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S. Philip Morgan

Norb F. Schaefer Distinguished Professor Emeritus of International Studies
Sociology
Box 90088, Durham, NC 27708-0088
268 Soc-Psych, Durham, NC 27708

Selected Publications


A Multistate Life Table Analysis of Union Regimes in the United States: Trends and Racial Differentials, 1970-2002.

Journal Article Popul Res Policy Rev · April 1, 2012 We estimate trends and racial differentials in marriage, cohabitation, union formation and dissolution (union regimes) for the period 1970-2002 in the United States. These estimates are based on an innovative application of multistate life table analysis t ... Full text Link to item Cite

Below replacement fertility preferences in Shanghai.

Journal Article Population · January 2011 China has joined the group of low-fertility countries; it has a TFR somewhere in the range of 1.4 to 1.6. Much speculation about China's future fertility depends on whether individual's fertility intentions and preferences are much higher than the state's ... Full text Cite

The Social demography of internet dating in the United States*

Journal Article Social Science Quarterly · June 1, 2010 Objective: The objective of this article is to identify the sociodemographic correlates of Internet dating net of selective processes that determine who is " at risk." We also examine the role of computer literacy, social networks, and attitudes toward Int ... Full text Cite

The Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the U.S.

Journal Article Population and Development Review · March 2010 Cite

Forty Years of Fertility Change

Journal Article Journal of Comparative Family Studies · 2010 Cite

Child Care Availability and Fertility

Journal Article Population and Development Review · 2010 The child care and fertility hypothesis has been in the literature for a long time and is straightforward: As child care becomes more available, affordable, and acceptable, the antinatalist effects of increased female educational attainment and work oppor ... Cite

Family Change and Continuity in Iran: Birth Control Use Before First Pregnancy.

Journal Article Journal of marriage and the family · December 2009 Using data from the 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey, we examined birth control use between marriage and first pregnancy. We focused on the post-1990 increase in birth control use and develop two explanations. The first posits that birth control use r ... Full text Cite

China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects.

Journal Article Population and development review · September 2009 Full text Cite

Intergenerational fertility among Hispanic women: new evidence of immigrant assimilation.

Journal Article Demography · August 2008 In recent decades, rapid growth of the U.S. Hispanic population has raised concerns about immigrant adaptation, including fertility. Empirical research suggests that Hispanics, especially Mexicans, might not be following the historical European pattern of ... Full text Cite

The quality of retrospective data on cohabitation.

Journal Article Demography · February 2008 We assess the quality of retrospective data on cohabitation by comparing data collected in four major U.S. family surveys: the National Survey of Families and Households and three rounds of the National Survey of Family Growth. We use event-history analysi ... Full text Cite

Religiosity and Fertility in the United States:

Journal Article Social Forces · 2008 Cite

The American family in a theory of conjunctural action

Journal Article American Journal of Sociology · 2006 Cite

Low Fertility in the 21st Century

Journal Article Annual Review of Sociology · 2006 Cite

Intended Parity and Ideal Family Size in the United States, 1970-2002.

Journal Article Population and Development Review · October 2005 Cite

Brave New Worlds: Philosophy, Politics, and Science

Journal Article Population and Development Review · March 2005 Cite

Pervasive Muslim-Hindu fertility differences in India.

Journal Article Demography · August 2004 Using the 1993 Indian Family and Health Survey, we examined Muslim-Hindu differences in (1) the parity-specific intent to have another child and (2) given a stated intent for no more children, reports of the current use of contraceptives. We found that Mus ... Full text Cite

Is low fertility a twenty-first-century demographic crisis?

Journal Article Demography · November 2003 Nearly half of the world's population in 2000 lived in countries with fertility rates at or below replacement level, and nearly all countries will reach low fertility levels in the next two decades. Concerns about low fertility, fertility that is well belo ... Full text Cite

How big are educational and racial fertility differentials in the U.S.?

Journal Article Social biology · September 2003 Using pooled data from the 1980, 1985, 1990 and 1995 CPS and 1988 and 1995 NSFG surveys, we show that shifts in fertility timing have occurred disproportionately for the more educated and for whites (compared to the less educated and to African Americans). ... Full text Cite

The changing institutional context of low fertility

Journal Article Population Research and Policy Review · January 1, 2003 Using data for 1960-97 for 22 low fertility countries, we document a dramatic change in the association of fertility levels to women's levels of labor force participation. Until the 1980s, this association had been strongly negative. However, during the 19 ... Full text Cite

Missing the target? Correspondence of fertility intentions and behavior in the U.S

Journal Article Population Research and Policy Review · January 1, 2003 Building on a framework suggested by Bongaarts (2001) and using data from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we describe the correspondence between intended family size and observed fertility for the 1957 to 1961 birth cohorts of U.S. women an ... Full text Cite

Do cross-national differences in the costs of children generate cross-national differences in fertility rates?

