James S. Clark
Nicholas Distinguished Professor of Environmental Science
James S. Clark is Nicholas Professor of Environment Science and Professor of Statistical Science.
Clark’s research focuses on how global change affects populations, communities, and ecosystems. Current projects explore consequences of climate, CO2, and disturbance on dynamics of forests. His lab is using long-term experiments and monitoring studies to determine disturbance and climate controls on the dynamics of 20th century forests in combination with extensive modeling to forecast ecosystem change. Clark has authored over 150 refereed scientific articles and published four books, including Models for Ecological Data (Princeton, 2007), Models for Ecological Data in R (Princeton, 2007), Hierarchical Models of the Environment (Oxford, 2006), and Sediment Records of Biomass Burning and Global Change (Springer, 1997). Full publication list. Clark received a BS from the North Carolina State University in Entomology (1979), a MS from the University of Massachusetts in Forestry and Wildlife (1984), and a PhD from the University of Minnesota in Ecology (1988). Between his MS and PhD, he studied one year at the University of Göttingen under a Fulbright-DAAD fellowship. At Duke University, Clark teaches Biodiversity Science and Applications and Ecological Models & Data. He has served as Director for the Center on Global Change, and Director of Graduate Studies for the University Program in Ecology. He currently serves on the University Program of Ecology Executive Committee and chairs the Nicholas School of the Environment committees on Life Sciences and Distinguished Professorships. Clark is recipient of ESA’s William Skinner Cooper Award, for his research on barrier beach dynamics, and George Mercer Award, for studies of climate change and fire. For excellence in teaching and research, he was one of 15 scientists recognized by President Clinton with the National Science Foundation s five-yr Presidential Faculty Fellow Award. He was named an Aldo Leopold Leadership Fellow, on behalf of the Ecological Society of America. He is a Distinguished Alumnus from Natural Resources Conservation, University of Massachusetts. In 2005, he was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Clark has testified before congress on behalf of the Ecological Society of America and the NSF budget. He served on editorial boards for Ecology and Ecological Monographs (1996 -1999), Annual Reviews of Ecology and Systematics (1998 – 2003), Global Change Biology (1994 – 2002), Ecosystems (2003 – 2007), Trends in Ecology and Evolution (2006-), and the Journal for Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics (2010 – ) and on NSF Advisory panels for Ecology (1992 – 1997), Earth System History (1994), LTER (2000), and Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease (2009). He chaired ESA’s Mercer Award Committee and was Vice President for Science (1999 – 2004). He was a founding member of the Science Advisory Board of the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis.
Clark’s research focuses on how global change affects populations, communities, and ecosystems. Current projects explore consequences of climate, CO2, and disturbance on dynamics of forests. His lab is using long-term experiments and monitoring studies to determine disturbance and climate controls on the dynamics of 20th century forests in combination with extensive modeling to forecast ecosystem change. Clark has authored over 150 refereed scientific articles and published four books, including Models for Ecological Data (Princeton, 2007), Models for Ecological Data in R (Princeton, 2007), Hierarchical Models of the Environment (Oxford, 2006), and Sediment Records of Biomass Burning and Global Change (Springer, 1997). Full publication list. Clark received a BS from the North Carolina State University in Entomology (1979), a MS from the University of Massachusetts in Forestry and Wildlife (1984), and a PhD from the University of Minnesota in Ecology (1988). Between his MS and PhD, he studied one year at the University of Göttingen under a Fulbright-DAAD fellowship. At Duke University, Clark teaches Biodiversity Science and Applications and Ecological Models & Data. He has served as Director for the Center on Global Change, and Director of Graduate Studies for the University Program in Ecology. He currently serves on the University Program of Ecology Executive Committee and chairs the Nicholas School of the Environment committees on Life Sciences and Distinguished Professorships. Clark is recipient of ESA’s William Skinner Cooper Award, for his research on barrier beach dynamics, and George Mercer Award, for studies of climate change and fire. For excellence in teaching and research, he was one of 15 scientists recognized by President Clinton with the National Science Foundation s five-yr Presidential Faculty Fellow Award. He was named an Aldo Leopold Leadership Fellow, on behalf of the Ecological Society of America. He is a Distinguished Alumnus from Natural Resources Conservation, University of Massachusetts. In 2005, he was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Clark has testified before congress on behalf of the Ecological Society of America and the NSF budget. He served on editorial boards for Ecology and Ecological Monographs (1996 -1999), Annual Reviews of Ecology and Systematics (1998 – 2003), Global Change Biology (1994 – 2002), Ecosystems (2003 – 2007), Trends in Ecology and Evolution (2006-), and the Journal for Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics (2010 – ) and on NSF Advisory panels for Ecology (1992 – 1997), Earth System History (1994), LTER (2000), and Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease (2009). He chaired ESA’s Mercer Award Committee and was Vice President for Science (1999 – 2004). He was a founding member of the Science Advisory Board of the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis.
Current Appointments & Affiliations
- Nicholas Distinguished Professor of Environmental Science, Environmental Sciences and Policy, Nicholas School of the Environment 2014
- Professor of Environmental Sciences and Policy, Environmental Sciences and Policy, Nicholas School of the Environment 2005
- Professor of Biology, Biology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2005
- Professor in the Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment 2005
- Professor of Statistical Science, Statistical Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2016
- Professor, Marine Science and Conservation, Nicholas School of the Environment 2020
Contact Information
- A221 LSRC, Durham, NC 27708
- Box 90338, Durham, NC 27708-0338
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jimclark@duke.edu
(919) 613-8036
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clark lab
- Background
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Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., University of Minnesota, Twin Cities 1988
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Previous Appointments & Affiliations
- Hugo L. Blomquist Distinguished Professor of Biology, Environmental Sciences and Policy, Nicholas School of the Environment 2001 - 2014
- Professor of Statistical Science, Statistical Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2010 - 2013
- Professor of Statistics and Decision Sciences, Statistical Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2006 - 2009
- Professor of Earth and Ocean Sciences in the Nicholas School of the Environment, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University 1998 - 2005
- Professor of Biology, Biology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2000 - 2005
- Professor of Botany, Biology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1998 - 2000
- Associate Professor with Tenure, Biology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1995 - 1998
- Associate Professor in the Nicholas School of the Environment, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University 1997 - 1998
- Assistant Professor, Geology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1995 - 1996
- Assistant Professor, Biology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1992 - 1995
- Recognition
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In the News
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SEP 19, 2022 Nicholas School of the Environment -
MAY 3, 2022 Nicholas School of the Environment -
JAN 25, 2022 Nicholas School of the Environment -
AUG 17, 2021 Nicholas School of the Environment -
NOV 30, 2020 Nicholas Magazine -
JUL 10, 2020 Nicholas School of the Environment -
APR 28, 2020 Nicholas School of the Environment -
MAR 4, 2019 Nicholas School of the Environment -
AUG 23, 2018 Duke Stories -
FEB 23, 2016 The Christian Science Monitor -
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AUG 24, 2015 Futurity -
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OCT 2, 2013 -
SEP 24, 2013 WUNC Radio News -
SEP 11, 2013
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Awards & Honors
- Member. National Academy of Sciences. 2020
- Make Our Planet Great Again Lauréat. Emmanuel Macron. 2018
- Humboldt Research Prize. von Humboldt Foundation. 2017
- Chief of the Forest Service Science Award. USFS. 2016
- Fellow of the Ecological Society of America. Ecological Society of America. December 2012
- ISI Highly Cited Researcher. The Institute for Scientific Information. January 2011
- Fellows. American Academy of Arts and Sciences. 2005
- Highly Cited Researcher. Thomson Reuters. 2001
- Leopold Leadership Fellowship. Aldo Leopold Foundation. 1999
- George Mercer Award. Ecological Society of America. 1994
- NSF Presidential Faculty Fellow. National Science Foundation. 1994
- Expertise
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Subject Headings
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Global Scholarship
- Research
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Selected Grants
- Collaborative Research: Continent-wide forest recruitment change: the interactions between climate, habitat, and consumers awarded by National Science Foundation 2022 - 2026
- NSF2026: EAGER Identifying microbes' population-level environmental responses using Bayesian modeling awarded by National Science Foundation 2020 - 2023
- Collaborative Research: Combining NEON and remotely sensed habitats to determine climate impacts on community dynamics awarded by National Science Foundation 2018 - 2022
- The bridge from canopy condition to continental scale biodiversity forecasts, including the rare species of greatest conservation concern awarded by National Aeronautics and Space Administration 2020 - 2022
- Belmont Forum Collaborative Research: Scenarios of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Service awarded by National Science Foundation 2019 - 2022
- Generative models to forecast community reorganization with climate change awarded by National Aeronautics and Space Administration 2017 - 2019
- EAGER-NEON: Probabilistic forecasting of biodiversity response to intensifying drought: A proposal to combine NEON with national climate, species, and trait data bases awarded by National Science Foundation 2015 - 2018
- LTER: The Interacting Effects of Hydroclimate Variability and Human Landscape Modification in the Southern Appalachian Mountains awarded by University of Georgia 2002 - 2018
- Collaborative Research: Climate Change Impacts on Forest Biodiversity: Individual Risk to Subcontinental Impacts awarded by National Science Foundation 2012 - 2017
- CDI-Type II: Integrating Algorithmic and Stochastic Modeling Techniques for Environmental Prediction awarded by National Science Foundation 2009 - 2014
- Jim Clark IPA awarded by Forest Service 2013 - 2014
- DISSERTATION RESEARCH: Forest climate requirements change through species life history awarded by National Science Foundation 2013 - 2014
- Pathogen Mediated Diversity and Response to Changing Climate awarded by National Science Foundation 2010 - 2014
- Fitting Models of the Population Consequences of Acoustic Disturbance to Data from Marine Mammal Populations awarded by Office of Naval Research 2010 - 2014
- Effects of drought on competition for water in southeastern Forests awarded by Forest Service 2009 - 2013
