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Journal cover image

Active life expectancy estimates for the U.S. elderly population: a multidimensional continuous-mixture model of functional change applied to completed cohorts, 1982-1996.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Manton, KG; Land, KC
Published in: Demography
August 2000

An increment-decrement stochastic-process life table model that continuously mixes measures of functional change is developed to represent age transitions among highly refined disability states interacting simultaneously with mortality. The model is applied to data from the National Long Term Care Surveys of elderly persons in the years 1982 to 1996 to produce active life expectancy estimates based on completed-cohort life tables. At ages 65 and 85, comparisons with extant period estimates for 1990 show that our active life expectancy estimates are larger for both males and females than are extant period estimates based on coarse disability states.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Demography

DOI

EISSN

1533-7790

ISSN

0070-3370

Publication Date

August 2000

Volume

37

Issue

3

Start / End Page

253 / 265

Related Subject Headings

  • United States
  • Time Factors
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Models, Statistical
  • Male
  • Long-Term Care
  • Life Tables
  • Life Expectancy
  • Humans
  • Health Status
 
Journal cover image

Published In

Demography

DOI

EISSN

1533-7790

ISSN

0070-3370

Publication Date

August 2000

Volume

37

Issue

3

Start / End Page

253 / 265

Related Subject Headings

  • United States
  • Time Factors
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Models, Statistical
  • Male
  • Long-Term Care
  • Life Tables
  • Life Expectancy
  • Humans
  • Health Status