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Lynn A. Maguire

Professor of the Practice Emeritus
Environmental Sciences and Policy
Box 90328, Durham, NC 27708-0328
None, None, NC 27708

Selected Publications


Hurdles to developing quantitative decision support for Endangered Species Act resource allocation

Journal Article Frontiers in Conservation Science · January 1, 2022 The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service oversees the recovery of many species protected by the U.S. Endangered Species Act (ESA). Recent research suggests that a structured approach to allocating conservation resources could increase recovery outcomes for ESA l ... Full text Cite

Endangered species recovery: A resource allocation problem

Journal Article Science · October 19, 2018 Featured Publication Full text Link to item Cite

Evaluation of Two Approaches to Defining Extinction Risk under the U.S. Endangered Species Act.

Journal Article Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · May 2018 Featured Publication The predominant definition of extinction risk in conservation biology involves evaluating the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of extinction time at a particular point (the "time horizon"). Using the principles of decision theory, this article develo ... Full text Cite

Benefit relevant indicators: Ecosystem services measures that link ecological and social outcomes

Journal Article Ecological Indicators · February 1, 2018 Featured Publication There is a growing movement in government, environmental non-governmental organizations and the private sector to include ecosystem services in decision making. Adding ecosystem services into assessments implies measuring how much a change in ecological co ... Full text Cite

So you want your research to be relevant? Building the bridge between ecosystem services research and practice

Journal Article Ecosystem Services · August 1, 2017 Featured Publication There is growing demand for information regarding the impacts of decisions on ecosystem services and human benefits. Despite the large and growing quantity of published ecosystem services research, there remains a substantial gap between this research and ... Full text Open Access Cite

Timing of Protection of Critical Habitat Matters

Journal Article Conservation Letters · May 1, 2017 Featured Publication With many conservation issues requiring urgent action, determining how much data are needed to inform good decisions is a common problem. We examine this problem in relation to the protection of critical habitat, the habitat required for species’ recovery ... Full text Open Access Cite

Decision analysis: An integrated approach to ecosystem exploitation and rehabilitation decisions

Chapter · January 1, 2017 The barriers to effective ecosystem exploitation and rehabilitation are often both ecological and sociopolitical. Improved understanding of the ecological processes of rehabilitation will be valuable only if it can be implemented in land management decisio ... Full text Cite

A typology of time-scale mismatches and behavioral interventions to diagnose and solve conservation problems.

Journal Article Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · February 2016 Featured Publication Ecological systems often operate on time scales significantly longer or shorter than the time scales typical of human decision making, which causes substantial difficulty for conservation and management in socioecological systems. For example, invasive spe ... Full text Open Access Cite

Best Practices for Integrating Ecosystem Services into Federal Decision Making

Report · July 20, 2015 Federal agencies take many actions that influence ecosystem conditions and change the provision of ecosystem services valued by the public. To date, most decisions affecting ecosystems have relied on ecological assessments with little or no consideration o ... Open Access Link to item Cite

Voting systems for environmental decisions.

Journal Article Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · April 2014 Voting systems aggregate preferences efficiently and are often used for deciding conservation priorities. Desirable characteristics of voting systems include transitivity, completeness, and Pareto optimality, among others. Voting systems that are common an ... Full text Open Access Cite

Voting systems for environmental decisions

Journal Article Conservation Biology · January 1, 2014 Featured Publication Voting systems aggregate preferences efficiently and are often used for deciding conservation priorities. Desirable characteristics of voting systems include transitivity, completeness, and Pareto optimality, among others. Voting systems that are common an ... Full text Cite

A state-based national network for effective wildlife conservation

Journal Article BioScience · November 1, 2012 State wildlife conservation programs provide a strong foundation for biodiversity conservation in the United States, building on state wildlife action plans. However, states may miss the species that are at the most risk at rangewide scales, and threats su ... Full text Cite

Conflation of values and science: response to Noss et al.

Journal Article Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · October 2012 Full text Cite

Redefining expertise and improving ecological judgment

Journal Article Conservation Letters · 2011 Featured Publication Expert judgments are a necessary part of environmental management. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record, professional standing, and experience. We outline the limitations of conventional definitions of expertise and describe ... Full text Open Access Cite

Managing wildfire events: Risk-based decision making among a group of federal fire managers

Journal Article Risk Analysis · 2011 Featured Publication Managing wildfire events to achieve multiple management objectives involves a high degree of decision complexity and uncertainty, increasing the likelihood that decisions will be informed by experience-based heuristics triggered by available cues at the ti ... Full text Open Access Cite

Response to Sagoff

Journal Article Trends in Ecology and Evolution · December 1, 2009 Full text Cite

Re: Uses and misuses of multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) in environmental decision making.

Journal Article Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · November 1, 2009 Cite

Re: Uses and misuses of multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) in environmental decision making.

Journal Article Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · November 2009 Full text Cite

Application of risk concepts to wildlife management: Special issue introduction

Journal Article Human Dimensions of Wildlife · September 1, 2009 The degree to which professionals can improve wildlife management processes and outcomes depends in part on their ability to integrate knowledge from multiple disciplines, including those that detail how people interpret and respond to wildlife-related ris ... Full text Cite

Response from justus and maguire

Journal Article BioScience · February 1, 2009 Full text Cite

Buying into conservation: intrinsic versus instrumental value

Journal Article Trends in Ecology and Evolution · 2009 Featured Publication Many conservation biologists believe the best ethical basis for conserving natural entities is their claimed intrinsic value, not their instrumental value for humans. But there is significant confusion about what intrinsic value is and how it could govern ... Full text Open Access Cite

Why intrinsic value is a poor basis for conservation decisions

Journal Article BioScience · 2008 Featured Publication Full text Open Access Cite

Can behavioral decision theory explain risk-averse fire management decisions?

