465302317411497.
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  - Hotz, V. J., and J. Scholz. “Measuring Employment and Income Outcomes for Low-Income Populations with Administrative and Survey Data.” Studies of Welfare Populations: Data Collection and Research Issues, 2002, 275–315.
  - Hotz, V. J., and J. Adams. “"The Statistical Power of National Data to Evaluate Welfare Reform".” Evaluating Welfare Reform in an Era of Transition, 2001, 209–19.
  - Scholz, J. K. “Not Perfect, but Still Pretty Good: The EITC and Other Policies to Support the U.S. Low-Wage Labour Market.” Oecd Economic Studies 2000/II, no. 31 (2000): 25–42.
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  - Hill, C. J., and J. K. Scholz. “Evaluating Work-Related Cash Benefit Programs: The Earned Income Tax Credit.” New Directions in Program Evaluation 79 (October 1998): 25–42.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Charles H. Mullin, and Seth G. Sanders. “Bounding Causal Effects Using Data from a Contaminated Natural Experiment: Analysing the Effects of Teenage Childbearing.” The Review of Economic Studies 64, no. 4 (1997): 575–603.
  - Hotz, V. J., C. H. Mullin, and S. G. Sanders. “Bounding Causal Effects Using Data from a Contaminated Natural Experiment: Analysing the Effects of Teenage Childbearing.” Review of Economic Studies 64, no. 4 (January 1, 1997): 575–603. https://doi.org/10.2307/2971732.
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  - Mullin, C., and S. Sanders. “Bounding Causal Effects Using Data from a Contaminated Natural Experiment: Analyzing the Effects of Teenage Childbearing.” Review of Economic Studies 64 (1997): 576–603.
  - Ahituv, A., and T. Philipson. “The Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Local Prevalence of AIDS.” Journal of Human Resources 21, no. 4 (October 1996): 869–97.
  - Ahituv, A., V. J. Hotz, and T. Philipson. “The responsiveness of the demand for condoms to the local prevalence of AIDS.” Journal of Human Resources 31, no. 4 (January 1, 1996): 869–97. https://doi.org/10.2307/146150.
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  - Joseph Hotz, V. “Initial Labor Market Experiences of Minority and Nonminority Men.” Proceedings of the Industrial Relations Research Association, 1995, 256–65.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Robert A. Miller, Seth Sanders, and Jeffrey Smith. “A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice.” Review of Economic Studies 61, no. 2 (April 1994).
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Robert A. Miller, Seth Sanders, and Jeffrey Smith. “A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice.” The Review of Economic Studies 61, no. 2 (1994): 265–89.
  - Hotz, V. J., R. A. Miller, S. Sanders, and J. Smith. “A simulation estimator for dynamic models of discrete choice.” Review of Economic Studies 61, no. 2 (January 1, 1994): 265–89. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297981.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Robert A. Miller. “Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models.” Review of Economic Studies 60, no. 3 (July 1993): 497–529.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Robert A. Miller. “Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models.” The Review of Economic Studies 60, no. 3 (1993): 497–529.
  - Joseph Hotz, V., and R. A. Miller. “Conditional choice probabilities and the estimation of dynamic models.” Review of Economic Studies 60, no. 3 (January 1, 1993): 497–529. https://doi.org/10.2307/2298122.
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  - BLAU, D. M., and V. J. HOTZ. “SPECIAL ISSUE ON CHILD-CARE - INTRODUCTION.” Journal of Human Resources 27, no. 1 (December 1, 1992): 1–8.
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  - Heckman, James J., and V Joseph Hotz. “Choosing Among Alternative Nonexperimental Methods for Estimating the Impact of Social Programs: The Case of Manpower Training.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 84, no. 408 (December 1989): 862–862. https://doi.org/10.2307/2290059.
