S. Philip Morgan
Norb F. Schaefer Distinguished Professor Emeritus of International Studies
Statement of Current and Future Research Program
S. Philip Morgan, Sociology Department, Duke University
10/28/2006
My research focuses on human fertility. More specifically I ask: what factors explain variation in fertility across populations? A sociological perspective guides my research. This perspective focuses attention on group-specific structural and cultural factors, such as differences in the nature of patriarchy, or variation in educational and economic institutions. Statistical and demographic techniques, new or unusual data, and particular research opportunities frequently provide leverage, that is, the power to answer key questions convincingly. Leverage plays a key role in my choice of particular research questions and projects. Why study human fertility? ...more
Current Appointments & Affiliations
- Norb F. Schaefer Distinguished Professor Emeritus of International Studies, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2013
- Professor Emeritus of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2013
Contact Information
- 268 Soc-Psych, Durham, NC 27708
- Box 90088, Durham, NC 27708-0088
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pmorgan@soc.duke.edu
(919) 660-5747
- Background
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Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., University of Arizona 1980
- M.A., University of Arizona 1978
- B.A., University of North Carolina - Chapel Hill 1976
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Duke Appointment History
- Professor of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1998 - 2013
- Faculty Director of the Social Science Research Institute, Social Science Research Institute, University Institutes and Centers 2008 - 2012
- Chair, Department of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2002 - 2008
- Research Professor of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1997 - 1998
- Recognition
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Awards & Honors
- Expertise
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Global Scholarship
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Research
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- Research
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Selected Grants
- The Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth awarded by National Institutes of Health 2010 - 2013
- Designing New Models for Explaining Family Change and Variation awarded by National Institutes of Health 2003 - 2008
- Late 20th Century U.S. Fertility Trends and Differences awarded by National Institutes of Health 2001 - 2008
- Low Fertility in Islamic Republic of Iran awarded by National Institutes of Health 2004 - 2007
- Effects of Employment on Fertility After the First Birth awarded by National Institutes of Health 2005 - 2007
- Family Policies, Child Cost, and Low Fertility awarded by National Institute for Child Health & Human Develo 2001 - 2003
- Effects of Policy Changes on Pregnancy Outcomes awarded by National Institute for Child Health & Human Develo 1996 - 1998
- Publications & Artistic Works
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Selected Publications
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Academic Articles
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Zeng, Yi, S Philip Morgan, Zhenglian Wang, Danan Gu, and Chingli Yang. “A Multistate Life Table Analysis of Union Regimes in the United States: Trends and Racial Differentials, 1970-2002.” Popul Res Policy Rev 31, no. 2 (April 1, 2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-011-9217-2.Full Text Link to Item
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Merli, M Giovanna, and S Philip Morgan. “Below replacement fertility preferences in Shanghai.” Population 66, no. 3–4 (January 2011): 519–42. https://doi.org/10.3917/pope.1103.0519.Full Text
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Sautter, J. M., R. M. Tippett, and S. P. Morgan. “The Social demography of internet dating in the United States*.” Social Science Quarterly 91, no. 2 (June 1, 2010): 554–75. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6237.2010.00707.x.Full Text
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Morgan, R. A., S. Philip, and Heather Rackin. “The Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the U.S.” Population and Development Review 36 (March 2010): 91–118.
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Morgan, C. L., S. Philip, and Heather Rackin. “Forty Years of Fertility Change.” Journal of Comparative Family Studies 40 (2010): 515–36.
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Rindfuss, C. L., R. Ronald, Guilkey David, and Kravdal Oystein. “Child Care Availability and Fertility.” Population and Development Review 36 (2010): 725–48.
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Abbasi-Shavazi, Mohammad Jalal, S Philip Morgan, Meimanat Hossein-Chavoshi, and Peter McDonald. “Family Change and Continuity in Iran: Birth Control Use Before First Pregnancy.” Journal of Marriage and the Family 71, no. 5 (December 2009): 1309–24. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1741-3737.2009.00670.x.Full Text
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Morgan, S Philip, Guo Zhigang, and Sarah R. Hayford. “China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects.” Population and Development Review 35, no. 3 (September 2009): 605–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00298.x.Full Text
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Parrado, Emilio A., and S Philip Morgan. “Intergenerational fertility among Hispanic women: new evidence of immigrant assimilation.” Demography 45, no. 3 (August 2008): 651–71. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.0.0023.Full Text
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Hayford, Sarah R., and S Philip Morgan. “The quality of retrospective data on cohabitation.” Demography 45, no. 1 (February 2008): 129–41. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2008.0005.Full Text
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Hayford, D. A., D. A. Sarah, and S Philip Morgan. “Religiosity and Fertility in the United States:.” Social Forces 86 (2008): 1163–88.