- Dynamic Sensor Networks-Enabling the Measurement, Modeling, and Prediction of Biophysical Change in a Landscape awarded by National Science Foundation 2006 - 2012
- Dissertation Improvement Grant: The Role of Seedling Pathogens in Temperate Forest Recuitment awarded by National Science Foundation 2007 - 2010
- Collaborative Research: SEI(BIO)--Automated Methods for Generating High Resolution GIS Databases from Remotely Sensed Data for Biodiversity Predictions awarded by National Science Foundation 2004 - 2009
- Integration of Data and Models to Assess Forest Biodiversity awarded by National Science Foundation 2004 - 2008
- The 2nd Summer Institute: Uncertainty in Ecological Inference, Forecasting, and Decision-Modern Statistical Computation awarded by National Science Foundation 2005 - 2006
- Experimental and Model Analysis of Large Disturbance Consequences for Forest Diversity awarded by National Science Foundation 2000 - 2005
- Collaborative Research: Holocene Drought Cycles and Impacts on the Northern Great Plains awarded by National Science Foundation 2002 - 2005
- Rates of range expansion in eastern trees based on molecular and fossil records. awarded by National Science Foundation 2001 - 2005
- A Summer School: Uncertainty and Variability in Ecologial Inference, Forecasting, and Decision--An Introduction to Modern Statistical Computation awarded by National Science Foundation 2003 - 2004
- BDEI: Computation and uncertainty in ecological forecasting awarded by National Science Foundation 2001 - 2002
- Doctoral Dissertation: Forest Response to Climate Change: Integrating seed dispersal models and molecular markers with the paleoecological record. awarded by National Science Foundation 2000 - 2002
- Doctoral Dissertation: The Importance of Biomass Burning in the Boreal Forest: Implications of Future Climate Change awarded by National Science Foundation 1999 - 2001
- Forest Succession in a C02 Enriched Environment: Growth Responses of Individuals, Species, and Communitites in the Forest-Atmosphere Carbon Transfer And Storage awarded by Department of Energy 1997 - 2000
- The Role of Fire in the Southern Appalachian awarded by Department of Agriculture 1998 - 1999
- EPA Graduate Fellowship for Philip Camill awarded by Environmental Protection Agency 1996 - 1999
- EPA Graduate Fellowship; Philip Camill awarded by Environmental Protection Agency 1996 - 1999
- Graduate Fellowship for Philip Camill awarded by Environmental Protection Agency 1996 - 1999
- Dissertation Research: Life History and Demography of Southern Appalachian Trees: Growth and Mortality awarded by National Science Foundation 1997 - 1999
- Vegetation Response to Climate Variability in Coastal Lake Michigan Sand Dunes awarded by National Science Foundation 1996 - 1998
- Dissertation Research: Disequilibrium Dynamics of Boreal Permafrost Peatlands During Transience to a Warmer Climate awarded by National Science Foundation 1996 - 1998
- Prehistoric Biomass Burning at Local to Regional Scales in Eastern North America awarded by National Science Foundation 1995 - 1998
- The Role of Fire in the Southern Appalachian awarded by Forest Service 1996 - 1997
- Dissertation Research: Genetics and Evolution of Subdioecy in Astilbe biternata awarded by National Science Foundation 1995 - 1997
- Sediment Records of Long-term Interactions between Wildfire and Bark Beetle Outbreaks at Kenai National Wildlife Refuge, Alaska awarded by Kenai National Wildlife Refuge 1994 - 1995
- Workshop: Sediment Records of Biomass Burning awarded by National Science Foundation 1994 - 1995
- The Role of Fire in Prehistoric Times of Rapid Climate Change awarded by National Science Foundation 1992 - 1994
- Sediment Charcoal and PAH Analysis awarded by Forest Service 1993 - 1994
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External Relationships
- France Make our planet great again
- Publications & Artistic Works
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Selected Publications
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Academic Articles
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Hurst, Jillian H., Alexander W. McCumber, Jhoanna N. Aquino, Javier Rodriguez, Sarah M. Heston, Debra J. Lugo, Alexandre T. Rotta, et al. “Age-Related Changes in the Nasopharyngeal Microbiome Are Associated With Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Infection and Symptoms Among Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults.” Clin Infect Dis 75, no. 1 (August 24, 2022): e928–37. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciac184.Full Text Open Access Copy Link to Item
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Knowlton, A. R., J. S. Clark, P. K. Hamilton, S. D. Kraus, H. M. Pettis, R. M. Rolland, and R. S. Schick. “Fishing gear entanglement threatens recovery of critically endangered North Atlantic right whales.” Conservation Science and Practice 4, no. 8 (August 1, 2022). https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.12736.Full Text
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Journé, Valentin, Robert Andrus, Marie-Claire Aravena, Davide Ascoli, Roberta Berretti, Daniel Berveiller, Michal Bogdziewicz, et al. “Globally, tree fecundity exceeds productivity gradients.” Ecology Letters 25, no. 6 (June 2022): 1471–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14012.Full Text
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Qiu, Tong, Robert Andrus, Marie-Claire Aravena, Davide Ascoli, Yves Bergeron, Roberta Berretti, Daniel Berveiller, et al. “Limits to reproduction and seed size-number trade-offs that shape forest dominance and future recovery.” Nature Communications 13, no. 1 (May 2022): 2381. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30037-9.Full Text
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Núñez, C. L., J. R. Poulsen, L. J. T. White, V. Medjibe, and J. S. Clark. “Distinct Community-Wide Responses to Forecasted Climate Change in Afrotropical Forests.” Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 9 (January 18, 2022). https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.742626.Full Text Open Access Copy
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Roberts, Sarah M., Patrick N. Halpin, and James S. Clark. “Jointly modeling marine species to inform the effects of environmental change on an ecological community in the Northwest Atlantic.” Scientific Reports 12, no. 1 (January 2022): 132. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04110-0.Full Text
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Sharma, Shubhi, Robert Andrus, Yves Bergeron, Michal Bogdziewicz, Don C. Bragg, Dale Brockway, Natalie L. Cleavitt, et al. “North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119, no. 3 (January 2022): e2116691118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2116691118.Full Text
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Tang, B., J. S. Clark, P. P. Marra, and A. E. Gelfand. “Modeling Community Dynamics Through Environmental Effects, Species Interactions and Movement.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, January 1, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-022-00520-3.Full Text
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Qiu, T., S. Sharma, C. W. Woodall, and J. S. Clark. “Niche Shifts From Trees to Fecundity to Recruitment That Determine Species Response to Climate Change.” Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 9 (December 23, 2021). https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.719141.Full Text
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Tang, B., J. S. Clark, and A. E. Gelfand. “Modeling spatially biased citizen science effort through the eBird database.” Environmental and Ecological Statistics 28, no. 3 (September 1, 2021): 609–30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-021-00508-1.Full Text
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Qiu, Tong, Marie-Claire Aravena, Robert Andrus, Davide Ascoli, Yves Bergeron, Roberta Berretti, Michal Bogdziewicz, et al. “Is there tree senescence? The fecundity evidence.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118, no. 34 (August 2021): e2106130118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2106130118.Full Text
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Lasky, Monica, Arielle W. Parsons, Stephanie G. Schuttler, George Hess, Ron Sutherland, Liz Kalies, Staci Clark, et al. “Carolina critters: a collection of camera-trap data from wildlife surveys across North Carolina.” Ecology 102, no. 7 (July 2021): e03372. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3372.Full Text
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Poggiato, Giovanni, Tamara Münkemüller, Daria Bystrova, Julyan Arbel, James S. Clark, and Wilfried Thuiller. “On the Interpretations of Joint Modeling in Community Ecology.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 36, no. 5 (May 2021): 391–401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2021.01.002.Full Text
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Bystrova, D., G. Poggiato, B. Bektaş, J. Arbel, J. S. Clark, A. Guglielmi, and W. Thuiller. “Clustering Species With Residual Covariance Matrix in Joint Species Distribution Models.” Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 9 (March 9, 2021). https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.601384.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Robert Andrus, Melaine Aubry-Kientz, Yves Bergeron, Michal Bogdziewicz, Don C. Bragg, Dale Brockway, et al. “Author Correction: Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects.” Nature Communications 12, no. 1 (March 2021): 1664. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22025-2.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Robert Andrus, Melaine Aubry-Kientz, Yves Bergeron, Michal Bogdziewicz, Don C. Bragg, Dale Brockway, et al. “Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects.” Nature Communications 12, no. 1 (February 2021): 1242. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20836-3.Full Text
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Qiu, T., C. Song, J. S. Clark, B. Seyednasrollah, N. Rathnayaka, and J. Li. “Understanding the continuous phenological development at daily time step with a Bayesian hierarchical space-time model: impacts of climate change and extreme weather events.” Remote Sensing of Environment 247 (September 15, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2020.111956.Full Text
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Clark, James S., C Lane Scher, and Margaret Swift. “The emergent interactions that govern biodiversity change.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 117, no. 29 (July 2020): 17074–83. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2003852117.Full Text
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McDowell, Nate G., Craig D. Allen, Kristina Anderson-Teixeira, Brian H. Aukema, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Louise Chini, James S. Clark, et al. “Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 368, no. 6494 (May 2020): eaaz9463. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz9463.Full Text
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Seyednasrollah, B., and J. S. Clark. “Where Resource-Acquisitive Species Are Located: The Role of Habitat Heterogeneity.” Geophysical Research Letters 47, no. 8 (April 28, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087626.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., C. L. Nuñez, and B. Tomasek. “Foodwebs based on unreliable foundations: spatiotemporal masting merged with consumer movement, storage, and diet.” Ecological Monographs 89, no. 4 (November 1, 2019). https://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1381.Full Text
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Wang, Zhao, Doris L. Juarez, Jin-Fen Pan, Sara K. Blinebry, Jessica Gronniger, James S. Clark, Zackary I. Johnson, and Dana E. Hunt. “Microbial communities across nearshore to offshore coastal transects are primarily shaped by distance and temperature.” Environmental Microbiology 21, no. 10 (October 2019): 3862–72. https://doi.org/10.1111/1462-2920.14734.Full Text
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Seyednasrollah, Bijan, Bijan James S. Clark, and Bijan Jean-Christophe Domec. “Spatiotemporal sensitivity of thermal stress for monitoring canopy hydrological stress in near real-time.” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 269- (May 2019): 220–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.02.016.Full Text
