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Data from Serum Pepsinogen as a Biomarker for Gastric Cancer in the United States: A Nested Case–Control Study Using the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial Data

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In, H; Sarkar, S; Ward, J; Friedmann, P; Parides, M; Yang, J; Epplein, M
November 26, 2025

<div>AbstractBackground:<p>Gastric cancer lacks specific symptoms, resulting in diagnosis at later stages and high mortality. Serum pepsinogen is a biomarker for atrophic gastritis, a gastric cancer precursor, and may be useful to detect persons at increased risk of gastric cancer.</p>Methods:<p>The Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial was conducted in the United States between 1993 and 2001. ELISA-based pepsinogen tests were conducted on prediagnostic serum samples of 105 PLCO participants who developed gastric cancer and 209 age, sex, and race-matched controls. Pepsinogen positive (PG+) was defined as pepsinogen I ≤ 70 μg/L and pepsinogen I/II ratio ≤3.0. Results of conditional logistic regression models, and sensitivity and specificity, of PG+ for gastric cancer are reported.</p>Results:<p>Gastric cancer cases were more likely to be PG+ (31.4% vs. 5.5%, <i>P</i> < 0.001) at baseline than controls. Compared to PG-, PG+ was associated with an 8.5-fold increased risk for gastric cancer [95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.8–19.4]. This risk remained significant after adjusting for <i>Helicobacter pylori</i>, family history of gastric cancer, education, smoking, and BMI (aOR, 10.6; 95% CI, 4.3–26.2). In subgroup analysis, PG+ individuals were 11-fold more like to develop non-cardia gastric cancer (OR, 11.1; 95% CI, 4.3–28.8); conversely, they were not significantly more likely to develop cardia gastric cancer (OR, 2.0; 95% CI = 0.3–14.2). PG+ status yielded low sensitivity but high specificity for both noncardia (44.3%; 93.6%) and cardia gastric cancer (5.7%; 97.2%).</p>Conclusions:<p>Prediagnostic serum pepsinogen levels from a large, prospective cohort study were associated with risk of gastric cancer, particularly noncardia gastric cancer.</p>Impact:<p>PG status may identify individuals at higher risk of noncardia gastric cancer for targeted screening or interventions.</p><p><i><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-22-0372" target="_blank">See related commentary by Zhou and Huang, p. 1257</a></i></p></div>

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Publication Date

November 26, 2025
 

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In, H., Sarkar, S., Ward, J., Friedmann, P., Parides, M., Yang, J., & Epplein, M. (2025). Data from Serum Pepsinogen as a Biomarker for Gastric Cancer in the United States: A Nested Case–Control Study Using the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial Data. https://doi.org/10.1158/1055-9965.c.8169908
In, Haejin, Srawani Sarkar, Jessica Ward, Patricia Friedmann, Michael Parides, Julie Yang, and Meira Epplein. “Data from Serum Pepsinogen as a Biomarker for Gastric Cancer in the United States: A Nested Case–Control Study Using the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial Data,” November 26, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1158/1055-9965.c.8169908.

DOI

Publication Date

November 26, 2025