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  - Heckman, James J., and V Joseph Hotz. “Choosing Among Alternative Nonemperimental Methods for Estimating the Impact of Social Programs: The Case of Manpower Training: Rejoinder.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 84, no. 408 (December 1989): 878–878. https://doi.org/10.2307/2290062.
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  - Heckman, J. J., and V. J. Hotz. “Choosing among alternative nonexperimental methods for estimating the impact of social programs: The case of manpower training.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 84, no. 408 (January 1, 1989): 862–74. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1989.10478848.
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  - Heckman, J. J., and V. J. Hotz. “Rejoinder.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 84, no. 408 (January 1, 1989): 878–80. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1989.10478851.
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  - Hotz, V. J., and J. Heckman. “Are Classical Experiments Necessary for Evaluating the Impact of Manpower Training Programs? A Critical Assessment.” Industrial Relations Research Association Proceedings, June 1988, 291–302.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Finn E. Kydland, and Guilherme L. Sedlacek. “Intertemporal Preferences and Labor Supply.” Econometrica 56, no. 2 (March 1988): 335–335. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911075.
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  - Kydland, F., and G. Sedlacek. “Intertemporal Preferences and Labor Supply.” Econometrica 57, no. 2 (March 1988): 335–60.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Robert A. Miller. “An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply.” Econometrica 56, no. 1 (January 1988): 91–91. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911843.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Robert A. Miller. “An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply.” Econometrica 56, no. 1 (January 1988): 91–118.
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  - Heckman, J. J., V. J. Hotz, and M. Dabos. “Do We Need Experimental Data To Evaluate the Impact of Manpower Training On Earnings?” Evaluation Review 11, no. 4 (January 1, 1987): 395–427. https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X8701100402.
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  - Heckman, James J., and V Joseph Hotz. “An Investigation of the Labor Market Earnings of Panamanian Males Evaluating the Sources of Inequality.” The Journal of Human Resources 21, no. 4 (1986): 507–507. https://doi.org/10.2307/145765.
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  - Heckman, J., and J. Walker. “The Influence of Early Fertility on Subsequent Births and the Importance of Controlling for Heterogeneity.” Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute LI, no. 2 (August 1985).
  - Heckman, J. J., V. J. Hotz, and J. R. Walker. “New evidence on the timing and spacing of births.” American Economic Review 75, no. 2 (May 1, 1985): 179–84.
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  - Heckman, James J., V Joseph Hotz, and James R. Walker. “New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births.” American Economic Review 75, no. 2 (May 1985).
  - Avery, Robert B., Lars Peter Hansen, and V Joseph Hotz. “Multiperiod Probit Models and Orthogonality Condition Estimation.” International Economic Review 24, no. 1 (February 1983): 21–21. https://doi.org/10.2307/2526113.
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  - Hotz, J., and J. Siegfried. “"Economics and the Earned Income Tax Credit: A Comment".” Better Living Through Economics: How Economic Research Improves Our Lives", n.d.
  - Hotz, J., and J. Siegfried. “"Economics and the Earned Income Tax Credit: A Comment".” Better Living Through Economics: How Economic Research Improves Our Lives", n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Susan W. McElroy, and Seth G. Sanders. “The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for Mothers,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Seth Sanders. “Bounding Treatment Effects in Controlled and Natural Experiments Subject to Post-Randomization Treatment Choice,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph. “Designing Experimental Evaluations of Social Programs: The Case of the U.S. National JTPA Study,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J. “Labor Supply Estimates for Public Policy Evaluation: A Comment.” Industrial Relations Research Association Proceedings, n.d., 332–35.
  - Hotz, V. J. “The Labor Response of Married Women in the New Jersey Negative Income Tax Experiment,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., D. Epple, and A. Zelenitz. “Employment Contracts, Risk Sharing, and the Role of Unions.” Research in Labor Economics, n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., M. Tienda, and A. Ahituv. “Transition from School to Work: Black, Hispanic and White Men in the 1980s",” n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., M. Tienda, and F. Mitchell. “"Hispanics in the U.S. Labor Market".” Hispanics and the American Future, n.d., 228–90.
