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Simplified Predictive Instrument to Rule Out Acute Coronary Syndromes in a High-Risk Population.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Fanaroff, AC; Schulteis, RD; Pieper, KS; Rao, SV; Newby, LK
Published in: J Am Heart Assoc
December 14, 2015

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether diagnostic protocols based on cardiac markers to identify low-risk chest pain patients suitable for early release from the emergency department can be applied to patients older than 65 years or with traditional cardiac risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a single-center retrospective study of 231 consecutive patients with high-risk factor burden in which a first cardiac troponin (cTn) level was measured in the emergency department and a second cTn sample was drawn 4 to 14 hours later, we compared the performance of a modified 2-Hour Accelerated Diagnostic Protocol to Assess Patients with Chest Pain Using Contemporary Troponins as the Only Biomarker (ADAPT) rule to a new risk classification scheme that identifies patients as low risk if they have no known coronary artery disease, a nonischemic electrocardiogram, and 2 cTn levels below the assay's limit of detection. Demographic and outcome data were abstracted through chart review. The median age of our population was 64 years, and 75% had Thrombosis In Myocardial Infarction risk score ≥2. Using our risk classification rule, 53 (23%) patients were low risk with a negative predictive value for 30-day cardiac events of 98%. Applying a modified ADAPT rule to our cohort, 18 (8%) patients were identified as low risk with a negative predictive value of 100%. In a sensitivity analysis, the negative predictive value of our risk algorithm did not change when we relied only on undetectable baseline cTn and eliminated the second cTn assessment. CONCLUSIONS: If confirmed in prospective studies, this less-restrictive risk classification strategy could be used to safely identify chest pain patients with more traditional cardiac risk factors for early emergency department release.

Duke Scholars

Published In

J Am Heart Assoc

DOI

EISSN

2047-9980

Publication Date

December 14, 2015

Volume

4

Issue

12

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Troponin C
  • Risk Factors
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Female
  • Emergency Service, Hospital
  • Electrocardiography
  • Decision Support Techniques
 

Citation

APA
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ICMJE
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Fanaroff, A. C., Schulteis, R. D., Pieper, K. S., Rao, S. V., & Newby, L. K. (2015). Simplified Predictive Instrument to Rule Out Acute Coronary Syndromes in a High-Risk Population. J Am Heart Assoc, 4(12). https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.115.002351
Fanaroff, Alexander C., Ryan D. Schulteis, Karen S. Pieper, Sunil V. Rao, and L Kristin Newby. “Simplified Predictive Instrument to Rule Out Acute Coronary Syndromes in a High-Risk Population.J Am Heart Assoc 4, no. 12 (December 14, 2015). https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.115.002351.
Fanaroff AC, Schulteis RD, Pieper KS, Rao SV, Newby LK. Simplified Predictive Instrument to Rule Out Acute Coronary Syndromes in a High-Risk Population. J Am Heart Assoc. 2015 Dec 14;4(12).
Fanaroff, Alexander C., et al. “Simplified Predictive Instrument to Rule Out Acute Coronary Syndromes in a High-Risk Population.J Am Heart Assoc, vol. 4, no. 12, Dec. 2015. Pubmed, doi:10.1161/JAHA.115.002351.
Fanaroff AC, Schulteis RD, Pieper KS, Rao SV, Newby LK. Simplified Predictive Instrument to Rule Out Acute Coronary Syndromes in a High-Risk Population. J Am Heart Assoc. 2015 Dec 14;4(12).
Journal cover image

Published In

J Am Heart Assoc

DOI

EISSN

2047-9980

Publication Date

December 14, 2015

Volume

4

Issue

12

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Troponin C
  • Risk Factors
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Female
  • Emergency Service, Hospital
  • Electrocardiography
  • Decision Support Techniques