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Nuñez, Chase L., James S. Clark, Connie J. Clark, and John R. Poulsen. “Low-intensity logging and hunting have long-term effects on seed dispersal but not fecundity in Afrotropical forests.” Aob Plants 11, no. 1 (February 2019): ply074. https://doi.org/10.1093/aobpla/ply074.Full Text Open Access Copy
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Knoepp, J. D., C. R. See, J. M. Vose, C. F. Miniat, and J. S. Clark. “Total C and N Pools and Fluxes Vary with Time, Soil Temperature, and Moisture Along an Elevation, Precipitation, and Vegetation Gradient in Southern Appalachian Forests.” Ecosystems 21, no. 8 (December 1, 2018): 1623–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-018-0244-2.Full Text
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Berdanier, A. B., and J. S. Clark. “Tree water balance drives temperate forest responses to drought.” Ecology 99, no. 11 (November 2018): 2506–14. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2499.Full Text
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Schliep, E. M., A. E. Gelfand, J. S. Clark, and R. Kays. “Joint Temporal Point Pattern Models for Proximate Species Occurrence in a Fixed Area Using Camera Trap Data.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 23, no. 3 (September 1, 2018): 334–57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-018-0327-8.Full Text
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Seyednasrollah, Bijan, Bijan Jennifer J. Swenson, Bijan Jean-Christophe Domec, and Bijan James S. Clark. “Leaf phenology paradox: Why warming matters most where it is already warm.” Remote Sensing of Environment. 209 (May 2018): 446–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2018.02.059.Full Text Open Access Copy
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Bachelot, Benedicte, María Uriarte, Robert Muscarella, Jimena Forero-Montaña, Jill Thompson, Krista McGuire, Jess Zimmerman, Nathan G. Swenson, and James S. Clark. “Associations among arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi and seedlings are predicted to change with tree successional status.” Ecology 99, no. 3 (March 2018): 607–20. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2122.Full Text
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Usinowicz, Jacob, Chia-Hao Chang-Yang, Yu-Yun Chen, James S. Clark, Christine Fletcher, Nancy C. Garwood, Zhanqing Hao, et al. “Temporal coexistence mechanisms contribute to the latitudinal gradient in forest diversity.” Nature 550, no. 7674 (October 2017): 105–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature24038.Full Text
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Goñi, M. F. S., S. Desprat, A. L. Daniau, F. C. Bassinot, J. M. Polanco-Martínez, S. P. Harrison, J. R. M. Allen, et al. “The ACER pollen and charcoal database: A global resource to document vegetation and fire response to abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period.” Earth System Science Data 9, no. 2 (September 11, 2017): 679–95. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-9-679-2017.Full Text
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Kim, Dohyoung, Ram Oren, James S. Clark, Sari Palmroth, A Christopher Oishi, Heather R. McCarthy, Chris A. Maier, and Kurt Johnsen. “Dynamics of soil CO2 efflux under varying atmospheric CO2 concentrations reveal dominance of slow processes.” Global Change Biology 23, no. 9 (September 2017): 3501–12. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13713.Full Text
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Schliep, E. M., A. E. Gelfand, J. S. Clark, and B. J. Tomasek. “Biomass prediction using a density-dependent diameter distribution model.” Annals of Applied Statistics 11, no. 1 (March 1, 2017): 340–61. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-AOAS1007.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., D. Nemergut, B. Seyednasrollah, P. J. Turner, and S. Zhang. “Generalized joint attribute modeling for biodiversity analysis: Median-zero, multivariate, multifarious data.” Ecological Monographs 87, no. 1 (February 1, 2017): 34–56. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1241.Full Text
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Taylor-Rodríguez, D., K. Kaufeld, E. M. Schliep, J. S. Clark, and A. E. Gelfand. “Joint species distribution modeling: Dimension reduction using Dirichlet processes.” Bayesian Analysis 12, no. 4 (January 1, 2017): 939–67. https://doi.org/10.1214/16-BA1031.Full Text
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Vose, J. M., J. S. Clark, and C. H. Luce. “Introduction to drought and US forests: Impacts and potential management responses.” Forest Ecology and Management 380 (November 15, 2016): 296–98. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2016.09.030.Full Text
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Crowther, T. W., K. E. O. Todd-Brown, C. W. Rowe, W. R. Wieder, J. C. Carey, M. B. Machmuller, B. L. Snoek, et al. “Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming.” Nature 540, no. 7631 (November 2016): 104–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature20150.Full Text
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Berdanier, Aaron B., Chelcy F. Miniat, and James S. Clark. “Predictive models for radial sap flux variation in coniferous, diffuse-porous and ring-porous temperate trees.” Tree Physiology 36, no. 8 (August 2016): 932–41. https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpw027.Full Text
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Clark, James S. “Why species tell more about traits than traits about species: predictive analysis.” Ecology 97, no. 8 (August 2016): 1979–93. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.1453.Full Text
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Clark, James S., James M. Vose, and Charles H. Luce. “Forest drought as an emerging research priority.” Global Change Biology 22, no. 7 (July 2016): 2317. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13252.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Louis Iverson, Christopher W. Woodall, Craig D. Allen, David M. Bell, Don C. Bragg, Anthony W. D’Amato, et al. “The impacts of increasing drought on forest dynamics, structure, and biodiversity in the United States.” Global Change Biology 22, no. 7 (July 2016): 2329–52. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13160.Full Text
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Berdanier, A. B., and J. S. Clark. “Divergent reproductive allocation trade-offs with canopy exposure across tree species in temperate forests.” Ecosphere 7, no. 6 (June 1, 2016). https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1313.Full Text
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Bell, David M., and James S. Clark. “Seed predation and climate impacts on reproductive variation in temperate forests of the southeastern USA.” Oecologia 180, no. 4 (April 2016): 1223–34. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-015-3537-6.Full Text
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Ghosh, S., K. Zhu, A. E. Gelfand, and J. S. Clark. “Joint Modeling of Climate Niches for Adult and Juvenile Trees.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 21, no. 1 (March 1, 2016): 111–30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-015-0238-x.Full Text
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Schliep, E. M., A. E. Gelfand, J. S. Clark, and K. Zhu. “Modeling change in forest biomass across the eastern US.” Environmental and Ecological Statistics 23, no. 1 (March 1, 2016): 23–41. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-015-0321-z.Full Text
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Berdanier, A. B., and J. S. Clark. “Multiyear drought-induced morbidity preceding tree death in southeastern U.S. forests.” Ecological Applications 26, no. 1 (January 1, 2016): 17–23. https://doi.org/10.1890/15-0274.1/suppinfo.Full Text
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Berdanier, Aaron B., and James S. Clark. “Multiyear drought-induced morbidity preceding tree death in southeastern U.S. forests.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 26, no. 1 (January 2016): 17–23. https://doi.org/10.1890/15-0274.Full Text
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Oedekoven, C., E. Fleishman, P. Hamilton, J. S. Clark, and R. S. Schick. “Expert elicitation of seasonal abundance of North Atlantic right whales Eubalaena glacialis in the mid-Atlantic.” Endangered Species Research 29, no. 1 (January 1, 2016): 51–58. https://doi.org/10.3354/esr00699.Full Text
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Rolland, R. M., R. S. Schick, H. M. Pettis, A. R. Knowlton, P. K. Hamilton, J. S. Clark, and S. D. Kraus. “Health of North Atlantic right whales Eubalaena glacialis over three decades: From individual health to demographic and population health trends.” Marine Ecology Progress Series 542 (January 1, 2016): 265–82. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps11547.Full Text
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Schliep, E. M., A. E. Gelfand, and J. S. Clark. “Stochastic Modeling for Velocity of Climate Change.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 20, no. 3 (September 23, 2015): 323–42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-015-0210-9.Full Text
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Zhu, Kai, Christopher W. Woodall, Joao V. D. Monteiro, and James S. Clark. “Prevalence and strength of density-dependent tree recruitment.” Ecology 96, no. 9 (September 2015): 2319–27. https://doi.org/10.1890/14-1780.1.Full Text
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Bell, David M., Eric J. Ward, A Christopher Oishi, Ram Oren, Paul G. Flikkema, and James S. Clark. “A state-space modeling approach to estimating canopy conductance and associated uncertainties from sap flux density data.” Tree Physiology 35, no. 7 (July 2015): 792–802. https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpv041.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., C. Salk, J. Melillo, and J. Mohan. “Tree phenology responses to winter chilling, spring warming, at north and south range limits.” Functional Ecology 28, no. 6 (December 1, 2014): 1344–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.12309.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Alan E. Gelfand, Christopher W. Woodall, and Kai Zhu. “More than the sum of the parts: forest climate response from joint species distribution models.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 24, no. 5 (July 2014): 990–99. https://doi.org/10.1890/13-1015.1.Full Text
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Clark, James S., David M. Bell, Matthew C. Kwit, and Kai Zhu. “Competition-interaction landscapes for the joint response of forests to climate change.” Global Change Biology 20, no. 6 (June 2014): 1979–91. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12425.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Jerry Melillo, Jacqueline Mohan, and Carl Salk. “The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season.” Global Change Biology 20, no. 4 (April 2014): 1136–45. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12420.Full Text
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Wu, W., J. S. Clark, and J. M. Vose. “Response of hydrology to climate change in the southern Appalachian Mountains using Bayesian inference.” Hydrological Processes 28, no. 4 (February 15, 2014): 1616–26. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9677.Full Text
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New, L. F., J. S. Clark, D. P. Costa, E. Fleishman, M. A. Hindell, T. Klanjšček, D. Lusseau, et al. “Using short-term measures of behaviour to estimate long-term fitness of southern elephant seals.” Marine Ecology Progress Series 496 (January 27, 2014): 99–108. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps10547.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., J. Melillo, J. Mohan, and C. Salk. “The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season.” Global Change Biology 20, no. 4 (2014): 1136–45.