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Rindfuss, Miles, R. Ronald, David Guilkey, S Philip Morgan, Oystein Kravdal, and Karen B. Guzzo. “Child Care Availability and Fertility in Norway: Pro-Natalist Effects.” Demography 44 (2007): 345–72.
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Johnson-Hanks, C. L., C. L. Jenna, S Philip Morgan, Chris Bachrach, and Hans-Peter Kohler. “The American family in a theory of conjunctural action (Submitted).” American Journal of Sociology, 2006.
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Morgan, S Philip, S. Philip, and Miles Taylor. “Low Fertility in the 21st Century.” Annual Review of Sociology 32 (2006): 375–400.
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Morgan, S. P., and W. Welsh. “Stability and Change in the Digital Terrain: The U.S. 2000-2005. (Submitted)” Social Forces, 2006.
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Hagewen, J. A., J. A. Kellie, and S Philip Morgan. “Intended Parity and Ideal Family Size in the United States, 1970-2002.” Population and Development Review 31, no. 1 (October 2005): 507–28.
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Dharmalingam, A., K. Navaneetham, and S. Philip Morgan. “Muslim-Hindu Fertility Differences in India: Evidence from National Family Health Survey II.” Economic and Political Weekly XL, no. 5 (March 2005): 429–36.
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Morgan, Karen B., S Philip Morgan, Suzanne Shanahan, and Whitney Welsh. “Brave New Worlds: Philosophy, Politics, and Science.” Population and Development Review 31, no. 1 (March 2005).
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Dharmalingam, A., and S Philip Morgan. “Pervasive Muslim-Hindu fertility differences in India.” Demography 41, no. 3 (August 2004): 529–45. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2004.0020.Full Text
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Morgan, S Philip. “Is low fertility a twenty-first-century demographic crisis?” Demography 40, no. 4 (November 2003): 589–603. https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2003.0037.Full Text
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Yang, Yang, and S Philip Morgan. “How big are educational and racial fertility differentials in the U.S.?” Social Biology 50, no. 3–4 (September 2003): 167–87. https://doi.org/10.1080/19485565.2003.9989070.Full Text
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Diprete, T. A., S. P. Morgan, H. Engelhardt, and H. Pacalova. “Do cross-national differences in the costs of children generate cross-national differences in fertility rates?” Population Research and Policy Review 22, no. 5–6 (January 1, 2003): 439–77. https://doi.org/10.1023/b:popu.0000020961.89068.91.Full Text
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Morgan, S Philip. “"Is low fertility a 21st century demographic crisis? (PAA Presidential Address).".” Demography 40, no. 4 (2003): 589–603.
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Quesnel-Vallée, A., and S. P. Morgan. “Missing the target? Correspondence of fertility intentions and behavior in the U.S.” Population Research and Policy Review 22, no. 5–6 (January 1, 2003): 497–525. https://doi.org/10.1023/b:popu.0000021074.33415.c1.Full Text
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Rindfuss, R. R., K. B. Guzzo, and S. P. Morgan. “The changing institutional context of low fertility.” Population Research and Policy Review 22, no. 5–6 (January 1, 2003): 411–38. https://doi.org/10.1023/b:popu.0000020877.96401.b3.Full Text
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Morgan, S Philip, S. Philip, Sharon Stash, Karen Mason, and Herbert Smith. “Do women’s power/autonomy differences between Moslems and non-Moslems explain high demand for more children and low contraceptive use among Moslems? Evidence from India, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines.” Population and Development Review 28, no. 3 (September 2002): 515–38.Link to Item
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Morgan, S. P., and A. M. Parnell. “Effects on pregnancy outcomes of changes in the North Carolina state abortion fund.” Population Research and Policy Review 21, no. 4 (August 1, 2002): 319–38. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020078406216.Full Text
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Pollard, Michael S., and S Philip Morgan. “EMERGING PARENTAL GENDER INDIFFERENCE? SEX COMPOSITION OF CHILDREN AND THE THIRD BIRTH.” American Sociological Review 67, no. 4 (August 2002): 600–613. https://doi.org/10.2307/3088947.Full Text
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Morgan, S. P., and S. M. Lynch. “Success and future of demography: the role of data and methods.” Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 954 (December 2001): 35–51. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2001.tb02745.x.Full Text
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Morgan, S., S. Philip, and Rosalind Berkowitz King. “Why Have Children in the 21st Century?” European Journal of Population 17 (July 2001): 3–20.Link to Item
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Morgan, S Philip, S. Philip, A. Dharmalingam, Janet Sceats, and Ian Pool. “The link of early childbearing to marriage and to subsequent fertility in New Zealand.” New Zealand Population Review 27 (May 2001): 46–73.
