Exploring clinical factors to predict the survival of patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer with neoadjuvant immunotherapy.

The goal was to explore clinical factors and build a predictive model for the disease-free and overall survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors.Inclusion criteria for patients in this multicentre study were as follows: (i) Patients who were diagnosed with stages I-III NSCLC after a bronchoscopy biopsy or puncture; (ii) patients who were examined with computed tomography/positron emission tomography-computed tomography before treatment and surgery; (iii) patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors for 2 to 6 cycles preoperatively; (iv) patients whose peripheral blood indicators and tumour markers were assessed before treatment and preoperatively; (v) patients who underwent radical lung cancer surgery after neoadjuvant therapy. Cases were divided into high- and low-risk groups according to 78 clinical indicators based on a 10-fold Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator selection. We used Cox proportional hazards models to predict disease-free and overall survival. Then, we used time-dependent area under the curve and decision curve analyses to examine the accuracy of the results.Data were collected continuously, and 212 and 85 cases were randomly assigned to training and testing sets, respectively. The area under the curve for the prediction of disease-free survival (training: 1 year, 0.83; 2 years, 0.81; 3 years, 0.83 versus testing: 1 year, 0.65; 2 years, 0.66; 3 years, 0.70), overall survival (training: 1 year, 0.86; 2 years, 0.85; 3 years, 0.86 versus testing: 1 year, 0.66; 2 years, 0.57; 3 years, 0.70) were determined. The coefficient factors including pathological response; preoperative tumour maximum diameter; preoperative lymph shorter diameter; preoperative tumour and lymph maximum standardized uptake value; change in tumour standardized uptake value preoperatively; and blood-related risk factors were favourably associated with prognosis (P < 0.001).Our prediction model, which integrated data from preoperative positron emission tomography-CT, preoperative blood parameters and pathological response, was able to make highly accurate predictions for disease-free and overall survival in patients with NSCLC receiving neoadjuvant immunity with chemical therapy.

Duke Scholars

Author Xiaofei Wang Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Division of Biostatistics