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Polygenic risk score for type 2 diabetes shows context-dependent effects across populations.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Guo, B; Cai, Y; Kim, D; Smit, RAJ; Wang, Z; Iyer, KR; Hilliard, AT; Haessler, J; Tao, R; Broadaway, KA; Wang, Y; Pozdeyev, N; Stæger, FF ...
Published in: Nat Commun
October 1, 2025

Polygenic risk scores hold prognostic value for identifying individuals at higher risk of type 2 diabetes. However, further characterization is needed to understand the generalizability of type 2 diabetes polygenic risk scores in diverse populations across various contexts. We systematically characterize a multi-ancestry type 2 diabetes polygenic risk score among 244,637 cases and 637,891 controls across diverse populations from the Population Architecture Genomics and Epidemiology Study and 13 additional biobanks and cohorts. Polygenic risk score performance is context dependent, with better performance in those who are younger, male, without hypertension, and not obese or overweight. Additionally, the polygenic risk score is associated with various diabetes-related cardiometabolic traits and type 2 diabetes complications, suggesting its utility for stratifying risk of complications and identifying shared genetic architecture between type 2 diabetes and other diseases. These findings highlight the need to account for context when evaluating polygenic risk score as a tool for type 2 diabetes risk prognostication and the potentially generalizable associations of type 2 diabetes polygenic risk score with diabetes-related traits, despite differential performance in type 2 diabetes prediction across diverse populations. Our study provides a comprehensive resource to characterize a type 2 diabetes polygenic risk score.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Nat Commun

DOI

EISSN

2041-1723

Publication Date

October 1, 2025

Volume

16

Issue

1

Start / End Page

8632

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Risk Factors
  • Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
  • Multifactorial Inheritance
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Genome-Wide Association Study
  • Genetic Risk Score
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease
  • Female
 

Citation

APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
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Guo, B., Cai, Y., Kim, D., Smit, R. A. J., Wang, Z., Iyer, K. R., … Darst, B. F. (2025). Polygenic risk score for type 2 diabetes shows context-dependent effects across populations. Nat Commun, 16(1), 8632. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-63546-4
Guo, Boya, Yanwei Cai, Daeeun Kim, Roelof A. J. Smit, Zhe Wang, Kruthika R. Iyer, Austin T. Hilliard, et al. “Polygenic risk score for type 2 diabetes shows context-dependent effects across populations.Nat Commun 16, no. 1 (October 1, 2025): 8632. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-63546-4.
Guo B, Cai Y, Kim D, Smit RAJ, Wang Z, Iyer KR, et al. Polygenic risk score for type 2 diabetes shows context-dependent effects across populations. Nat Commun. 2025 Oct 1;16(1):8632.
Guo, Boya, et al. “Polygenic risk score for type 2 diabetes shows context-dependent effects across populations.Nat Commun, vol. 16, no. 1, Oct. 2025, p. 8632. Pubmed, doi:10.1038/s41467-025-63546-4.
Guo B, Cai Y, Kim D, Smit RAJ, Wang Z, Iyer KR, Hilliard AT, Haessler J, Tao R, Broadaway KA, Wang Y, Pozdeyev N, Stæger FF, Yang C, Vanderwerff B, Patki AD, Stalbow L, Lin M, Rafaels N, Shortt J, Wiley L, Stanislawski M, Pattee J, Davis L, Straub PS, Shuey MM, Cox NJ, Lee NR, Jørgensen ME, Bjerregaard P, Larsen C, Hansen T, Moltke I, Meigs JB, Stram DO, Yin X, Zhou X, Chang K-M, Clarke SL, Guarischi-Sousa R, Lankester J, Tsao PS, Buyske S, Graff M, Raffield LM, Sun Q, Wilkens LR, Carlson CS, Easton CB, Liu S, Manson JE, Marchand LL, Haiman CA, Mohlke KL, Gordon-Larsen P, Albrechtsen A, Boehnke M, Rich SS, Manichaikul A, Rotter JI, Yousri NA, Irvin RM, biobank at the Colorado Center for Personalized Medicine (CCPM), VA Million Veteran Program (MVP), Gignoux C, North KE, Loos RJF, Assimes TL, Peters U, Kooperberg C, Raghavan S, Highland HM, Darst BF. Polygenic risk score for type 2 diabetes shows context-dependent effects across populations. Nat Commun. 2025 Oct 1;16(1):8632.

Published In

Nat Commun

DOI

EISSN

2041-1723

Publication Date

October 1, 2025

Volume

16

Issue

1

Start / End Page

8632

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Risk Factors
  • Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
  • Multifactorial Inheritance
  • Middle Aged
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Genome-Wide Association Study
  • Genetic Risk Score
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease
  • Female