SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS.
Publication
, Journal Article
Matheson, JE; Winkler, RL
Published in: Management Science
January 1, 1976
Personal, or subjective, probabilities are used as inputs to many inferential and decision-making models, and various procedures have been developed for the elicitation of such probabilities. Included among these elicitation procedures are scoring rules, which involve the computation of a score based on the assessor's stated probabilities and on the event that actually occurs. The development of scoring rules has, in general, been restricted to the elicitation of discrete probability distributions. In this paper, families of scoring rules for the elicitation of continuous probability distributions are developed and discussed.
Duke Scholars
Published In
Management Science
DOI
ISSN
0025-1909
Publication Date
January 1, 1976
Volume
22
Issue
10
Start / End Page
1087 / 1096
Related Subject Headings
- Operations Research
- 46 Information and computing sciences
- 38 Economics
- 35 Commerce, management, tourism and services
- 15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
- 08 Information and Computing Sciences
Citation
APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Matheson, J. E., & Winkler, R. L. (1976). SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS. Management Science, 22(10), 1087–1096. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.22.10.1087
Matheson, J. E., and R. L. Winkler. “SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS.” Management Science 22, no. 10 (January 1, 1976): 1087–96. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.22.10.1087.
Matheson JE, Winkler RL. SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS. Management Science. 1976 Jan 1;22(10):1087–96.
Matheson, J. E., and R. L. Winkler. “SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS.” Management Science, vol. 22, no. 10, Jan. 1976, pp. 1087–96. Scopus, doi:10.1287/mnsc.22.10.1087.
Matheson JE, Winkler RL. SCORING RULES FOR CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS. Management Science. 1976 Jan 1;22(10):1087–1096.
Published In
Management Science
DOI
ISSN
0025-1909
Publication Date
January 1, 1976
Volume
22
Issue
10
Start / End Page
1087 / 1096
Related Subject Headings
- Operations Research
- 46 Information and computing sciences
- 38 Economics
- 35 Commerce, management, tourism and services
- 15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
- 08 Information and Computing Sciences