S. Philip Morgan | Scholars@Duke

S. Philip Morgan
Norb F. Schaefer Professor Emeritus of International Studies

Statement of Current and Future Research Program

S. Philip Morgan, Sociology Department, Duke University
10/28/2006

My research focuses on human fertility. More specifically I ask: what factors explain variation in fertility across populations? A sociological perspective guides my research. This perspective focuses attention on group-specific structural and cultural factors, such as differences in the nature of patriarchy, or variation in educational and economic institutions. Statistical and demographic techniques, new or unusual data, and particular research opportunities frequently provide leverage, that is, the power to answer key questions convincingly. Leverage plays a key role in my choice of particular research questions and projects. Why study human fertility? ...more

Current Appointments & Affiliations

Norb F. Schaefer Professor Emeritus of International Studies, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2013
Professor Emeritus of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2013

Contact Information

268 Soc-Psych, Durham, NC 27708
Box 90088, Durham, NC 27708-0088
pmorgan@soc.duke.edu (919) 660-5747

Background
Education, Training, & Certifications
- Ph.D., University of Arizona 1980
- M.A., University of Arizona 1978
- B.A., University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 1976
Duke Appointment History
- Professor of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1998 - 2013
- Faculty Director of the Social Science Research Institute, Social Science Research Institute, University Institutes and Centers 2008 - 2012
- Chair, Department of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2002 - 2008
- Research Professor of Sociology, Sociology, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 1997 - 1998
Recognition
Awards & Honors
- Family Section / Distinguished Career Award. American Sociological Association. 2011
Expertise
Global Scholarship
- Research
  - Iran (Islamic Republic of) (Country)
Research
Selected Grants
- The Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the NLSY79 awarded by National Institutes of Health 2010 - 2013
- Designing New Models for Explaining Family Change and Variation awarded by National Institutes of Health 2003 - 2008
- Late 20th Century U.S. Fertility Trends and Differences awarded by National Institutes of Health 2001 - 2008
- Low Fertility in Islamic Republic of Iran awarded by National Institutes of Health 2004 - 2007
- Effects of Employment on Fertility After the First Birth awarded by National Institutes of Health 2005 - 2007
- Family Policies, Child Cost, and Low Fertility awarded by National Institute for Child Health & Human Develo 2001 - 2003
- (95-1044) Effects of Policy Changes on Pregnancy Outcomes awarded by National Institute for Child Health & Human Develo 1996 - 1998
Publications & Artistic Works
Selected Publications
- Academic Articles
  - Zeng, Y, Morgan, SP, Wang, Z, Gu, D, and Yang, C. "A Multistate Life Table Analysis of Union Regimes in the United States: Trends and Racial Differentials, 1970-2002." Population Research and Policy Review 31, no. 2 (2012): 207-234. Full Text
  - Merli, MG, and Morgan, SP. "Below replacement fertility preferences in shanghai." Population 66, no. 3-4 (2011): 519-542. Full Text
  - Sautter, JM, Tippett, RM, and Morgan, SP. "The Social Demography of Internet Dating in the United States." Social Science Quarterly 91, no. 2 (June 2010): 554-575. Full Text
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Rackin, H. "The Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the U.S." Population and Development Review 36 (March 2010): 91-118. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Rackin, H. "Forty Years of Fertility Change." Journal of Comparative Family Studies 40 (2010): 515-536. (Academic Article)
  - Rindfuss, , Ronald, R, David, G, and Oystein, K. "Child Care Availability and Fertility." Population and Development Review 36 (2010): 725-748. (Academic Article)
  - Abbasi-Shavazi, MJ, Morgan, SP, Hossein-Chavoshi, M, and McDonald, P. "Family Change and Continuity in Iran: Birth Control Use Before First Pregnancy." Journal of Marriage and the Family 71, no. 5 (December 2009): 1309-1324. Full Text
  - Morgan, SP, Zhigang, G, and Hayford, SR. "China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects." Population and Development Review 35, no. 3 (September 2009): 605-629. Full Text
  - Parrado, EA, and Morgan, SP. "Intergenerational fertility among Hispanic women: new evidence of immigrant assimilation." Demography 45, no. 3 (August 2008): 651-671. Full Text