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Ghosh, S., D. M. Bell, J. S. Clark, A. E. Gelfand, and P. G. Flikkema. “Process modeling for soil moisture using sensor network data.” Statistical Methodology 17, no. C (January 1, 2014): 99–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.stamet.2013.08.002.Full Text
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Zhu, Kai, Christopher W. Woodall, Souparno Ghosh, Alan E. Gelfand, and James S. Clark. “Dual impacts of climate change: forest migration and turnover through life history.” Global Change Biology 20, no. 1 (January 2014): 251–64. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12382.Full Text
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Benítez, María-Soledad, Michelle H. Hersh, Rytas Vilgalys, and James S. Clark. “Pathogen regulation of plant diversity via effective specialization.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 28, no. 12 (December 2013): 705–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2013.09.005.Full Text
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Schick, R. S., J. J. Roberts, S. A. Eckert, P. N. Halpin, H. Bailey, F. Chai, L. Shi, and J. S. Clark. “Pelagic movements of pacific leatherback turtles (dermochelys coriacea) highlight the role of prey and ocean currents.” Movement Ecology 1, no. 1 (November 20, 2013). https://doi.org/10.1186/2051-3933-1-11.Full Text
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Bugalho, M. N., I. Ibáñez, and J. S. Clark. “The effects of deer herbivory and forest type on tree recruitment vary with plant growth stage.” Forest Ecology and Management 308 (November 5, 2013): 90–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.07.036.Full Text
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Gelfand, A. E., S. Ghosh, and J. S. Clark. “Scaling integral projection models for analyzing size demography.” Statistical Science 28, no. 4 (November 1, 2013): 641–58. https://doi.org/10.1214/13-STS444.Full Text
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Schick, R. S., L. F. New, L. Thomas, D. P. Costa, M. A. Hindell, C. R. Mcmahon, P. W. Robinson, et al. “Estimating resource acquisition and at-sea body condition of a marine predator.” Journal of Animal Ecology 82, no. 6 (November 1, 2013): 1300–1315. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12102.Full Text
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Schick, Robert S., Leslie F. New, Len Thomas, Daniel P. Costa, Mark A. Hindell, Clive R. McMahon, Patrick W. Robinson, et al. “Estimating resource acquisition and at-sea body condition of a marine predator.” The Journal of Animal Ecology 82, no. 6 (November 2013): 1300–1315. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12102.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., D. M. Bell, M. Kwit, A. Powell, and K. Zhu. “Dynamic Inverse Prediction and Sensitivity Analysis With High-Dimensional Responses: Application to Climate-Change Vulnerability of Biodiversity.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 18, no. 3 (September 1, 2013): 376–404. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-013-0139-9.Full Text
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New, L. F., J. Harwood, L. Thomas, C. Donovan, J. S. Clark, G. Hastie, P. M. Thompson, B. Cheney, L. Scott-Hayward, and D. Lusseau. “Modelling the biological significance of behavioural change in coastal bottlenose dolphins in response to disturbance.” Functional Ecology 27, no. 2 (April 1, 2013): 314–22. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.12052.Full Text
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Schick, Robert S., Scott D. Kraus, Rosalind M. Rolland, Amy R. Knowlton, Philip K. Hamilton, Heather M. Pettis, Robert D. Kenney, and James S. Clark. “Using hierarchical bayes to understand movement, health, and survival in the endangered north atlantic right whale.” Plos One 8, no. 6 (January 2013): e64166. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064166.Full Text
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Valle, Denis, and James Clark. “Improving the modeling of disease data from the government surveillance system: a case study on malaria in the Brazilian Amazon.” Plos Computational Biology 9, no. 11 (January 2013): e1003312. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003312.Full Text
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Valle, Denis, and James Clark. “Conservation efforts may increase malaria burden in the Brazilian Amazon.” Plos One 8, no. 3 (January 2013): e57519. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0057519.Full Text
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Ghosh, S., A. E. Gelfand, and J. S. Clark. “Rejoinder.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 17, no. 4 (December 1, 2012): 693–99. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-012-0124-8.Full Text
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Ghosh, Souparno, Alan E. Gelfand, and James S. Clark. “Inference for Size Demography from Point Pattern Data using Integral Projection Models.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 17, no. 4 (December 2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-012-0123-9.Full Text
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Ghosh, Souparno, Alan E. Gelfand, Kai Zhu, and James S. Clark. “The k-ZIG: flexible modeling for zero-inflated counts.” Biometrics 68, no. 3 (September 2012): 878–85. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01729.x.Full Text
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Rapp, Joshua M., Miles R. Silman, James S. Clark, Cecile A. J. Girardin, Darcy Galiano, and Richard Tito. “Intra- and interspecific tree growth across a long altitudinal gradient in the Peruvian Andes.” Ecology 93, no. 9 (September 2012): 2061–72. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1725.1.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “The missing link: From island extinction to Neutral Theory (a reply to Halley and Iwasa).” Trends in Ecology and Evolution 27, no. 7 (July 1, 2012): 364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2012.04.009.Full Text
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Moran, Emily V., and James S. Clark. “Causes and consequences of unequal seedling production in forest trees: a case study in red oaks.” Ecology 93, no. 5 (May 2012): 1082–94. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-1428.1.Full Text
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Clark, James S. “The coherence problem with the Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27, no. 4 (April 2012): 198–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2012.02.001.Full Text
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Zhu, K., C. W. Woodall, and J. S. Clark. “Failure to migrate: Lack of tree range expansion in response to climate change.” Global Change Biology 18, no. 3 (March 1, 2012): 1042–52. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02571.x.Full Text
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Hersh, Michelle H., Rytas Vilgalys, and James S. Clark. “Evaluating the impacts of multiple generalist fungal pathogens on temperate tree seedling survival.” Ecology 93, no. 3 (March 2012): 511–20. https://doi.org/10.1890/11-0598.1.Full Text
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Evans, Luke M., James S. Clark, Amy V. Whipple, and Thomas G. Whitham. “The relative influences of host plant genotype and yearly abiotic variability in determining herbivore abundance.” Oecologia 168, no. 2 (February 2012): 483–89. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-011-2108-8.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Benjamin D. Soltoff, Amanda S. Powell, and Quentin D. Read. “Evidence from individual inference for high-dimensional coexistence: long-term experiments on recruitment response.” Plos One 7, no. 2 (January 2012): e30050. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0030050.Full Text
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Clark, James S., David M. Bell, Matthew Kwit, Anne Stine, Ben Vierra, and Kai Zhu. “Individual-scale inference to anticipate climate-change vulnerability of biodiversity.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 367, no. 1586 (January 2012): 236–46. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2011.0183.Full Text
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Colchero, Fernando, and James S. Clark. “Bayesian inference on age-specific survival for censored and truncated data.” The Journal of Animal Ecology 81, no. 1 (January 2012): 139–49. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2011.01898.x.Full Text
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Moran, Emily V., John Willis, and James S. Clark. “Genetic evidence for hybridization in red oaks (Quercus sect. Lobatae, Fagaceae).” American Journal of Botany 99, no. 1 (January 2012): 92–100. https://doi.org/10.3732/ajb.1100023.Full Text
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Moran, Emily V., and James S. Clark. “Between-site differences in the scale of dispersal and gene flow in red oak.” Plos One 7, no. 5 (January 2012): e36492. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0036492.Full Text
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Ward, E. J., D. M. Bell, J. S. Clark, and R. Oren. “Hydraulic time constants for transpiration of loblolly pine at a free-air carbon dioxide enrichment site.” Tree Physiology, 2012.
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Ward, E. J., R. Oren, D. M. Bell, J. S. Clark, H. R. McCarthy, H. S. Kim, and J. C. Domec. “The effects of elevated CO2 and nitrogen fertilization on stomatal conductance estimated from 11 years of scaled sap flux measurements at Duke FACE.” Tree Physiology, 2012.
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Uriarte, M., J. S. Clark, J. K. Zimmerman, L. S. Comita, J. Forero-Monta n a, and J. Thompson. “Multidimensional trade-offs in species responses to disturbance: implications for diversity in a subtropical forest.” Ecology 93, no. 1 (2012): 191–205.
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Wei, W., J. S. Clark, and J. M. Vose. “Application of a Full Hierarchical Bayesian Model in Assessing Streamflow Response to a Climate Change Scenario at the Coweeta Basin, NC, USA.” Journal of Resources and Ecology 3, no. 2 (2012): 118–28.
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Wu, W., J. S. Clark, and J. M. Vose. “Response of hydrology to climate change in the southern Appalachian Mountains using Bayesian inferences.” Hydrological Processes, 2012.
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Clark, James S., David M. Bell, Michelle H. Hersh, Matthew C. Kwit, Emily Moran, Carl Salk, Anne Stine, Denis Valle, and Kai Zhu. “Individual-scale variation, species-scale differences: inference needed to understand diversity.” Ecology Letters 14, no. 12 (December 2011): 1273–87. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01685.x.Full Text
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Agarwal, P. K., T. Mølhave, H. Yu, and J. S. Clark. “Exploiting temporal coherence in forest dynamics simulation.” Proceedings of the Annual Symposium on Computational Geometry, July 15, 2011, 77–86. https://doi.org/10.1145/1998196.1998210.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Pankaj Agarwal, David M. Bell, Paul G. Flikkema, Alan Gelfand, Xuanlong Nguyen, Eric Ward, and Jun Yang. “Inferential ecosystem models, from network data to prediction.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 21, no. 5 (July 2011): 1523–36. https://doi.org/10.1890/09-1212.1.Full Text
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Luo, Yiqi, Kiona Ogle, Colin Tucker, Shenfeng Fei, Chao Gao, Shannon LaDeau, James S. Clark, and David S. Schimel. “Ecological forecasting and data assimilation in a data-rich era.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 21, no. 5 (July 2011): 1429–42. https://doi.org/10.1890/09-1275.1.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., D. M. Bell, M. H. Hersh, and L. Nichols. “Climate change vulnerability of forest biodiversity: Climate and competition tracking of demographic rates.” Global Change Biology 17, no. 5 (May 1, 2011): 1834–49. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02380.x.Full Text
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Moran, Emily V., and James S. Clark. “Estimating seed and pollen movement in a monoecious plant: a hierarchical Bayesian approach integrating genetic and ecological data.” Molecular Ecology 20, no. 6 (March 2011): 1248–62. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-294x.2011.05019.x.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “not complete, please see CV.” Aapg Bulletin, March 2011.
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Luo, Y., J. Melillo, S. Niu, C. Beier, J. S. Clark, A. T. Classen, E. Davidson, et al. “Coordinated approaches to quantify long-term ecosystem dynamics in response to global change.” Global Change Biology 17, no. 2 (February 1, 2011): 843–54. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02265.x.Full Text
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Luo, Y. Q., K. Ogle, C. Tucker, S. Fei, C. Gao, S. LaDeau, J. S. Clark, and D. Schimel. “Data assimilation and ecological forecasting in a data-rich era.” Ecological Applications 21 (2011): 1429–42.
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Valle, Denis, James S. Clark, and Kaiguang Zhao. “Enhanced understanding of infectious diseases by fusing multiple datasets: a case study on malaria in the Western Brazilian Amazon region.” Plos One 6, no. 11 (January 2011): e27462. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027462.Full Text
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Wu, W., J. S. Clark, and J. M. Vose. “Assimilating multi-source uncertainties of a parsimonious conceptual hydrological model using hierarchical Bayesian modeling.” Journal of Hydrology 394, no. 3–4 (November 26, 2010): 436–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.09.017.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., D. Bell, C. Chu, B. Courbaud, M. Dietze, M. Hersh, J. Hillerislambers, et al. “High-dimensional coexistence based on individual variation: A synthesis of evidence.” Ecological Monographs 80, no. 4 (November 1, 2010): 569–608. https://doi.org/10.1890/09-1541.1.Full Text
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Vieilledent, Ghislain, Benoît Courbaud, Georges Kunstler, Jean-François Dhôte, and James S. Clark. “Individual variability in tree allometry determines light resource allocation in forest ecosystems: a hierarchical Bayesian approach.” Oecologia 163, no. 3 (July 2010): 759–73. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-010-1581-9.Full Text
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WAY, D. A. N. I. E. L. L. E. A., S. H. A. N. N. O. N. L. LADEAU, H. E. A. T. H. E. R. R. MCCARTHY, J. A. M. E. S. S. CLARK, R. A. M. OREN, A. D. R. I. E. N. C. FINZI, and R. O. B. E. R. T. B. JACKSON. “Greater seed production in elevated CO₂ is not accompanied by reduced seed quality in Pinus taeda L.” Global Change Biology. 16, no. 3 (March 2010): 1046–56. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02007.x.Full Text
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Clark, James S. “Individuals and the variation needed for high species diversity in forest trees.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 327, no. 5969 (February 2010): 1129–32. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1183506.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., D. Bell, M. Dietze, M. Hersh, I. Ibanez, S. LaDeau, S. McMahon, et al. “Models for demography of plant populations.” The Oxford Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis. Oxford University Press, New York, New York, Usa, 2010, 431–81.