  - Hotz, V. J., R. Schoeni, S. Bianchi, J. Seltzer, and E. Wiemers. “Intergenerational Transfers and Rosters of the Extended Family: A New Substudy of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics.” Longitudinal and Life Course Studies, n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., S. Bianchi, K. McGarry, and J. Seltzer. “"Intergenerational Ties: Alternative Theories, Empirical Findings and Trends, and Remaining Challenges",” n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., and J. Avery. “Statistical Approaches to Modeling Absenteeism,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., and J. K. Scholz. “"The Earned Income Tax Credit".” Means Tested Transfer Programs in the U.S., n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., and M. Tienda. “"Education and Employment in a Diverse Society: Generating Inequality through the School-to-Work Transition".” American Diversity: A Demographic Challenge for the Twenty First Century, n.d.
- Book Sections
  - Hotz, V. J., S. W. McElroy, and S. G. Sanders. “The impacts of teenage childbearing on the mothers and the consequences of those impacts for government.” In Kids Having Kids: Economic Costs and Social Consequences of Teen Pregnancy, 55–94, 2018. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429452635-3.
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  - Hotz, V. J. “The economic approach to modeling adolescent sexual behavior: Empirical implications.” In Romance and Sex in Adolescence and Emerging Adulthood: Risks and Opportunities, 213–19, 2015. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315652344.
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  - Hotz, V. J., S. Bianchi, K. McGarry, and S. Seltzer. “Intergenerational Ties: Alternative Theories, Empirical Findings and Trends, and Remaining Challenges.” In Intergenerational Caregiving, edited by S. Bianchi, J. Seltzer, A. Booth, and N. Crouter. Urban Institute Press, 2008.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and John Karl Scholz. “The Earned Income Tax Credit,” 2001.
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  - Hotz, V. J., J. A. Klerman, and R. J. Willis. “Chapter 7 The economics of fertility in developed countries,” 1:275–347, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-003X(97)80024-4.
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  - Hotz, V. J., and J. Heckman. “"Are Classical Experiments Necessary for Evaluating the Impact of Manpower Training Programs? A Critical Assessment".” In Industrial Relations Research Association Proceedings, 291–302, n.d.
- Other Articles
  - Tienda, M., A. Ahituv, M. B. Frost, and V. J. Hotz. “Employment and Wage Prospects of Black, White, and Hispanic Women.” Edited by C. J. Whalen. Kalamazoo, MI: Upjohn Institute Press, 2010.
- Scholarly Editions
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban M. Aucejo, and V Joseph Hotz. “University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California.,” March 2016. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20130626.
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  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban M. Aucejo, and V Joseph Hotz. “University differences in the graduation minorities in STEM fields: evidence from California,” March 1, 2016.
  - Arcidiacono, P., E. Aucejo, P. Coate, and V. J. Hotz. “Affirmative action and university fit: evidence from Proposition 209,” December 1, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-8997-3-7.
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  - Arcidiacono, Peter, V Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel, and Teresa Romano. “Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations Using Subjective Expectations Data,” October 2014.
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  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban M. Aucejo, Patrick Coate, and V Joseph Hotz. “Affirmative Action and University Fit: Evidence from Proposition 209,” November 2012.
  - Fajnzylber, Eduardo, Seth G. Sanders, and V Joseph Hotz. “An Economic Model of Amniocentesis Choice,” August 2010.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, V Joseph Hotz, and Songman Kang. “Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals,” February 2010.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Richard K. Crump, Oscar A. Mitnik, and Guido Imbens. “Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects,” 2009.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Marc Luppino, Douglas McKee, and Marigee Bacolod. “How have the Returns to Schooling and Work Experience Changed over the Last 40 Years? Evidence from Panel Data,” 2008.