  - Hayford, SR, and Morgan, SP. "The quality of retrospective data on cohabitation." Demography 45, no. 1 (February 2008): 129-141. Full Text
  - Hayford, , Sarah, , and Morgan, SP. "Religiosity and Fertility in the United States:." Social Forces 86 (2008): 1163-1188. (Academic Article)
  - Rindfuss, , Ronald, R, Guilkey, D, Morgan, SP, Kravdal, O, and Guzzo, KB. "Child Care Availability and Fertility in Norway: Pro-Natalist Effects." Demography 44 (2007): 345-372. (Academic Article)
  - Johnson-Hanks, , Jenna, , Morgan, SP, Bachrach, C, and Kohler, H-P. "The American family in a theory of conjunctural action (Submitted)." American Journal of Sociology (2006). (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Taylor, M. "Low Fertility in the 21st Century." Annual Review of Sociology 32 (2006): 375-400. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP, and Welsh, W. "Stability and Change in the Digital Terrain: The U.S. 2000-2005. (Submitted)" Social Forces (2006). (Academic Article)
  - Hagewen, , Kellie, , and Morgan, SP. "Intended Parity and Ideal Family Size in the United States, 1970-2002." Population and Development Review 31, no. 1 (October 2005): 507-528. (Academic Article)
  - Dharmalingam, A, Navaneetham, K, and Philip Morgan, S. "Muslim-Hindu Fertility Differences in India: Evidence from National Family Health Survey II." Economic and Political Weekly XL, no. 5 (March 2005): 429-436. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Morgan, SP, Shanahan, S, and Welsh, W. "Brave New Worlds: Philosophy, Politics, and Science." Population and Development Review 31, no. 1 (March 2005): 127:145-. (Academic Article)
  - Dharmalingam, A, and Morgan, SP. "Pervasive Muslim-Hindu fertility differences in India." DEMOGRAPHY 41, no. 3 (August 2004): 529-545. Full Text Link to Item
  - DiPrete, TA, Morgan, SP, Engelhardt, H, and Pacalova, H. "Do cross-national differences in the costs of children generate cross-national differences in fertility rates?." POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW 22, no. 5-6 (December 2003): 439-477. Full Text Link to Item
  - Quesnel-Vallée, A, and Morgan, SP. "Missing the Target? Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the U.S." Population Research and Policy Review 22, no. 5/6 (December 2003): 497-525. Full Text
  - Rindfuss, RR, Guzzo, KB, and Morgan, SP. "The changing institutional context of low fertility." POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW 22, no. 5-6 (December 2003): 411-438. Full Text Link to Item
  - Morgan, SP. "Is low fertility a twenty-first-century demographic crisis?." Demography 40, no. 4 (November 2003): 589-603. (Review) Full Text
  - Yang, Y, and Morgan, SP. "How big are educational and racial fertility differentials in the U.S.?." Social Biology 50, no. 3-4 (September 2003): 167-187.
  - Morgan, SP. ""Is low fertility a 21st century demographic crisis? (PAA Presidential Address)."." Demography 40, no. 4 (2003): 589-603. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, Stash, S, Mason, K, and Smith, H. "Do women’s power/autonomy differences between Moslems and non-Moslems explain high demand for more children and low contraceptive use among Moslems? Evidence from India, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines." Population and Development Review 28, no. 3 (September 2002): 515-538. (Academic Article) Link to Item
  - Morgan, SP, and Parnell, AM. "Effects on pregnancy outcomes of changes in the North Carolina State Abortion Fund." POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW 21, no. 4 (August 2002): 319-338. Full Text Link to Item
  - Pollard, MS, and Morgan, SP. "EMERGING PARENTAL GENDER INDIFFERENCE? SEX COMPOSITION OF CHILDREN AND THE THIRD BIRTH." American Sociological Review 67, no. 4 (August 2002): 600-613. Full Text
  - Morgan, SP, and Lynch, SM. "Success and future of demography: the role of data and methods." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 954 (December 2001): 35-51. (Review)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and King, RB. "Why Have Children in the 21st Century?." European Journal of Population 17 (July 2001): 3-20. (Academic Article) Link to Item
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, Dharmalingam, A, Sceats, J, and Pool, I. "The link of early childbearing to marriage and to subsequent fertility in New Zealand." New Zealand Population Review 27 (May 2001): 46-73. (Academic Article)
  - Neidell, , Shara, , Niraula, B, Morgan, SP, StashMorgan, S, and Philip, S. "Moslem and non-Moslem fertility differences in the Eastern Terai in Nepal." Contributions to Nepalese Studies 25 (January 2001): 109-129. (Academic Article)