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Clark, J. S., and M. H. Hersh. “Inference in incidence, infection, and impact: Co-infection of multiple hosts by multiple pathogens.” Bayesian Analysis 4, no. 2 (December 1, 2009): 337–66. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-BA413.Full Text
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Metcalf, C. J. E., S. M. McMahon, and J. S. Clark. “Overcoming data sparseness and parametric constraints in modeling of tree mortality: A new nonparametric Bayesian model.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 39, no. 9 (September 1, 2009): 1677–87. https://doi.org/10.1139/X09-083.Full Text
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Vieilledent, G., B. Courbaud, G. Kunstler, J. F. Dhôte, and J. S. Clark. “Biases in the estimation of size-dependent mortality models: Advantages of a semiparametric approach.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 39, no. 8 (August 1, 2009): 1430–43. https://doi.org/10.1139/X09-047.Full Text
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Colchero, Fernando, Rodrigo A. Medellin, James S. Clark, Raymond Lee, and Gabriel G. Katul. “Predicting population survival under future climate change: density dependence, drought and extraction in an insular bighorn sheep.” The Journal of Animal Ecology 78, no. 3 (May 2009): 666–73. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2009.01528.x.Full Text
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Ibáñez, I., J. S. Clark, and M. C. Dietze. “Estimating colonization potential of migrant tree species.” Global Change Biology 15, no. 5 (April 23, 2009): 1173–88. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01777.x.Full Text
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Cressie, Noel, Catherine A. Calder, James S. Clark, Jay M. Ver Hoef, and Christopher K. Wikle. “Accounting for uncertainty in ecological analysis: the strengths and limitations of hierarchical statistical modeling.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 19, no. 3 (April 2009): 553–70. https://doi.org/10.1890/07-0744.1.Full Text
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McMahon, Sean M., Michael C. Dietze, Michelle H. Hersh, Emily V. Moran, and James S. Clark. “A predictive framework to understand forest responses to global change.” Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1162 (April 2009): 221–36. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.04495.x.Full Text
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Clark, James S. “Beyond neutral science.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 24, no. 1 (January 2009): 8–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2008.09.004.Full Text
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Metcalf, C. J. E., J. S. Clark, and D. A. Clark. “Tree growth inference and prediction when the point of measurement changes: Modelling around buttresses in tropical forests.” Journal of Tropical Ecology 25, no. 1 (January 1, 2009): 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266467408005646.Full Text
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Brzuszek, R. F., and J. Clark. “Visitor perceptions of ecological design at the Crosby Arboretum, Picayune, Mississippi.” Native Plants Journal 10, no. 2 (2009): 91–105.
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Clark, J. S., and M. H. Hersh. “Inference when multiple pathogens affect multiple hosts: Bayesian model selection.” Bayesian Analysis, 2009.
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Ibáñez, R Larry, R Larry I, R Larry Clark, J. S, and J. Dietze. “Estimating performance of potential migrant species.” Global Change Biology, 2009.
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Schick, R. S., P. N. Halpin, A. J. Read, C. S. Slay, S. D. Kraus, B. R. Mate, M. F. Baumgartner, et al. “Striking the right balance in right whale conservation.” Canadian Journal of Fisheries & Aquatic Sciences, 2009.
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Dietze, M. C., M. S. Wolosin, and J. S. Clark. “Capturing diversity and interspecific variability in allometries: A hierarchical approach.” Forest Ecology and Management 256, no. 11 (November 20, 2008): 1939–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2008.07.034.Full Text
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Ibáñez, Inés, James S. Clark, and Michael C. Dietze. “Evaluating the sources of potential migrant species: implications under climate change.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 18, no. 7 (October 2008): 1664–78. https://doi.org/10.1890/07-1594.1.Full Text
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Schick, R. S., J. S. Clark, S. R. Loarie, B. D. Best, A. Boustany, F. Colchero, D. A. Conde, P. N. Halpin, L. N. Joppa, and C. M. McClellan. “Understanding movement data and movement processes: current and emerging directions.” Ecol Letters 11, no. 12 (October 2008): 1338–50. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01249.x.Full Text Link to Item
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Gugger, P. F., J. S. McLachlan, P. S. Manos, and J. S. Clark. “Inferring long-distance dispersal and topographic barriers during post-glacial colonization from the genetic structure of red maple (Acer rubrum L.) in New England.” Journal of Biogeography 35, no. 9 (September 1, 2008): 1665–73. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2008.01915.x.Full Text
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Dietze, M. C., and J. S. Clark. “Changing the gap dynamics paradigm: Vegetative regeneration control on forest response tO disturbance.” Ecological Monographs 78, no. 3 (August 1, 2008): 331–47. https://doi.org/10.1890/07-0271.1.Full Text
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Power, M. J., J. Marlon, N. Ortiz, P. J. Bartlein, S. P. Harrison, F. E. Mayle, A. Ballouche, et al. “Changes in fire regimes since the last glacial maximum: An assessment based on a global synthesis and analysis of charcoal data.” Climate Dynamics 30, no. 7–8 (June 1, 2008): 887–907. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0334-x.Full Text
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Hui, D., Y. Luo, D. Schimel, J. S. Clark, A. Hasting, K. Ogle, and M. Williams. “Converting raw data into ecologically meaningful products.” Eos 89, no. 5 (February 29, 2008): 39. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008EO050002.Full Text
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Mohan, J. E., L. H. Ziska, R. B. Thomas, R. C. Sicher, K. George, J. S. Clark, and W. H. Schlesinger. “Biomass and toxicity responses of poison ivy (Toxicodendron radicans) to elevated atmospheric CO2: Reply.” Ecology 89, no. 2 (February 1, 2008): 585–87. https://doi.org/10.1890/07-0660.1.Full Text
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Power, M. J., J. Marlon, N. Ortiz, P. J. Bartlein, S. P. Harrison, F. E. Mayle, A. Ballouche, et al. “Changes in fire regimes since the Last Glacial Maximum: an assessment based on a global synthesis and analysis of charcoal data.” Climate Dynamics 30, no. 7 (2008): 887–907.
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Dietze, M., and J. S. Clark. “Rethinking gap dynamics: the impact of damaged trees and sprouts.” Ecol Monog, no. 78 (2008): 331–47.
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Poland, M., A. Miklius, T. Orr, J. Sutton, C. Thornber, C. Wilson, D. Hui, et al. “New episodes of volcanism at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii.” Eos 89, no. 5 (2008): 37–38.
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Schick, R. S., S. R. Loarie, F. Colchero, B. D. Best, A. Boustany, D. A. Conde, P. N. Halpin, L. N. Joppa, C. M. McClellan, and J. S. Clark. “Understanding movement data and processes: emerging techniques.” Ecol Letters, 2008.
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Clark, James S., Michael Wolosin, Michael Dietze, Inés Ibáñez, Shannon LaDeau, Miranda Welsh, and Brian Kloeppel. “Tree growth inference and prediction from diameter censuses and ring widths.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 17, no. 7 (October 2007): 1942–53. https://doi.org/10.1890/06-1039.1.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Mike Dietze, Sukhendu Chakraborty, Pankaj K. Agarwal, Ines Ibanez, Shannon LaDeau, and Mike Wolosin. “Resolving the biodiversity paradox.” Ecology Letters 10, no. 8 (August 2007): 647–59. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01041.x.Full Text
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Govindarajan, S., M. C. Dietze, P. K. Agarwal, and J. S. Clark. “A scalable algorithm for dispersing population.” Journal of Intelligent Information Systems 29, no. 1 (August 1, 2007): 39–61. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10844-006-0030-z.Full Text
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Mohan, Jacqueline E., James S. Clark, and William H. Schlesinger. “Long-term CO2 enrichment of a forest ecosystem: implications for forest regeneration and succession.” Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 17, no. 4 (June 2007): 1198–1212. https://doi.org/10.1890/05-1690.Full Text
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Ibáñez, I., J. S. Clark, S. LaDeau, and J. Hille Ris Lambers. “Exploiting temporal variability to understand tree recruitment response to climate change.” Ecological Monographs 77, no. 2 (May 1, 2007): 163–77. https://doi.org/10.1890/06-1097.Full Text
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Brzuszek, R. F., and J. Clark. “Are They Getting It?” Landscape Architecture 97, no. 5 (2007): 78.
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Clark, J. S., and P. K. Agarwal. “Rejoinder to Clark et al. (2007): Response to Chesson and Rees.” Ecology Letters 10, no. 8 (January 1, 2007): 661–62. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01071.x.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., M. Wolosin, M. Dietze, I. Ibanez, S. LaDeau, M. Welsh, and B. Kloeppel. “Tree growth inference and prediction from diameter censuses and ring widths. Ecological Applications.” Ecol Appl 17 (2007): 1942–53.
