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Comparative Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer by Volume of Disease and Timing of Metastasis: A Living Network Meta-analysis.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Riaz, IB; Ahmed Naqvi, SA; Faisal, KS; He, H; Rubab Khakwani, KZ; Childs, DS; Orme, JJ; Ravi, P; Singh, P; Hussain, SA; Chi, K; Agarwal, N ...
Published in: Eur Urol
January 2026

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the comparative effectiveness of contemporary systemic treatment options across patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) across clinically relevant prognostic subgroups (synchronous high [SHV] and low [SLV] volume, and metachronous high [MHV] and low [MLV] volume). METHODS: This living network meta-analysis was conducted using the living interactive evidence (LIvE) synthesis framework. Phase 3 randomized controlled trials assessing treatment intensification with androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs), docetaxel (D), or both were included. Mixed treatment comparisons were conducted for overall population and for each prognostic subgroup (SHV, SLV, MHV, and MLV). Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival were assessed. KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS: The current report of a living systematic review includes a total of 11 trials (12 668 patients and 12 unique treatments). In the overall population, the results were consistent with those of a previous report. An analysis of OS by prespecified subgroups included nine clinical trials (8990 patients and eight unique treatments). In the SHV subgroup (N = 5171; 57%), ARPI + D + androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) led to a statistically significant improvement in OS compared with D + ADT (hazard ratio: 0.72; 95% confidence interval: 0.62-0.83) and ARPI + ADT (0.71; 0.53-0.97). In the SLV subgroup (N = 2455; 27%), ARPI + ADT led to a statistically significant improvement compared with ADT alone (0.65; 0.52-0.80). There was no statistically significant difference between ARPI + D + ADT and ARPI + ADT (1.08; 0.65-1.79). In the MHV subgroup (N = 589; 6.5%), no statistically significant improvement was observed with ARPI + D + ADT compared with ARPI + ADT (0.89; 0.43-1.85) and D + ADT (0.90; 0.60-1.36). There was no statistically significant difference between ARPI + ADT and D + ADT (1.02; 0.45-2.28). In the MLV subgroup (N = 775; 8.5%), ARPI + ADT led to a statistically significant improvement compared with ADT alone (0.43; 0.29-0.64) and D + ADT (0.41; 0.24-0.70). There was no statistically significant difference between ARPI + D + ADT and ARPI + ADT (1.56; 0.40-6.25). Inherent limitations of this analysis include the inability to account for all relevant variables such as the patient- and cancer-related factors that likely influenced the decision of physicians to offer docetaxel to patients. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Current evidence suggests that triplet systemic therapy is preferred for patients with SHV mHSPC who are fit for docetaxel. Androgen receptor pathway doublet therapy is preferred for all other patient subgroups compared with ADT alone. There is no role of docetaxel doublet in patients with access to ARPI therapy and if they are able to receive it.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Eur Urol

DOI

EISSN

1873-7560

Publication Date

January 2026

Volume

89

Issue

1

Start / End Page

31 / 44

Location

Switzerland

Related Subject Headings

  • Urology & Nephrology
  • Tumor Burden
  • Time Factors
  • Survival Rate
  • Prostatic Neoplasms
  • Neoplasm Metastasis
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Docetaxel
  • Androgen Receptor Antagonists
 

Citation

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Riaz, I. B., Ahmed Naqvi, S. A., Faisal, K. S., He, H., Rubab Khakwani, K. Z., Childs, D. S., … Bryce, A. H. (2026). Comparative Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer by Volume of Disease and Timing of Metastasis: A Living Network Meta-analysis. Eur Urol, 89(1), 31–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eururo.2025.09.007
Riaz, Irbaz Bin, Syed Arsalan Ahmed Naqvi, Kunwer Sufyan Faisal, Huan He, Kaneez Zahra Rubab Khakwani, Daniel S. Childs, Jacob J. Orme, et al. “Comparative Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer by Volume of Disease and Timing of Metastasis: A Living Network Meta-analysis.Eur Urol 89, no. 1 (January 2026): 31–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eururo.2025.09.007.
Riaz IB, Ahmed Naqvi SA, Faisal KS, He H, Rubab Khakwani KZ, Childs DS, et al. Comparative Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer by Volume of Disease and Timing of Metastasis: A Living Network Meta-analysis. Eur Urol. 2026 Jan;89(1):31–44.
Riaz, Irbaz Bin, et al. “Comparative Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer by Volume of Disease and Timing of Metastasis: A Living Network Meta-analysis.Eur Urol, vol. 89, no. 1, Jan. 2026, pp. 31–44. Pubmed, doi:10.1016/j.eururo.2025.09.007.
Riaz IB, Ahmed Naqvi SA, Faisal KS, He H, Rubab Khakwani KZ, Childs DS, Orme JJ, Ravi P, Singh P, Hussain SA, Chi K, Agarwal N, Merseburger AS, Davis ID, Armstrong A, Hussain MH, Smith M, Attard G, Tombal B, Fizazi K, James N, Omlin A, Gillessen S, Murad MH, Van Allen EM, Sweeney CJ, Bryce AH. Comparative Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer by Volume of Disease and Timing of Metastasis: A Living Network Meta-analysis. Eur Urol. 2026 Jan;89(1):31–44.
Journal cover image

Published In

Eur Urol

DOI

EISSN

1873-7560

Publication Date

January 2026

Volume

89

Issue

1

Start / End Page

31 / 44

Location

Switzerland

Related Subject Headings

  • Urology & Nephrology
  • Tumor Burden
  • Time Factors
  • Survival Rate
  • Prostatic Neoplasms
  • Neoplasm Metastasis
  • Male
  • Humans
  • Docetaxel
  • Androgen Receptor Antagonists