  - Niraula Bhanu, B, and Philip Morgan, S. "Gender inequality in two Nepali settings." Garcia, Brigida (ed.) Women, Poverty and Demographic Change. (January 2000): 42-72. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP, Botev, N, Chen, RB, and Huang, JP. "White and nonwhite trends in first birth timing: Comparisons using vital registration and current population surveys." POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW 18, no. 4 (August 1999): 339-356. Full Text Link to Item
  - Morgan, SP, and Rindfuss, RR. "Reexamining the link of early childbearing to marriage and to subsequent fertility." Demography 36, no. 1 (February 1999): 59-75. Link to Item
  - Smith, HL, Gager, CT, and Morgan, SP. "Identifying Underlying Dimensions in Spouses' Evaluations of Fairness in the Division of Household Labor." Social Science Research 27, no. 3 (September 1998): 305-327. Full Text
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, Lye, DN, and Condran, GA. "Sons, daughters and the risk of marital disruption." American Journal of Sociology 1988, no. 94 (February 1998): 110-129. (Academic Article) Link to Item
  - Morgan, SP. "Characteristic features of modern American fertility." Population and Development Review 22 (June 1996): 19-63. (Academic Article) Link to Item
  - McDaniel, , Antonio, , and Morgan, SP. "Racial differences in mother-child coresidence in the past." Journal of Marriage and the Family 58 (May 1996): 1011-1017. (Academic Article)
  - Dharmalingam, A, and Philip Morgan, S. "Women’s work, autonomy and birth control: Evidence from two south Indian villages." Population Studies 50 (1996): 187-201. (Academic Article)
  - Niraula Bhanu, B, and Philip Morgan, S. "Son and daughter preferences in Benighat, Nepal: Implications for fertility transition." Social Biology 42 (January 1996): 256-273. (Academic Article)
  - Niraula, , Bhanu, , and Morgan, SP. "Marriage formation, post-marital contact with natal kin and autonomy of women: Evidence from two Nepali settings." Population Studies 50 (January 1996): 35-50. (Academic Article)
  - Pagnini, , Deanna, , and Morgan, SP. "Racial Differences in marriage and childbearing: oral history evidence from the South in the early twentieth century." American Journal of Sociology 101 (1996): 1694-1718. (Academic Article)
  - Rindfuss, , Ronald, R, Morgan, SP, and Offutt, K. "Education and the changing age pattern of American fertility: 1963-89." Demography 33 (January 1996): 277-290. (Academic Article)
  - Sloane, , Douglas, , and Morgan, SP. "An introduction to categorical data analysis." Annual Review of Sociology 22 (January 1996): 351-375. (Academic Article)
  - Smith, , Herbert, L, Morgan, SP, and Koropeckyj-Cox, T. "A decomposition of trends in the nonmarital fertility ratios of blacks and whites in the United States, 1960-92." Demography 33 (January 1996): 141-151. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Niraula, BB. "Gender inequality and fertility in two Nepal villages." Population and Development Review 21 (January 1995): 541-561. (Academic Article)
  - London Andrew, S, and Philip Morgan, S. "Racial differences in first names in 1910." Journal of Family History 19 (January 1994): 261-284. (Academic Article)
  - Smith Herbert, L, and Philip Morgan, S. "Children's closeness to father as reported by mothers, sons and daughters: Evaluating subjective assessments with the Rasch Model." Journal of Family Issues 15 (January 1994): 3-29. (Academic Article)
  - Bracher, , Michael, , Santow, G, Morgan, SP, and Trussell, J. "Marriage dissolution in Australia:models and explanations." Population Studies 47 (January 1993): 403-425. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, McDaniel, A, Miller, A, and Preston, S. "Racial differences in household and family structure at the turn of the century." American Journal of Sociology 98 (1993). (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Chen, R. "Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women." International Journal of Forecasting 8 (January 1992): 477-493. (Academic Article)
  - Preston, , Samuel, H, Lim, S, and Morgan, SP. "African-American Marriage in 1910: Beneath the Surface of Census Data." Demography 29 (January 1992): 1-15. (Academic Article)
  - Chen, , Renbao, , and Morgan, SP. "Recent trends in the timing of first births in the United States: an update and examination of earlier projections." Demography 28 (June 1991): 513-533. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "Late nineteenth and early twentieth century childlessness in the United States." American Journal of Sociology 97 (June 1991): 779-807. (Academic Article)
  - Ekouevi, , Koffi, , and Morgan, SP. "Note on the reliability and validity of mothers' retrospective reports of their children's birth weights." Social Biology 38 (January 1991): 140-145. (Academic Article)