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Ibáñez, Inés, James S. Clark, Michael C. Dietze, Ken Feeley, Michelle Hersh, Shannon LaDeau, Allen McBride, Nathan E. Welch, and Michael S. Wolosin. “Predicting biodiversity change: outside the climate envelope, beyond the species-area curve.” Ecology 87, no. 8 (August 2006): 1896–1906. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2006)87[1896:pbcotc]2.0.co;2.Full Text
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Clark, James S., and Alan E. Gelfand. “A future for models and data in environmental science.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 21, no. 7 (July 2006): 375–80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2006.03.016.Full Text
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Read, Andrew F., and James S. Clark. “The next 20 years of ecology and evolution.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 21, no. 7 (July 2006): 354–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2006.05.003.Full Text
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Ladeau, S. L., and J. S. Clark. “Pollen production by Pinus taeda growing in elevated atmospheric CO 2.” Functional Ecology 20, no. 3 (June 1, 2006): 541–47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2435.2006.01133.x.Full Text
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Read, Andrew F., and James S. Clark. “The past 20 years of ecology and evolution.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 21, no. 6 (June 2006): 287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2006.04.006.Full Text
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Mohan, Jacqueline E., Lewis H. Ziska, William H. Schlesinger, Richard B. Thomas, Richard C. Sicher, Kate George, and James S. Clark. “Biomass and toxicity responses of poison ivy (Toxicodendron radicans) to elevated atmospheric CO2.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 103, no. 24 (June 2006): 9086–89. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0602392103.Full Text
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LaDeau, S. L., and J. S. Clark. “Elevated CO2 and tree fecundity: The role of tree size, interannual variability, and population heterogeneity.” Global Change Biology 12, no. 5 (May 1, 2006): 822–33. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01137.x.Full Text
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Flikkema, P. G., P. K. Agarwal, J. S. Clark, C. Ellis, A. Gelfand, K. Munagala, and J. Yang. “Model-driven dynamic control of embedded wireless sensor networks.” Lecture Notes in Computer Science (Including Subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics) 3993 LNCS-III (January 1, 2006): 409–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/11758532_55.Full Text
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Lewis, M., M. Neubert, H. Caswell, J. Clark, and K. Shea. “A guide to calculating discrete-time invasion rates from data.” Conceptual Ecology and Invasion Biology: Reciprocal Approaches to Nature, 2006, 169–92.
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Clark, J. S., and A. E. Gelfand. “A future for models and data in ecology.” Trends Ecol Evol, no. 21 (2006): 375–80.
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Clark, J. S., and S. LaDeau. “Synthesizing ecological experiments and observational data with hierarchical Bayes.” Hierarchical Models of the Environment. Oxford University Press, Oxford, Uk, 2006, 41–58.
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Beckage, B., M. Lavine, and J. S. Clark. “Survival of tree seedlings across space and time: Estimates from long-term count data.” Journal of Ecology 93, no. 6 (December 1, 2005): 1177–84. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2005.01053.x.Full Text
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Brown, K. J., J. S. Clark, E. C. Grimm, J. J. Donovan, P. G. Mueller, B. C. S. Hansen, and I. Stefanova. “Fire cycles in North American interior grasslands and their relation to prairie drought.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 102, no. 25 (June 2005): 8865–70. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0503621102.Full Text
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Beckage, Brian, and James S. Clark. “Does predation contribute to tree diversity?” Oecologia 143, no. 3 (April 2005): 458–69. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-004-1815-9.Full Text
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Hille Ris Lambers, J., and J. S. Clark. “The benefits of seed banking for red maple (Acer rubrum): Maximizing seedling recruitment.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35, no. 4 (April 1, 2005): 806–13. https://doi.org/10.1139/x05-017.Full Text
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Beckage, B., and J. S. Clark. “Do seed and seedling predation contribute to the coexistence of three co-occuring tree species? (Accepted)” Oecologia, 2005.
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Clark, J. S. “Uncertainty in population growth rates calculated from demography: the hierarchical approach.” Ecology 84 (2005): 1370–81.
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Clark, J. S. “Why environmental scientists are becoming Bayesians.” Ecology Letters 8, no. 1 (January 1, 2005): 2–14. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00702.x.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., G. Ferraz, N. Oguge, H. Hays, and J. DiCostanzo. “Hierarchical Bayes for structured, variable populations: From recapture data to life-history prediction.” Ecology 86, no. 8 (January 1, 2005): 2232–44. https://doi.org/10.1890/04-1348.Full Text
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Hille Ris Lambers, J., J. S. Clark, and M. Lavine. “Seed banking in temperate forests: Implications for recruitment limitation (Accepted).” Ecology, 2005.
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Lambers, J. H. R., J. S. Clark, and M. Lavine. “Implications of seed banking for recruitment of southern Appalachian woody species.” Ecology 86, no. 1 (January 1, 2005): 85–95. https://doi.org/10.1890/03-0685.Full Text
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McLachlan, J. S., J. S. Clark, and P. S. Manos. “Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change.” Ecology 86, no. 8 (January 1, 2005): 2088–98. https://doi.org/10.1890/04-1036.Full Text
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Wyckoff, P. H., and J. S. Clark. “Tree growth prediction using size and exposed crown area.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35, no. 1 (January 1, 2005): 13–20. https://doi.org/10.1139/x04-142.Full Text
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Wyckoff, P., and J. S. Clark. “Comparing predictors of tree growth: the case for exposed canopy area (Accepted).” Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 2005.
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McLachlan, J. S., and J. S. Clark. “Reconstructing historical ranges with fossil data at continental scales.” Forest Ecology and Management 197, no. 1–3 (August 11, 2004): 139–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2004.05.026.Full Text
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Lynch, J. A., J. S. Clark, and B. J. Stocks. “Charcoal production, dispersal, and deposition from the Fort Providence experimental fire: Interpreting fire regimes from charcoal records in boreal forests.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 34, no. 8 (August 1, 2004): 1642–56. https://doi.org/10.1139/X04-071.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Neutral theory (communication arising): The stability of forest biodiversity.” Nature 427 (March 2004): 696–97.
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Clark, J. S., and J. S. McLachlan. “The stability of forest biodiversity: Commentary.” Nature 427, no. 6976 (February 19, 2004): 696–97. https://doi.org/10.1038/427696b.Full Text
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Mohan, J. E., J. S. Clark, and W. H. Schlesinger. “Genetic variation in germination, growth, and survivorship of red maple in response to subambient through elevated atmospheric CO2.” Global Change Biology 10, no. 2 (February 1, 2004): 233–47. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2004.00726.x.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., S. LaDeau, and I. Ibanez. “Fecundity of trees and the colonization-competition hypothesis.” Ecological Monographs 74, no. 3 (January 1, 2004): 415–42. https://doi.org/10.1890/02-4093.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and O. N. Bjørnstad. “Population time series: Process variability, observation errors, missing values, lags, and hidden states.” Ecology 85, no. 11 (January 1, 2004): 3140–50. https://doi.org/10.1890/03-0520.Full Text
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Govindarajan, S., M. Dietze, P. K. Agarwal, and J. S. Clark. “A scalable simulator for forest dynamics.” Proceedings of the Annual Symposium on Computational Geometry, January 1, 2004, 106–15. https://doi.org/10.1145/997817.997836.Full Text
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Beckage, B., and J. S. Clark. “Seedling survival and growth in Southern Appalachian forests: Does spatial heterogeneity maintain species diversity.” Ecology 84 (July 2003): 1849–61.
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Clark, James S., and Jason S. McLachlan. “Stability of forest biodiversity.” Nature 423, no. 6940 (June 2003): 635–38. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01632.Full Text
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Higgins, S. I., J. S. Clark, R. Nathan, T. Hovestadt, F. Schurr, J. M. V. Fragoso, M. R. Aguiar, E. Ribbens, and S. Lavorel. “Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment.” Journal of Ecology 91, no. 3 (June 1, 2003): 341–47. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2745.2003.00781.x.Full Text
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Calder, J. S., K. M. Lavine, P. Mueller, and J. S. Clark. “Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity in population dynamic models.” Ecology 84 (May 2003): 1395–1402.
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Hille Ris Lambers, J., and J. S. Clark. “Effects of dispersal, shrubs, and density-dependent mortality on seed and seedling distributions in temperate forests.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 33, no. 5 (May 1, 2003): 783–95. https://doi.org/10.1139/x03-001.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Uncertainty in ecological inference and forecasting. (Special Feature).” Ecology 84 (April 2003): 1370–81.
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Clark, J. S. “Uncertainty in population growth rates calculated from demography: the hierarchical approach.” Ecology 84 (March 2003): 1349–60.
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Lynch, J. A., B. Bigelow, J. S. Clark, M. Edwards, and B. Finney. “Spatial and temporal variation in boreal fire.” Journal of Geophysical Research 108 (February 2003): 8152–69.
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Lynch, J. A., J. S. Clark, N. H. Bigelow, M. E. Edwards, and B. P. Finney. “Geographic and temporal variations in fire history in boreal ecosystems of Alaska.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 108, no. 1 (January 16, 2003). https://doi.org/10.1029/2001jd000332.Full Text
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Beckage, B., and J. S. Clark. “Seedling survival and growth of three forest tree species: The role of spatial heterogeneity.” Ecology 84, no. 7 (January 1, 2003): 1849–61. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1849:SSAGOT]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Calder, C., M. Lavine, P. Müller, and J. S. Clark. “Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models.” Ecology 84, no. 6 (January 1, 2003): 1395–1402. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1395:IMSOSI]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Uncertainty in Ecological Inference and Forecasting.” Ecology 84, no. 6 (January 1, 2003): 1349–50. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1349:UIEIAF]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Uncertainty and variability in demography and population growth: A hierarchical approach.” Ecology 84, no. 6 (January 1, 2003): 1370–81. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1370:UAVIDA]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., J. Mohan, M. Dietze, and I. Ibanez. “Coexistence: How to identify trophic trade-offs.” Ecology 84, no. 1 (January 1, 2003): 17–31. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[0017:CHTITT]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., M. Lewis, J. S. McLachlan, and J. HilleRisLambers. “Estimating population spread: What can we forecast and how well?” Ecology 84, no. 8 (January 1, 2003): 1979–88. https://doi.org/10.1890/01-0618.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and O. Bjornstad. “Population inference from messy data: Errors, missing and hidden states, and lagged responses (Accepted).” Ecology, 2003.
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Wyckoff, P. H., and J. S. Clark. “The relationship between growth and mortality for seven co-occurring tree species in the southern Appalachian Mountains.” Journal of Ecology 90, no. 4 (August 27, 2002): 604–15. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2745.2002.00691.x.Full Text
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Lefcort, H., M. Q. Aguon, K. A. Bond, K. R. Chapman, R. Chaquette, J. Clark, P. Kornachuk, B. Z. Lang, and J. C. Martin. “Indirect effects of heavy metals on parasites may cause shifts in snail species compositions.” Archives of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology 43, no. 1 (July 2002): 34–41. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00244-002-1173-8.Full Text
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Lambers, Janneke Hille Ris, James S. Clark, and Brian Beckage. “Density-dependent mortality and the latitudinal gradient in species diversity.” Nature 417, no. 6890 (June 2002): 732–35. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature00809.Full Text
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Wyckoff, P. H., and J. S. Clark. “Growth and mortality for seven co-occurring tree species in the southern Appalachian Mountains: implications for future forest composition.” Journal of Ecology 90 (June 2002): 604–15.