Journal Article Population Research and Policy Review · January 1, 2003 Parity-specific probabilities of having a next birth are estimated from national fertility data and are compared with nation-specific costs of having children as measured by time-budget data, by attitude data from the International Social Survey Program, a ... Full text Cite

EMERGING PARENTAL GENDER INDIFFERENCE? SEX COMPOSITION OF CHILDREN AND THE THIRD BIRTH.

Journal Article American sociological review · August 2002 For much of the twentieth century, parents in the United States with two children of the same sex were more likely to have a third child than were parents with one son and one daughter, that is, there was an effect of the sex of previous children on the oc ... Full text Cite

Effects on pregnancy outcomes of changes in the North Carolina state abortion fund

Journal Article Population Research and Policy Review · August 1, 2002 Extending work of Cook et al. (1999, 1996), this paper examines abortion funding cutoffs for poor women in North Carolina, a unique setting allowing for a strong quasi-experimental design. Using vital registration data and additional administrative data fr ... Full text Cite

Success and future of demography: the role of data and methods.

Journal Article Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · December 2001 Demography typifies paradigmatic success; that is, cumulative scientific work that has provided useful perspectives on a set of important questions. This success can be traced partly to the core subject matter of demography, which is relatively conducive t ... Full text Cite

Why Have Children in the 21st Century?

Journal Article European Journal of Population · July 2001 Link to item Cite

Moslem and non-Moslem fertility differences in the Eastern Terai in Nepal.

Journal Article Contributions to Nepalese Studies · January 2001 Cite

Gender inequality in two Nepali settings.

Journal Article Garcia, Brigida (ed.) Women, Poverty and Demographic Change. · January 2000 Cite

White and nonwhite trends in first birth timing: Comparisons using vital registration and current population surveys

Journal Article Population Research and Policy Review · December 1, 1999 The magnitude of racial differences in first birth timing vary greatly depending upon the data sources from which they are estimated. Vital registration data (Heuser 1976; with updates from the National Center for Health Statistics 1974-1990) show that in ... Full text Cite

Reexamining the link of early childbearing to marriage and to subsequent fertility.

Journal Article Demography · February 1999 Using data from the 1980, 1985, and 1990 Current Population Surveys, we show that the link between early fertility and nonmarital births has become stronger. Women who give birth earlier are increasingly likely to be unmarried. In contrast, we find a weake ... Full text Cite

Sons, daughters and the risk of marital disruption.

Journal Article American Journal of Sociology · February 1998 Link to item Cite

Characteristic features of modern American fertility.

Journal Article Population and Development Review · June 1996 Link to item Cite

Racial differences in mother-child coresidence in the past.

Journal Article Journal of Marriage and the Family · May 1996 Cite

An introduction to categorical data analysis.

Journal Article Annual Review of Sociology · January 1996 Cite

Gender inequality and fertility in two Nepal villages.

Journal Article Population and Development Review · January 1995 Cite

Racial differences in first names in 1910.

Journal Article Journal of Family History · January 1994 Cite

Marriage dissolution in Australia:models and explanations.

Journal Article Population Studies · January 1993 Cite

Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women.

Journal Article International Journal of Forecasting · January 1992 Cite

Late nineteenth and early twentieth century childlessness in the United States.

Journal Article American Journal of Sociology · June 1991 Cite

Fathers, sons and daughters: differential paternal involvement in parenting.

Journal Article Journal of Marriage and the Family · January 1991 Cite

Immigrazione e diversita etnico-razziale: il caso degli Stati Uniti (Immigration and racial/ethnic diversity: The United States case)

Journal Article in Abitare Il Pianeta: Futuro Demografico, Migration e Tensioni Etniche. · January 1989 Cite

Living arrangements and family formation.

Journal Article Social Forces · January 1988 Cite

Logistic regression: Description, examples, and comparisons.

Journal Article Journal of Marriage and the Family · January 1988 Cite

Parenthood and the attitudes of young adults.

Journal Article American Sociological Review · 1987 Cite

Paternal participation and children's well being after divorce:

Journal Article American Sociological Review · 1987 Cite

Exploring race differences in the timing of adolescent intercourse.

Journal Article American Sociological Review · January 1987 Cite

Adolescent mothers and their children in later life.

Journal Article Family Planning Perspectives. · January 1987 Cite

Childlessness in rural Ethiopia.

Journal Article Population and Development Review. · 1986 Cite

Socioeconomic and institutional determinants of family formation: Khartoum, Sudan, 1945-75.

Journal Article Journal of Marriage and the Family · January 1986 Cite

Marital disruption: Structural and temporal dimensions.

Journal Article American Journal of Sociology · January 1985 Cite

Individual and couple intentions for more children.

Journal Article Demography · January 1985 Cite

Marriage, sex, and the first birth interval: The quiet revolution in Asia.

Journal Article Population and Development Review · 1983 Cite

Toward a theory of income determination.

Journal Article Sociology of Work and Occupations. · January 1983 Cite

Prayerfulness in America.

Journal Article Chicago Studies. · January 1981 Cite