Utility of the 52-Gene Risk Score to Identify Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis at Greater Risk of Mortality in the Era of Antifibrotic Therapy.

PURPOSE: We investigated whether a 52-gene signature was associated with transplant-free survival and other clinically meaningful outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in the IPF-PRO Registry, which enrolled patients who were and were not taking antifibrotic therapy. METHODS: The 52-gene risk signature was implemented to classify patients as being at "high risk" or "low risk" of disease progression and mortality. Transplant-free survival and other outcomes were compared between patients with a low-risk versus high-risk signature. RESULTS: The 52-gene signature classified 159 patients as at low risk and 86 as at high risk; in these groups, respectively, 56.6% and 51.2% used antifibrotic therapy at enrollment. Among those taking antifibrotic therapy, patients with a low-risk versus high-risk signature were at decreased risk of death, a composite of lung transplant or death, and a composite of decline in DLco % predicted > 15%, lung transplant, or death. Similar results were observed in the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that the 52-gene signature can be used in patients with IPF treated with antifibrotic therapy to distinguish patients at higher risk of disease progression and mortality.

Duke Scholars

Author Megan Lee Neely Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Division of Biostatistics

Author Jamie Lynn Todd Medicine, Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine