Predictors of achieving Neck Disability Index minimum clinically important difference following cervical deformity surgery.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine predictors of the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) in the Neck Disability Index (NDI) following cervical spinal deformity surgery. METHODS: A retrospective review was performed of a prospective, multicenter adult cervical spinal deformity database. All patients had baseline and 1-year NDI scores. Patients met MCID with an improvement of NDI by 7 points between baseline and 1 year, as previously established. Baseline demographics, comorbidities, and both baseline and 1-year spinopelvic parameters were evaluated for statistical significance in a univariate logistic regression analysis. Significant variables, in addition to baseline NDI, were analyzed in a multivariable logistic regression model by backward selection with Akaike information criterion minimization. RESULTS: A total of 122 patients were included with a median age of 62 (IQR 56, 69) years; 62% of patients were female. Of the 122 patients, 72 (59%) achieved NDI MCID at 1 year. Predictors of achieving MCID on univariate analysis included a lower Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) total score (OR 0.70, p = 0.03), depression as a comorbidity (OR 2.9, p = 0.02), lower C2 tilt at the 1-year follow-up (OR 0.92, p = 0.02), and a greater difference between 1-year postoperative C2-7 sagittal vertical axis (SVA) and preoperative C2-7 SVA (OR 0.98, p = 0.0495). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, predictors of achieving MCID included a lower CCI (OR 0.62, p = 0.03), depression as a comorbidity (OR 3.1, p = 0.059), a greater change in C2-7 SVA at the 1-year follow-up compared with baseline (OR 0.97, p = 0.055), and baseline NDI (OR 1.02, p = 0.24) with an area under the curve of 0.74. CONCLUSIONS: The best-fit multivariable model included higher baseline NDI, a greater change in C2-7 SVA, patient-reported baseline depression, and lower CCI as important factors in predicting NDI MCID.

Duke Scholars

Author Christopher Ignatius Shaffrey Orthopaedic Surgery