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Neidell, Ian, Ian Shara, Bhanu Niraula, S Philip Morgan, Sharon StashMorgan, and S. Philip. “Moslem and non-Moslem fertility differences in the Eastern Terai in Nepal.” Contributions to Nepalese Studies 25 (January 2001): 109–29.
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Niraula Bhanu, B., and S. Philip Morgan. “Gender inequality in two Nepali settings.” Garcia, Brigida (Ed.) Women, Poverty and Demographic Change., January 2000, 42–72.
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Morgan, S. P., N. Botev, R. Chen, and J. Huang. “White and nonwhite trends in first birth timing: Comparisons using vital registration and current population surveys.” Population Research and Policy Review 18, no. 4 (December 1, 1999): 339–56. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1006245612218.Full Text
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Morgan, S. P., and R. R. Rindfuss. “Reexamining the link of early childbearing to marriage and to subsequent fertility.” Demography 36, no. 1 (February 1999): 59–75. https://doi.org/10.2307/2648134.Full Text
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Smith, Herbert L., Constance T. Gager, and S Philip Morgan. “Identifying Underlying Dimensions in Spouses' Evaluations of Fairness in the Division of Household Labor.” Social Science Research 27, no. 3 (September 1998): 305–27. https://doi.org/10.1006/ssre.1998.0624.Full Text
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Morgan, S Philip, S. Philip, Diane N. Lye, and Gretchen A. Condran. “Sons, daughters and the risk of marital disruption.” American Journal of Sociology 1988, no. 94 (February 1998): 110–29.Link to Item
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Morgan, S Philip. “Characteristic features of modern American fertility.” Population and Development Review 22 (June 1996): 19–63.Link to Item
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McDaniel, Ronald R., Ronald R. Antonio, and S Philip Morgan. “Racial differences in mother-child coresidence in the past.” Journal of Marriage and the Family 58 (May 1996): 1011–17.
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Dharmalingam, A., and S. Philip Morgan. “Women’s work, autonomy and birth control: Evidence from two south Indian villages.” Population Studies 50 (1996): 187–201.
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Niraula Bhanu, B., and S. Philip Morgan. “Son and daughter preferences in Benighat, Nepal: Implications for fertility transition.” Social Biology 42 (January 1996): 256–73.
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Niraula, S Philip, S Philip Bhanu, and S Philip Morgan. “Marriage formation, post-marital contact with natal kin and autonomy of women: Evidence from two Nepali settings.” Population Studies 50 (January 1996): 35–50.
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Pagnini, S., S. Deanna, and S Philip Morgan. “Racial Differences in marriage and childbearing: oral history evidence from the South in the early twentieth century.” American Journal of Sociology 101 (1996): 1694–1718.
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Rindfuss, Rosalind Berkowitz, R. Ronald, S Philip Morgan, and Kate Offutt. “Education and the changing age pattern of American fertility: 1963-89.” Demography 33 (January 1996): 277–90.
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Sloane, Tanya, Tanya Douglas, and S Philip Morgan. “An introduction to categorical data analysis.” Annual Review of Sociology 22 (January 1996): 351–75.
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Smith, S Philip, L. Herbert, S Philip Morgan, and Tanya Koropeckyj-Cox. “A decomposition of trends in the nonmarital fertility ratios of blacks and whites in the United States, 1960-92.” Demography 33 (January 1996): 141–51.
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Morgan, S Philip, S. Philip, and Bhanu B. Niraula. “Gender inequality and fertility in two Nepal villages.” Population and Development Review 21 (January 1995): 541–61.
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London Andrew, S., and S. Philip Morgan. “Racial differences in first names in 1910.” Journal of Family History 19 (January 1994): 261–84.
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Smith Herbert, L., and S. Philip Morgan. “Children's closeness to father as reported by mothers, sons and daughters: Evaluating subjective assessments with the Rasch Model.” Journal of Family Issues 15 (January 1994): 3–29.
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Bracher, S., S. Michael, Gigi Santow, S Philip Morgan, and James Trussell. “Marriage dissolution in Australia:models and explanations.” Population Studies 47 (January 1993): 403–25.
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Morgan, Gretchen A., S. Philip, Antonio McDaniel, Andrew Miller, and Samuel Preston. “Racial differences in household and family structure at the turn of the century.” American Journal of Sociology 98 (1993).
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Morgan, S., S. Philip, and Renbao Chen. “Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women.” International Journal of Forecasting 8 (January 1992): 477–93.
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Preston, James, H. Samuel, Suet Lim, and S Philip Morgan. “African-American Marriage in 1910: Beneath the Surface of Census Data.” Demography 29 (January 1992): 1–15.
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Chen, Zhong, Zhong Renbao, and S Philip Morgan. “Recent trends in the timing of first births in the United States: an update and examination of earlier projections.” Demography 28 (June 1991): 513–33.