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Clark, J. S., E. C. Grimm, J. J. Donovan, S. C. Fritz, D. R. Engstrom, and J. E. Almendinger. “Drought cycles and landscape responses to past aridity on prairies of the northern Great Plains, USA.” Ecology 83, no. 3 (March 1, 2002): 595–601. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[0595:DCALRT]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Lavine, M., B. Beckage, and J. S. Clark. “Statistical modeling of seedling mortality.” Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics 7, no. 1 (March 1, 2002): 21–41. https://doi.org/10.1198/108571102317475044.Full Text
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Lynch, J. A., J. S. Clark, N. H. Bigelow, M. E. Edwards, and B. P. Finney. “Geographic and temporal variations in fire history in boreal ecosystems of Alaska.” Journal of Geophysical Research 107, no. D1 (2002): 8152.
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Kershaw, A. P., J. S. Clark, A. M. Gill, and D. M. D’Costa. “A history of fire in Australia.” Flammable Australia: The Fire Regimes and Biodiversity of a Continent, 2002, 3–25.
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Camill, P., J. A. Lynch, J. S. Clark, J. B. Adams, and B. Jordan. “Changes in biomass, aboveground net primary production, and peat accumulation following permafrost thaw in the boreal peatlands of Manitoba, Canada.” Ecosystems 4, no. 5 (September 22, 2001): 461–78. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-001-0022-3.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., S. R. Carpenter, M. Barber, S. Collins, A. Dobson, J. A. Foley, D. M. Lodge, et al. “Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 293, no. 5530 (July 2001): 657–60. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.293.5530.657.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., M. Lewis, and L. Horvath. “Invasion by extremes: population spread with variation in dispersal and reproduction.” The American Naturalist 157, no. 5 (May 2001): 537–54. https://doi.org/10.1086/319934.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., M. Lewis, and L. Horvath. “Invasion by extremes: variation in dispersal and reproduction retards population spread.” American Naturalist 157 (May 2001): 537–54.
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LaDeau, S. L., and J. S. Clark. “Rising CO2 levels and the fecundity of forest trees.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 292, no. 5514 (April 2001): 95–98. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1057547.Full Text
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Clark, J., L. Horváth, and M. Lewis. “On the estimation of spread rate for a biological population.” Statistics and Probability Letters 51, no. 3 (February 1, 2001): 225–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-7152(00)00123-1.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., E. C. Grimm, J. Lynch, and P. G. Mueller. “Effects of Holocene climate change on the C4 grassland/woodland boundary in the Northern Plains, USA.” Ecology 82, no. 3 (January 1, 2001): 620–36. https://doi.org/10.2307/2680184.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., E. C. Grimm, J. Lynch, and P. G. Mueller. “Effects of Holocene climate change on the C4 grassland/woodland boundary in the Northern Plains, USA.” Ecology 82, no. 3 (2001): 620–36.
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Clark, J. S., and M. Lavine. “Bayesian statistics: estimating plant demographic parameters.” Notes, 2001.
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Schlesinger, W. H., J. S. Clark, J. E. Moban, and C. D. Reid. “Effec1s on Biodiversi1y.” Conservation Biology: Research Priorities for the Next Decade, 2001, 175.
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Camill, P., and J. S. Clark. “Long-term perspectives on lagged ecosystem responses to climate change: Permafrost in boreal peatlands and the grassland/woodland boundary.” Ecosystems 3, no. 6 (December 1, 2000): 534–44. https://doi.org/10.1007/s100210000047.Full Text
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Camill, P., and J. S. Clark. “Complex long-term climate responses of North American boreal forest and savanna.” Ecosystems 3 (March 2000): 534–44.
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Beckage, B., J. S. Clark, B. D. Clinton, and B. L. Haines. “A long-term study of tree seedling recruitment in southern Appalachian forests: The effects of canopy gaps and shrub understories.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 30, no. 10 (January 1, 2000): 1617–31. https://doi.org/10.1139/x00-075.Full Text
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Knoepp, J. D., D. C. Coleman, D. A. Crossley, and J. S. Clark. “Biological indices of soil quality: an ecosystem case study of their use.” Forest Ecology and Management 138 (January 2000): 357–68.
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Wyckoff, P. H., and J. S. Clark. “Predicting tree mortality from diameter growth: A comparison of maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 30, no. 1 (January 1, 2000): 156–67. https://doi.org/10.1139/x99-198.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., M. Silman, R. Kern, E. Macklin, and J. Hillerislambers. “Seed dispersal near and far: Patterns across temperate and tropical forests.” Ecology 80, no. 5 (January 1, 1999): 1475–94. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(1999)080[1475:SDNAFP]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., B. Beckage, P. Camill, B. Cleveland, J. Hillerislambers, J. Lichter, J. McLachlan, J. Mohan, and P. Wyckoff. “Interpreting recruitment limitation in forests.” American Journal of Botany 86, no. 1 (January 1999): 1–16. https://doi.org/10.2307/2656950.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Why trees migrate so fast: confronting theory with dispersal biology and the paleorecord.” The American Naturalist 152, no. 2 (August 1998): 204–24. https://doi.org/10.1086/286162.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., C. Fastie, G. Hurtt, S. T. Jackson, C. Johnson, G. King, M. Lewis, et al. “Reid’s Paradox of rapid plant migration.” Bioscience 48 (June 1998): 13–24.
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Collatz, G James, Joseph A. Berry, and James S. Clark. “Effects of climate and atmospheric CO2 partial pressure on the global distribution of C4 grasses: present, past, and future.” Oecologia 114, no. 4 (May 1998): 441–54. https://doi.org/10.1007/s004420050468.Full Text
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Camill, P., and J. S. Clark. “Climate change disequilibrium of boreal permafrost peatlands caused by local processes.” The American Naturalist 151, no. 3 (March 1998): 207–22. https://doi.org/10.1086/286112.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., E. Macklin, and L. Wood. “Stages and spatial scales of recruitment limitation in southern appalachian forests.” Ecological Monographs 68, no. 2 (January 1, 1998): 213–35. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9615(1998)068[0213:SASSOR]2.0.CO;2.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., J. Lynch, B. J. Stocks, and J. G. Goldammer. “Relationships between charcoal particles in air and sediments in west-central Siberia.” Holocene 8, no. 1 (January 1, 1998): 19–29. https://doi.org/10.1191/095968398672501165.Full Text
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Pitelka, L. F., R. H. Gardner, J. Ash, S. Berry, H. Gitay, I. R. Noble, A. Saunders, et al. “Plant migration and climate change.” American Scientist 85, no. 5 (September 1, 1997): 464–73.Link to Item
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Clark, J. S. “Facing short-term extrapolation with long-term evidence: Holocene fire in the north-eastern US forests.” Journal of Ecology 85, no. 3 (January 1, 1997): 377–80. https://doi.org/10.2307/2960510.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and W. A. Patterson. “Background and local charcoal in sediments: scales of fire evidence in the paleorecord.” Nato Asi Series I Global Environmental Change 51 (1997): 23–48.
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Novakov, T., H. Cachier, J. S. Clark, A. Gaudichet, S. Macko, and P. Masclet. “Characterization of particulate products of biomass combustion.” Nato Asi Series I Global Environmental Change 51 (1997): 117–44.
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Clark, J. S. “Testing disturbance theory with long-term data: Alternative life-history solutions to the distribution of events.” American Naturalist 148, no. 6 (January 1, 1996): 976–96. https://doi.org/10.1086/285967.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., B. J. Stocks, and P. J. H. Richard. “Climate implications of biomass burning since the 19th century in eastern North America.” Global Change Biology 2, no. 5 (January 1, 1996): 433–42. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.1996.tb00093.x.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., P. Daniel Royall, and C. Chumbley. “The role of fire during climate change in an eastern deciduous forest at Devil's Bathtub, New York.” Ecology 77, no. 7 (January 1, 1996): 2148–66. https://doi.org/10.2307/2265709.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., T. Hussey, and P. D. Royall. “Presettlement analogs for quaternary fire regimes in eastern North America.” Journal of Paleolimnology 16, no. 1 (January 1, 1996): 79–96. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00173273.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and P. D. Royall. “Local and regional sediment charcoal evidence for fire regimes in presettlement north-eastern North America.” Journal of Ecology 84, no. 3 (January 1, 1996): 365–82. https://doi.org/10.2307/2261199.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and T. C. Hussey. “Estimating the mass flux of charcoal from sedimentary records: Effects of particle size, morphology, and orientation.” Holocene 6, no. 2 (January 1, 1996): 129–44. https://doi.org/10.1177/095968369600600201.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Disturbance and population structure on the shifting mosaic landscape.” Ecosystem Management Selected Readings. Springer, New York, 1996, 76–98.
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Clark, J. S., and P. J. H. Richard. “The role of paleofire in boreal and other cool-coniferous forests.” Edited by J. G. Goldammer and V. V. Furyeav. Fire in Ecosystems of Boreal Eurasia 48 (January 1, 1996): 65–89.Link to Item
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Clark, James S. “Climate and Indian effects on southern Ontario forests: a reply to Campbell and McAndrews.” The Holocene 5, no. 3 (September 1995): 371–79. https://doi.org/10.1177/095968369500500315.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and J. S. Ji Yuan. “Fecundity and dispersal in plant populations: Implications for structure and diversity.” American Naturalist 146, no. 1 (January 1, 1995): 72–111. https://doi.org/10.1086/285788.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and P. D. Royall. “Particle-size evidence for source areas of charcoal accumulation in late holocene sediments of eastern north american lakes.” Quaternary Research 43, no. 1 (January 1, 1995): 80–89. https://doi.org/10.1006/qres.1995.1008.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and P. D. Royall. “Transformation of a northern hardwood forest by aboriginal (Iroquois) fire: Charcoal evidence from Crawford Lake, Ontario, Canada.” Holocene 5, no. 1 (January 1, 1995): 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1177/095968369500500101.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Climate and Indian effects on southern Ontario forests: a reply to Campbell and McAndrews.” The Holocene 5, no. 3 (1995): 371–79.
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Collatz, G. J., J. S. Clark, and J. A. Berry. “Biochemical bases for the biogeography of C3/C4 grasses and implications for changing distributions since the last glacial maximum.” Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America 76, no. CONF-9507129-- (1995).
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Clark, J. S. “Fire in boreal ecosystems of Eurasia: first results of the Bor Forest Island Fire Experiment, Fire Research Campaign Asia-North (FIRESCAN).” Journal of World Resources Review, February 1994, 499–519.
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Clark, J. S., and P. D. Royall. “Pre-industrial particulate emissions and carbon sequestration from biomass burning in North America.” Biogeochemistry 24, no. 1 (January 1, 1994): 35–51. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00001306.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and P. D. Royall. “Pre-industrial particulate emissions and carbon sequestration from biomass burning in North America.” Biogeochemistry 23 (January 1994): 1–17.