  - Mitnik, Oscar K., Guido Imbens, V Joseph Hotz, and Richard K. Crump. “Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity,” 2008.
  - Crump, Richard K., V Joseph Hotz, Guido W. Imbens, and Oscar A. Mitnik. “Moving the Goalposts: Addressing Limited Overlap in the Estimation of Average Treatment Effects by Changing the Estimand,” October 2006.
  - Crump, Richard K., V Joseph Hotz, Guido W. Imbens, and Oscar A. Mitnik. “Moving the Goalposts: Addressing Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects by Changing the Estimand,” September 2006.
  - Crump, Richard K., V Joseph Hotz, Guido W. Imbens, and Oscar A. Mitnik. “Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity,” June 2006.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and John Karl Scholz. “Examining the Effect of the Earned Income Tax Credit on the Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare,” January 2006.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, H Mullin Charles, and Karl Scholz John. “The Earned Income Tax Credit and Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare,” January 31, 2001.
  - Currie, Janet, and V Joseph Hotz. “Accidents Will Happen? Unintentional Injury, Maternal Employment, and Child Care Policy,” January 2001.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Guido W. Imbens, and Jacob Alex Klerman. “The Long-Term Gains from Gain: A Re-Analysis of the Impacts of the California Gain Program,” November 2000.
  - Hao, Lingxin, V Joseph Hotz, and Ginger Zhe Jin. “Games Daughters and Parents Play: Teenage Childbearing, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers,” April 2000.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Susan Williams McElroy, and Seth G. Sanders. “Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment,” August 1, 1999.
  - Hill, Carolyn J., V Joseph Hotz, Charles H. Mullin, and John Karl Scholz. “EITC Eligibility, Participation, and Compliance Rates for AFDC Households: Evidence from the California Caseload,” July 1, 1999.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Lixin Xu, Marta Tienda, and Avner Ahituv. “Are There Returns to the Wages of Young Men from Working While in School?,” July 1, 1999.
  - Hotz, V. J., and M. R. Kilburn. “Regulating Child Care: The Effetcs of State Regulation on Child Care Demand and its Cost.,” 1995.
  - Hotz, V. J., and R. A. Miller. “Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models.,” 1991.
  - HOTZ, V. J., and R. A. MILLER. “CONDITIONAL CHOICE PROBABILITIES AND THE ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS.,” 1989.
  - HOTZ, V. J., and R. A. MILLER. “CONDITIONAL CHOICE PROBABILITIES AND THE ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS,” 1988.
  - Ahituv, Avner, Marta Tienda, Lixin Xu, and V Joseph Hotz. “Initial Labor Market Experiences of Black, Hispanic and White Men,” n.d.
  - Ahituv, Avner, V Joseph Hotz, and Tomas Philipson. “Will the AIDS Epidemic be Self-Limiting? Evidence on the Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Prevalence of AIDS,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban Aucejo, Patrick Coate, and V Joseph Hotz. “Affirmative Action and University Fit: Evidence from Proposition 209,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban Aucejo, Patrick Coate, and V Joseph Hotz. “Affirmative Action and University Fit: Evidence from Proposition 209,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban Aucejo, and V Joseph Hotz. “University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban Aucejo, and V Joseph Hotz. “University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, Esteban M. Aucejo, and V Joseph Hotz. “University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in Stem Fields: Evidence from California,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, V Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel, and Teresa Romano. “Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations Using Subjective Expectations Data,” n.d.
  - Arcidiacono, Peter, V Joseph Hotz, and Songman Kang. “Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals,” n.d.
  - Avner, Ahituv, V Joseph Hotz, and Philipson Tomas. “Will the AIDS Epidemic be Self-Limiting? Evidence on the Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Prevalence of AIDS,” n.d.
  - Bacolod, Marigee, and V Joseph Hotz. “Cohort Changes in the Transition from School to Work: What Changed and What Consequences Did it have for Wages?,” n.d.
