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Biomarkers of Insulin Resistance and Their Performance as Predictors of Treatment Response in Overweight Adults.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Brogan, RJ; Rooyackers, O; Phillips, BE; Twelkmeyer, B; Ross, LM; Atherton, PJ; Kraus, WE; Timmons, JA; Gallagher, IJ
Published in: J Clin Endocrinol Metab
December 18, 2025

CONTEXT: Insulin resistance (IR) contributes to the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes mellitus and is a risk factor for cardiovascular and neurodegenerative diseases. Amino acid and lipid metabolomic biomarkers associate with future type 2 diabetes mellitus risk in several epidemiological cohorts. Whether these biomarkers can accurately monitor changes in IR status following treatment is unclear. OBJECTIVE: Herein we evaluated the performance of clinical and metabolomic biomarker models to forecast altered IR, following lifestyle-based interventions. DESIGN: We contrasted the performance of two distinct insulin assay types (high-sensitivity ELISA and immunoassay) and built IR diagnostic models using cross-sectional clinical and metabolomic data. These models were used to stratify IR status in preintervention fasting samples, from 3 independent cohorts (META-PREDICT (n = 179), STRRIDE-AT/RT (n = 116), and STRRIDE-PD (n = 149)). Linear and Bayesian projective prediction strategies were used to evaluate models for fasting insulin and homeostatic model assessment 2 for insulin resistance and change in fasting insulin with treatment. RESULTS: Both insulin assays accurately quantified international standard insulin (R2 > 0.99), yet agreement between fasting insulins was less congruent (R2 = 0.65). A mean treatment effect on fasting insulin was only detectable using the ELISA. Clinical-metabolomic models were statistically related to fasting insulin (R2 0.33-0.39) but with modest capacity to classify IR at a clinically relevant homeostatic model assessment 2 for insulin resistance threshold. Furthermore, no model predicted treatment responses in any cohort. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that the choice of insulin assay is critical when quantifying the influence of treatment on fasting insulin, whereas none of the clinical-metabolomic biomarkers, identified in cross-sectional studies, are suitable for monitoring longitudinally changes in IR status.

Duke Scholars

Published In

J Clin Endocrinol Metab

DOI

EISSN

1945-7197

Publication Date

December 18, 2025

Volume

111

Issue

1

Start / End Page

244 / 255

Location

United States

Related Subject Headings

  • Treatment Outcome
  • Overweight
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Insulin Resistance
  • Insulin
  • Humans
  • Female
  • Fasting
  • Endocrinology & Metabolism
 

Citation

APA
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MLA
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Brogan, R. J., Rooyackers, O., Phillips, B. E., Twelkmeyer, B., Ross, L. M., Atherton, P. J., … Gallagher, I. J. (2025). Biomarkers of Insulin Resistance and Their Performance as Predictors of Treatment Response in Overweight Adults. J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 111(1), 244–255. https://doi.org/10.1210/clinem/dgaf285
Brogan, Robert J., Olav Rooyackers, Bethan E. Phillips, Brigitte Twelkmeyer, Leanna M. Ross, Philip J. Atherton, William E. Kraus, James A. Timmons, and Iain J. Gallagher. “Biomarkers of Insulin Resistance and Their Performance as Predictors of Treatment Response in Overweight Adults.J Clin Endocrinol Metab 111, no. 1 (December 18, 2025): 244–55. https://doi.org/10.1210/clinem/dgaf285.
Brogan RJ, Rooyackers O, Phillips BE, Twelkmeyer B, Ross LM, Atherton PJ, et al. Biomarkers of Insulin Resistance and Their Performance as Predictors of Treatment Response in Overweight Adults. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2025 Dec 18;111(1):244–55.
Brogan, Robert J., et al. “Biomarkers of Insulin Resistance and Their Performance as Predictors of Treatment Response in Overweight Adults.J Clin Endocrinol Metab, vol. 111, no. 1, Dec. 2025, pp. 244–55. Pubmed, doi:10.1210/clinem/dgaf285.
Brogan RJ, Rooyackers O, Phillips BE, Twelkmeyer B, Ross LM, Atherton PJ, Kraus WE, Timmons JA, Gallagher IJ. Biomarkers of Insulin Resistance and Their Performance as Predictors of Treatment Response in Overweight Adults. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2025 Dec 18;111(1):244–255.
Journal cover image

Published In

J Clin Endocrinol Metab

DOI

EISSN

1945-7197

Publication Date

December 18, 2025

Volume

111

Issue

1

Start / End Page

244 / 255

Location

United States

Related Subject Headings

  • Treatment Outcome
  • Overweight
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Insulin Resistance
  • Insulin
  • Humans
  • Female
  • Fasting
  • Endocrinology & Metabolism