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Wright, H. E., and J. S. Clark. “Charcoal analysis of varved lake sediments.” Pact, no. 41 (1994): 125–30.
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Clark, J. S. “Scale relationships in boreal forest.” Trends in Ecology and Evolution 8 (February 1993): 220.
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Clark, J. S. “Fire, climate change, and forest processes during the past 2000 years.” Special Paper of the Geological Society of America 276 (January 1, 1993): 295–308. https://doi.org/10.1130/SPE276-p295.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Fire, climate change, and forest processes during the past 2000 years.” Elk Lake, Minnesota: Evidence for Rapid Climate Change in the North Central United States, January 1, 1993, 295–308.
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CLARK, J. S., and C. D. REID. “SENSITIVITY OF UNMANAGED ECOSYSTEMS TO GLOBAL CHANGE.” Edited by J. Darmstadter and M. A. Toman. Assessing Surprises and Nonlinearities in Greenhouse Warming, January 1, 1993, 53–89.Link to Item
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Clark, J. S. “Scaling at the population level: Effects of species composition and population structure.” Scaling Physiological Processes: Leaf to Globe, 1993, 255–81.
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Clark, J. S. “Shifting mosaic metapopulation dynamics.” Lecture Notes in Biomathematics 96 (1993): 224–46.
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Clark, J. S. “Geological Society of America Special Paper 276 I993.” Elk Lake, Minnesota: Evidence for Rapid Climate Change in the North Central United States, no. 276 (1993): 295.
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Clark, J. S., and J. Robinson. “Paleoecology of fire.” Wiley, New York, 1993, 193–214.
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Marquet, P. A., M. J. Fortin, J. Pineda, D. O. Wallin, J. Clark, Y. Wu, S. Bollens, C. M. Jacobi, and R. D. Holt. “Ecological and evolutionary consequences of patchiness: a marine--terrestrial perspective.” Patch Dynamics. Springer Verlag, New York, New York, Usa, 1993, 277–304.
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Clark, J. S. “Density-independent mortality, density compensation, gap formation, and self-thinning in plant populations.” Theoretical Population Biology 42, no. 2 (January 1, 1992): 172–98. https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-5809(92)90011-H.Full Text
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Morris, L. A., P. B. Bush, and J. S. Clark. “Ecological impacts and risks associated with forest management.” Advances in Modern Environmental Toxicology, 1992.
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Clark, J. S. “Relationships among individual plant growth and the dynamics of populations and ecosystems.” Individual Based Models and Approaches in Ecology. Chapman Hall, 1992, 421–54.
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Clark, J. S. “Forest-tree growth rates and probability of gap origin–a comment.” Ecology 72 (March 1991): 1166–69.
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Clark, J. S. “Disturbance and population structure on the shifting mosaic landscape.” Ecology 72, no. 3 (January 1, 1991): 1119–37. https://doi.org/10.2307/1940610.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Disturbance and tree life history on the shifting mosaic landscape.” Ecology 72, no. 3 (January 1, 1991): 1102–18. https://doi.org/10.2307/1940609.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Landscape interactions among nitrogen mineralization, species composition, and long-term fire frequency.” Biogeochemistry 11, no. 1 (September 1, 1990): 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00000849.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Effects of 20th century climate change and fire suppression on forest production and decomposition in northwestern Minnesota.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 20 (March 1990): 219–32.
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Clark, J. S. “Population and evolutionary consequences of being a coastal plant: long-term evidence from the North Atlantic coasts.” Aquatic Science Reviews 2 (February 1990): 509–33.
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Clark, J. S. “Integration of ecological levels: individual plant growth, population mortality and ecosystem processes.” Journal of Ecology 78, no. 2 (January 1, 1990): 275–99. https://doi.org/10.2307/2261112.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Twentieth-century climate change, fire suppression, and forest production and decomposition in northwestern Minnesota.” Canadian Journal of Forest Research 20, no. 2 (January 1, 1990): 219–32. https://doi.org/10.1139/x90-031.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Fire and climate change during the last 750 yr in northwestern Minnesota.” Ecological Monographs 60, no. 2 (January 1, 1990): 135–59. https://doi.org/10.2307/1943042.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Water balance and fire occurrence during the last 160 years in northwestern Minnesota.” Journal of Ecology 77 (April 1989): 989–1004.
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Clark, J. S., J. Merkt, and H. Müller. “Post Glacial fire, vegetation, and cultural history of the northern Alpine forelands, southwest Germany.” Journal of Ecology 77 (February 1989): 897–925.
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Clark, J. S. “Effects of long-term water balances on fire regime, north-western Minnesota.” Journal of Ecology 77, no. 4 (January 1, 1989): 989–1004. https://doi.org/10.2307/2260818.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Ecological disturbance as a renewal process: theory and application to fire history.” Oikos 56, no. 1 (January 1, 1989): 17–30. https://doi.org/10.2307/3566083.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “The forest is for burning.” Natural History, 1989.
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Clark, J. S. “Effect of climate change on fire regimes in northwestern Minnesota.” Nature 334, no. 6179 (January 1, 1988): 233–35. https://doi.org/10.1038/334233a0.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Particle motion and the theory of charcoal analysis: Source area, transport, deposition, and sampling.” Quaternary Research 30, no. 1 (January 1, 1988): 67–80. https://doi.org/10.1016/0033-5894(88)90088-9.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Stratigraphic charcoal analysis on petrographic thin sections: Application to fire history in northwestern Minnesota.” Quaternary Research 30, no. 1 (January 1, 1988): 81–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/0033-5894(88)90089-0.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Dynamism in the barrier-beach vegetation of Great South Beach, New York.” Ecological Monographs 56 (May 1986): 97–126.
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Clark, J. S. “Coastal forest tree populations in a changing environment, southeastern Long Island, New York.” Ecological Monographs 56 (March 1986): 259–77.
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Clark, J. S. “Late- Holocene vegetation and coastal processes at a Long Island tidal marsh.” Journal of Ecology 74, no. 2 (January 1, 1986): 561–78. https://doi.org/10.2307/2260274.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., J. T. Overpeck, T. Webb, and W. A. Patterson. “Pollen stratigraphic correlation and dating of barrier-beach peat sections.” Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 47, no. 1–2 (January 1, 1986): 145–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/0034-6667(86)90011-4.Full Text
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Clark, J. S. “Dynamism in the barrier-beach vegetation of Great South Beach, New York.” Ecological Monographs, 1986, 98–126.
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Clark, J. S., and W. A. Patterson. “The development of a tidal marsh: upland and oceanic influences.” Ecological Monographs 55 (1985): 189–217.
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Clark, J. S., and W. A. Patterson. “Pollen, Pb-210, and opaque spherules: an integrated approach to dating and sedimentation in the intertidal environment ( Long Island).” Journal of Sedimentary Petrology 54, no. 4 (January 1, 1984): 1251–65. https://doi.org/10.1306/212F85B2-2B24-11D7-8648000102C1865D.Full Text
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Clark, J. S., and W. A. Patterson. “Pollen, 210Pb, and opaque spherules: an integrated approach to dating and sedimentation in the intertidal environment.” Journal of Sedimentary Petrology 54 (January 1984): 1249–63.
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Book Sections
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Cunningham, E., S. T. Tokdar, and J. S. Clark. “A vignette on model-based quantile regression: Analysing excess zero response.” In Flexible Bayesian Regression Modelling, 27–64, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-815862-3.00008-1.Full Text
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Schick, Robert S., Scott D. Kraus, Rosalind M. Rolland, Amy R. Knowlton, Philip K. Hamilton, Heather M. Pettis, Len Thomas, John Harwood, and James S. Clark. “Effects of Model Formulation on Estimates of Health in Individual Right Whales (Eubalaena glacialis).,” 875:977–85, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-2981-8_121.Full Text
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Conference Papers
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Swenson, J. J., T. Qui, A. M. Schwantes, C. Kilner, C. Nunez, L. Scher, S. Sharma, and J. S. Clark. “Community Reorganization Response to Climate Change: Species Interactions, State-Space Modeling and Food Webs.” In International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (Igarss), 3637–39, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1109/IGARSS39084.2020.9323391.Full Text
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Benitez, M. S., M. H. Hersh, L. Becker, R. Vilgalys, and J. S. Clark. “Host generalism in fungal pathogen and endophytes of seedlings and forest community dynamics.” In Phytopathology, 103:14–15. AMER PHYTOPATHOLOGICAL SOC, 2013.Link to Item
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Flikkema, P. G., P. K. Agarwal, J. S. Clark, C. Ellis, A. Gelfand, K. Munagala, and J. Yang. “From data reverence to data relevance: Model-mediated wireless sensing of the physical environment.” In Lecture Notes in Computer Science (Including Subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics), 4487 LNCS:988–94, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72584-8_130.Full Text
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Clark, James S., Pankaj K. Agarwal, and Michael Lavin. “Computation and Uncertainty in Ecological Forecasting.” In Dg.O. Digital Government Research Center, 2002.
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Schlesinger, W. H., J. S. Clark, J. E. Mohan, and C. D. Reid. “Global environmental change - Effects on biodiversity.” In Conservation Biology: Research Priorities for the Next Decade, edited by M. E. Soule and G. H. Orians, 175–223. ISLAND PRESS, 2001.Link to Item
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CLARK, J. S. “PALEOECOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES ON MODELING BROAD-SCALE RESPONSES TO GLOBAL CHANGE.” In Biotic Interactions and Global Change, edited by P. M. Kareiva, J. G. Kingsolver, and R. B. Huey, 315–32. SINAUER ASSOCIATES, 1993.Link to Item
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Datasets
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Clark, James. “Data from: Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects,” October 8, 2020. https://doi.org/10.7924/r4348ph5t.Data Access
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- Teaching & Mentoring
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Recent Courses
- ENVIRON 89S: First-Year Seminar 2023
- ENVIRON 323: Ecological Diversity and Climate Change 2023
- ENVIRON 623: Ecological Diversity and Climate Change 2023
- BIOLOGY 665: Bayesian Inference for Environmental Models 2022
- ENVIRON 89S: First-Year Seminar 2022
- ENVIRON 593: Independent Studies and Projects 2022
- ENVIRON 665: Bayesian Inference for Environmental Models 2022
- ENVIRON 899: Master's Project 2022
- BIOLOGY 665: Bayesian Inference for Environmental Models 2021
- ENVIRON 89S: First-Year Seminar 2021
- ENVIRON 593: Independent Studies and Projects 2021
- ENVIRON 665: Bayesian Inference for Environmental Models 2021
- ENVIRON 899: Master's Project 2021
- Scholarly, Clinical, & Service Activities
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Outreach & Engaged Scholarship
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