  - Harris Kathleen, M, and Philip Morgan, S. "Fathers, sons and daughters: differential paternal involvement in parenting." Journal of Marriage and the Family (January 1991): 531-544. (Academic Article)
  - Pagnini Deanna, L, and Philip Morgan, S. "Intermarriage and social distance among U.S. immigrants at the turn of the century." American Journal of Sociology 96 (1990): 405-432. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "Immigrazione e diversita etnico-razziale: il caso degli Stati Uniti (Immigration and racial/ethnic diversity: The United States case)." in Abitare Il Pianeta: Futuro Demografico, Migration e Tensioni Etniche. (January 1989): 39-60. (Academic Article)
  - Chamratrithirong, A, Morgan, SP, and Rindfuss, RR. "Living arrangements and family formation." Social Forces 66 (January 1988): 926.-950. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Teachman, JD. "Logistic regression: Description, examples, and comparisons." Journal of Marriage and the Family 50 (January 1988): 929-936. (Academic Article)
  - Furstenberg, , Frank, F, Jr, , Gunn, JB, and Morgan, SP. "Adolescent mothers and their children in later life." Family Planning Perspectives. 19 (January 1987): 142-151. (Academic Article)
  - Furstenberg, , Frank, F, Jr, , Morgan, SP, and Allison, P. "Paternal participation and children's well being after divorce:." American Sociological Review 52 (1987): 695-701. (Academic Article)
  - Furstenberg, , Frank, F, Morgan, SP, Moore, K, and Peterson, J. "Exploring race differences in the timing of adolescent intercourse." American Sociological Review 52 (January 1987): 695-701. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Waite, LJ. "Parenthood and the attitudes of young adults." American Sociological Review 52 (1987): 541-547. (Academic Article)
  - Abdelrahman, AI, and Philip Morgan, S. "Socioeconomic and institutional determinants of family formation: Khartoum, Sudan, 1945-75." Journal of Marriage and the Family 49 (January 1986): 401-412. (Academic Article)
  - Mammo, , Abate, , and Morgan, SP. "Childlessness in rural Ethiopia." Population and Development Review. 12 (1986): 533-545. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Rindfuss, RR. "Marital disruption: Structural and temporal dimensions." American Journal of Sociology 90 (January 1985): 1055-1077. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "Individual and couple intentions for more children." Demography 22 (January 1985): 125-132. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Rindfuss, RR. "Household structure and the tempo of family formation in comparative perspective." Population Studies 38 (January 1984): 129-139. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and, RRR, and Parnell, A. "Modern fertility patterns: The transition to parenthood in Japan and the United States." Population and Development Review 10 (1984): 19-40. (Academic Article)
  - Rindfuss, , Ronald, R, Morgan, SP, and Swicegood, G. "The transition to motherhood: The intersection of structural and temporal dimensions." American Sociological Review 49 (1984): 359-372. (Academic Article)
  - Swicegood, , Gray, C, Morgan, SP, and Rindfuss, RR. "Measurement and replication: Evaluating the consistency of eight U.S. fertility surveys." Demography 21 (January 1984): 19-33. (Academic Article)
  - Fligstein, , Neil, , Hicks, A, and Morgan, SP. "Toward a theory of income determination." Sociology of Work and Occupations. 10 (January 1983): 289-306. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, , Philip, S, and Hirosima, K. "The persistence of extended family residence in Japan: Anachronism or alternative strategy?." American Sociological Review 48 (1983): 269-281. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "A research note on religion and morality: Are religious people nice people?." Social Forces 61 (January 1983): 683-692. (Academic Article)
  - Rindfuss Ronald, R, and Philip Morgan, S. "Marriage, sex, and the first birth interval: The quiet revolution in Asia." Population and Development Review 9 (1983): 259-278. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty: The United States, 1970 to1976." Demography 19 (January 1982): 315-334. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing: The United States, 1965-70." Demography 18 (January 1981): 267-286. (Academic Article)
  - Morgan, SP. "Prayerfulness in America." Chicago Studies. 20 (January 1981): 237-252. (Academic Article)

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Education, Training, & Certifications

Duke Appointment History

Awards & Honors

Global Scholarship

Research

Selected Grants

Selected Publications

Academic Articles