Potential risks of nonoperative management of appendicitis in high-risk patients.

INTRODUCTION: The popularity of nonoperative management for acute appendicitis is based on the untested assumption that it offers a lower risk alternative to surgery in patients who are at high risk for morbidity and mortality with appendectomy. We hypothesized that patients who were at a high risk with appendectomy would also be at a high risk for complications following nonoperative management. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients with acute, uncomplicated appendicitis in the 2004-2017 National Inpatient Sample. We used a logistic regression model to predict the risk of morbidity or mortality following appendectomy and applied this model to predict the risk of patients managed nonoperatively. High risk was defined as ≥2 standard deviations above the mean predicted risk of morbidity or mortality. We used inverse probability weighting of the propensity score to compare outcomes of nonoperative versus operative management for high-risk patients. RESULTS: The sample included 21,242 high-risk patients with a median age of 68 years (interquartile range 57-78), and 31% were managed nonoperatively. Compared to surgery, nonoperative management was associated with a 9% decrease in complications (95% confidence interval [CI] 7%-10%), 2% increase in mortality (95% CI 2%-3%), $10,202 increase in hospital costs (95% CI $9,065-$11,339), 3-day increase in length of stay (95% CI 2-3), and 9% greater likelihood of discharge to skilled nursing facilities (95% CI 8%-10%). CONCLUSION: Nonoperative management of acute appendicitis in high-risk patients may reduce morbidity but increase mortality, duration of hospitalization, discharge to skilled facility, and costs. Surgeons should exercise caution when considering nonoperative management in these vulnerable patients.

Duke Scholars

Author Miles Berger Anesthesiology, Neuroanesthesia

Author Suresh Kumar Agarwal Jr. Trauma, Acute, and Critical Care Surgery