Journal Article Forest Ecology and Management · 2005 Featured Publication Organizations managing forest land often make fire management decisions that seem overly risk-averse in relation to their stated goals for ecosystem restoration, protection of sensitive species and habitats, and protection of water and timber resources. Re ... Full text Open Access Cite

What can decision analysis do for invasive species management?

Journal Article Risk Anal · August 2004 Featured Publication Decisions about management of invasive species are difficult for all the reasons typically addressed by multiattribute decision analysis: uncertain outcomes, multiple and conflicting objectives, and many interested parties with differing views on both fact ... Full text Link to item Cite

Interplay of science and stakeholder values in neuse river total maximum daily load process

Journal Article Water Resources Research Institute News of the University of North Carolina · March 1, 2004 Cite

Interplay of science and stakeholder values in Neuse River total maximum daily load process

Journal Article Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management · July 1, 2003 Successful engagement of stakeholders and scientists is essential when regulatory agencies want public input to environmental policy decisions that are technically complex. Standards of good practice for public involvement in regulatory decision making der ... Full text Cite

Public participation in environmental decisions: Stakeholders, authorities and procedural justice

Journal Article International Journal of Global Environmental Issues · January 1, 2003 We analysed a stakeholder participation process undertaken by the North Carolina Division of Water Quality to see if the process satisfied elements of procedural justice: representation of relevant parties, voice, sound technical basis, fair treatment by a ... Full text Cite

Stakeholder Values and Scientific Modeling in the Neuse River Watershed

Journal Article Group Decision and Negotiation · December 1, 2001 In 1998, the North Carolina Legislature mandated a 30% reduction in the nitrogen loading in the Neuse River in an attempt to reduce undesirable environmental conditions in the lower river and estuary. Although sophisticated scientific models of the Neuse e ... Full text Cite

Perspective: The NAEP Code of Ethics—Some Proposals for Revision

Journal Article Environmental Practice · March 1, 2001 Full text Cite

Understanding participant perspectives: Q-methodology in national forest management

Journal Article Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · January 1, 1999 Many policy practitioners and theorists have argued that value-free, objective solutions to policy problems do not exist. While participant values and subjective viewpoints influence policy problems, empirically determining participant perspectives and pre ... Full text Cite

Research as a route to consensus? Feral ungulate control in Hawaii

Conference TRANSACTIONS OF THE SIXTY-SECOND NORTH AMERICAN WILDLIFE AND NATURAL RESOURCES CONFERENCE · January 1, 1997 Link to item Cite

Population viability analysis for red-cockaded woodpeckers in the Georgia Piedmont

Journal Article Journal of Wildlife Management · January 1, 1995 Risk of extinction for a red-cockaded woodpecker Picoides borealis population was evaluated in the Piedmont National Wildlife Refuge and Hitchiti Experimental Forest (PNWR-HEF), Georgia. Using data from this population for 1983-88, demographic parameters w ... Full text Cite

Resolving Environmental Disputes: a Framework Incorporating Decision Analysis and Dispute Resolution Techniques

Journal Article Journal of Environmental Management · September 1, 1994 Resolution of public policy disputes can be enhanced both by qualitative techniques for conflict resolution and by quantitative analyses of decisions under uncertainty. We interweave the two methodologies into a framework that helps communicate and analyze ... Full text Cite

Integrating Biological and Sociological Concerns in Endangered Species Management: Augmentation of Grizzly Bear Populations

Journal Article Conservation Biology · January 1, 1992 To help the recovery of a remnant grizzly (Ursus arctos horribilis) population in the Cabinet‐Yaak Ecosystem in northwestern Montana, wildlife managers have proposed augmenting the population with bears translocated from a larger population. This proposal ... Full text Cite

Risk Analysis for Conservation Biologists

Journal Article Conservation Biology · January 1, 1991 Full text Cite

Allocating Scarce Resources for Conservation of Endangered Subspecies: Partitioning Zoo Space for Tigers

Journal Article Conservation Biology · January 1, 1990 All remaining subspecies of tigers (Panthera tigris) are endangered in the wild and space for captive breeding in western zoos is limited How should this space be allocated to enhance survival and retention of genetic variation in the face of uncertainty a ... Full text Cite

Black footed ferret recovery in Montana: a decision analysis

Journal Article Wildlife Society Bulletin · January 1, 1988 Active searching for Mustela nigripes could reduce the probability of extinction from 0.99 to 0.95. If ferrets are found, active management in the wild is the best option, with translocation of some ferrets to another site if the original population is lar ... Cite

Sample Sizes for Minimum Viable Population Estimation

Journal Article Conservation Biology · January 1, 1987 Full text Cite

Using decision analysis to manage endangered species populations.

Journal Article Journal of Environmental Management · January 1, 1986 The 1st example weighs the merits of managing a species as a single larger population or as 2 smaller populations in habitats vulnerable to catastrophic storms. Probability of extinction is used to measure species security. The 2nd example analyses whether ... Cite

A spatial model of growth and competition strategies in coral communities

Journal Article Ecological Modelling · January 1, 1977 A discrete spatial simulation model is developed to investigate the type and intensity of biological and physical factors influencing the structure of coral communities. The model represents reproduction, growth, and interspecific competition by coral colo ... Full text Cite