  - Crump, Richard K., V Joseph Hotz, Guido W. Imbens, and Oscar A. Mitnik. “Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity,” n.d.
  - Hao, Lingxin, V Joseph Hotz, and Ginger Zhe Jin. “Games Daughters and Parents Play: Teenage Childbearing, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Emily Wiemers, Joshua Rasmussen, and Kate Maxwell. “The Role of Parental Wealth and Income in Financing Children's College Attendance and its Consequences,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, Guido Imbens, and Jacob A. Klerman. “Evaluating the Differential Effects of Alternative Welfare-to-Work Training Components: A Re-Analysis of the California GAIN Program,” n.d.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, Lixin Xu, Marta Tienda, and Avner Ahituv. “Are There Returns to the Wages of Young Men from Working While in School?,” n.d.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, Susan Williams McElroy, and Seth G. Sanders. “The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for Mothers,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and John Karl Scholz. “The Earned Income Tax Credit,” n.d.
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  - Hotz, V Joseph, and M Rebecca Kilburn. “Regulating Child Care: The Effects of State Regulations on Child Care Demand and Its Cost,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and M Rebecca Kilburn. “The Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non-Working Mothers? 1992,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and M Rebecca Kilburn. “The Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non-Working Mothers,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Mo Xiao. “The Impact of Minimum Quality Standards on Firm Entry, Exit and Product Quality: The Case of the Child Care Market,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Robert A. Miller. “The Economics of Family Planning,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Robert A. Miller. “Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V Joseph, and Seth G. Sanders. “Bounding Treatment Effects In Controlled and Natural Experiments Subject to Post-Randomized Treatment Choice,” n.d.
  - Hotz, V. J., and J. K. Scholz. “Measuring Employment and Income for Low-Income Populations with Administrative and Survey Data,” n.d.
  - Tienda, Marta, V Joseph Hotz, Avner Ahituv, and Michelle Bellessa. “Employment and Wage Prospects of Black, White, and Hispanic Women: Evidence from the 1980s and Early 1990s,” n.d.
- Conference Papers
  - Hotz, V. J. “The economic approach to modeling adolescent sexual behavior: Empirical implications,” 213–19, 2014. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781410617361.
    Full Text
  - HOTZ, V. J. “DESIGNING AN EVALUATION OF THE JOB-TRAINING PARTNERSHIP ACT.” In Evaluating Welfare and Training Programs, edited by C. F. MANSKI and I. GARFINKEL, 76–114. HARVARD UNIV PRESS, 1992.
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  - BALLS, K. G., and V. J. HOTZ. “CONTRACEPTIVE CHOICE AND FAILURE - DOES HETEROGENEITY IN INDIVIDUAL FECUNDITY MATTER.” In Population Index, 54:449–449. PRINCETON UNIV, 1988.
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  - HECKMAN, J. J., and V. J. HOTZ. “THE TIMING AND SPACING OF BIRTHS IN SWEDEN - THE EFFECTS OF CHANGING ECONOMIC-CONDITIONS.” In Population Index, 52:392–392. PRINCETON UNIV, 1986.
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  - HECKMAN, J. J., V. J. HOTZ, and B. SINGER. “ESTIMATING CONTINUOUS-TIME BIRTH PROCESSES WITH LONGITUDINAL DATA - AN INTEGRATED APPROACH.” In Population Index, 50:437–437. PRINCETON UNIV, 1984.
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Teaching & Mentoring
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- Colin Clark Lecture (Econometric Society). February 10, 2011 2011
Outreach & Engaged Scholarship
- Bass Connections Faculty Team Member . The Role of Catholic Campus Religious Ministries in the Formation of Young Adults . August 2017 - May 2018 2017 - 2018
- Bass Connections Faculty Team Member. The Role of Catholic Campus Religious Ministries in the Formation of Young Adults: Psychological, Social and Organizational Factors. July 2016 - May 2017 2016 - 2017

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