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Morgan, S Philip. “Late nineteenth and early twentieth century childlessness in the United States.” American Journal of Sociology 97 (June 1991): 779–807.
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Ekouevi, S., S. Koffi, and S Philip Morgan. “Note on the reliability and validity of mothers' retrospective reports of their children's birth weights.” Social Biology 38 (January 1991): 140–45.
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Harris Kathleen, M., and S. Philip Morgan. “Fathers, sons and daughters: differential paternal involvement in parenting.” Journal of Marriage and the Family, January 1991, 531–44.
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Pagnini Deanna, L., and S. Philip Morgan. “Intermarriage and social distance among U.S. immigrants at the turn of the century.” American Journal of Sociology 96 (1990): 405–32.
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Morgan, S Philip. “Immigrazione e diversita etnico-razziale: il caso degli Stati Uniti (Immigration and racial/ethnic diversity: The United States case).” In Abitare Il Pianeta: Futuro Demografico, Migration E Tensioni Etniche., January 1989, 39–60.
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Chamratrithirong, Apichat, S Philip Morgan, and Ronald R. Rindfuss. “Living arrangements and family formation.” Social Forces 66 (January 1988): 926.-950.
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Morgan, James, S. Philip, and Jay D. Teachman. “Logistic regression: Description, examples, and comparisons.” Journal of Marriage and the Family 50 (January 1988): 929–36.
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Furstenberg, Linda J., F. Frank, F. Jr, S Philip Morgan, and Paul Allison. “Paternal participation and children's well being after divorce:.” American Sociological Review 52 (1987): 695–701.
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Furstenberg, Renbao, F. Frank, F. Jr, J Brooks Gunn, and S Philip Morgan. “Adolescent mothers and their children in later life.” Family Planning Perspectives. 19 (January 1987): 142–51.
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Furstenberg, Ronald R., F. Frank, S Philip Morgan, Kristin Moore, and James Peterson. “Exploring race differences in the timing of adolescent intercourse.” American Sociological Review 52 (January 1987): 695–701.
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Morgan, S., S. Philip, and Linda J. Waite. “Parenthood and the attitudes of young adults.” American Sociological Review 52 (1987): 541–47.
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Abdelrahman, A. I., and S. Philip Morgan. “Socioeconomic and institutional determinants of family formation: Khartoum, Sudan, 1945-75.” Journal of Marriage and the Family 49 (January 1986): 401–12.
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Mammo, Paul, Paul Abate, and S Philip Morgan. “Childlessness in rural Ethiopia.” Population and Development Review. 12 (1986): 533–45.
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Morgan, S Philip. “Individual and couple intentions for more children.” Demography 22 (January 1985): 125–32.
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Morgan, S., S. Philip, and Ronald R. Rindfuss. “Marital disruption: Structural and temporal dimensions.” American Journal of Sociology 90 (January 1985): 1055–77.
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Morgan, Gray, S. Philip, Ronald R Rindfuss and, and Allan Parnell. “Modern fertility patterns: The transition to parenthood in Japan and the United States.” Population and Development Review 10 (1984): 19–40.
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Morgan, Ronald R., S. Philip, and Ronald R. Rindfuss. “Household structure and the tempo of family formation in comparative perspective.” Population Studies 38 (January 1984): 129–39.
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Rindfuss, S Philip, R. Ronald, S Philip Morgan, and Gray Swicegood. “The transition to motherhood: The intersection of structural and temporal dimensions.” American Sociological Review 49 (1984): 359–72.
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Swicegood, Ronald R., C. Gray, S Philip Morgan, and Ronald R. Rindfuss. “Measurement and replication: Evaluating the consistency of eight U.S. fertility surveys.” Demography 21 (January 1984): 19–33.
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Fligstein, S Philip, S Philip Neil, Alex Hicks, and S Philip Morgan. “Toward a theory of income determination.” Sociology of Work and Occupations. 10 (January 1983): 289–306.
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Morgan, S Philip. “A research note on religion and morality: Are religious people nice people?” Social Forces 61 (January 1983): 683–92.
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Morgan, S., S. Philip, and Kiyoshi Hirosima. “The persistence of extended family residence in Japan: Anachronism or alternative strategy?” American Sociological Review 48 (1983): 269–81.
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Rindfuss Ronald, R., and S. Philip Morgan. “Marriage, sex, and the first birth interval: The quiet revolution in Asia.” Population and Development Review 9 (1983): 259–78.
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Morgan, S Philip. “Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty: The United States, 1970 to1976.” Demography 19 (January 1982): 315–34.
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Morgan, S Philip. “Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing: The United States, 1965-70.” Demography 18 (January 1981): 267–86.
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Morgan, S Philip. “Prayerfulness in America.” Chicago Studies. 20 (January 1981): 237–52.
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