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Shineng Hu

Assistant Professor of Physical Oceanography
Earth and Climate Sciences

Selected Publications


The role of sea surface salinity in ENSO forecasting in the 21st century

Journal Article npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · December 1, 2024 Significant strides have been made in understanding El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dynamics, yet its long-lead prediction remains challenging, especially for the El Niño events after 2000. Sea surface salinity (SSS) is known to affect ENSO development ... Full text Cite

Emission reductions during COVID-19 enhance marine heatwave over the North Pacific in spring 2020

Journal Article Climate Dynamics · December 1, 2024 Severe marine heatwave over the North Pacific was observed in spring 2020, which likely caused the record Arctic ozone loss. Here we show that this anomalous North Pacific warming is related to the emission reductions during COVID-19 which emerged in China ... Full text Cite

Correction to: Emission reductions during COVID-19 enhance marine heatwave over the North Pacific in spring 2020 (Climate Dynamics, (2024), 62, 12, (10865-10880), 10.1007/s00382-024-07426-5)

Journal Article Climate Dynamics · December 1, 2024 In this article the affiliation details for Author Yan Xia’s were incorrectly given as affiliation 1 but should have been affi.1 & affi.2. The correct affiliation is given below: 1. Faculty of Geographical Science, School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal ... Full text Cite

Persistently active El Niño-Southern Oscillation since the Mesozoic.

Journal Article Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · November 2024 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), originating in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, is a defining mode of interannual climate variability with profound impact on global climate and ecosystems. However, an understanding of how the ENSO might ... Full text Cite

The West Pacific Teleconnection Drives the Interannual Variability of Autumn Wildfire Weather in the Western United States After 2000

Journal Article Earth's Future · November 1, 2024 Wildfires pose a significant threat to human society as severe natural disasters. The western United States (US) is one hotspot that has experienced dramatic influences from autumn wildfires especially after 2000, but what has caused its year-to-year varia ... Full text Cite

Collaborative role of warm pool edge and ocean heat content in El Niño development: implications for the 1982/83 extreme El Niño

Journal Article Climate Dynamics · August 1, 2024 El Niño can cause global-scale climatic and socioeconomic impacts, but its forecast remains challenging. Ocean heat content (OHC) and warm pool eastern edge (WPE) in the equatorial Pacific are regarded as two important precursors for the development of El ... Full text Cite

Summer Westerly Wind Intensification Weakens Southern Ocean Seasonal Cycle Under Global Warming

Journal Article Geophysical Research Letters · July 28, 2024 Since the 1950s, observations and climate models show an amplification of sea surface temperature (SST) seasonal cycle in response to global warming over most of the global oceans except for the Southern Ocean (SO), however the cause remains poorly underst ... Full text Cite

A 21st century shift in the mechanisms of the early-winter United States snowfall variability

Journal Article Environmental Research Letters · July 1, 2024 Snowfall is a critical element of natural disasters to the United States (US) with strong climatic and socioeconomic influences. Meanwhile, snowfall acts as a driving force to the US water supplies for agriculture, drinking water and hydropower. However, s ... Full text Cite

Elevation-dependent warming: observations, models, and energetic mechanisms

Journal Article Weather and Climate Dynamics · May 22, 2024 Observational data and numerical models suggest that, under climate change, elevated land surfaces warm faster than non-elevated ones. Proposed drivers of this "elevation-dependent warming"(EDW) include surface albedo and water vapour feedbacks, the temper ... Full text Cite

Historical changes in wind-driven ocean circulation drive pattern of Pacific warming.

Journal Article Nature communications · February 2024 The tropical Pacific warming pattern since the 1950s exhibits two warming centers in the western Pacific (WP) and eastern Pacific (EP), encompassing an equatorial central Pacific (CP) cooling and a hemispheric asymmetry in the subtropical EP. The underlyin ... Full text Cite

Spatial and Seasonal Variations of Sea Surface Temperature Threshold for Tropical Convection

Journal Article Journal of Climate · August 1, 2023 Tropical rainfall variations are of direct societal relevance and drive climate variations worldwide via teleconnections. The convective rainfall tends to occur when sea surface temperature (SST) exceeds a threshold, SSTthr, usually taken to be constant in ... Full text Cite

Critical role of biomass burning aerosols in enhanced historical Indian Ocean warming.

Journal Article Nature communications · June 2023 The tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) has experienced enhanced surface warming relative to the tropical mean during the past century, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Here we use single-forcing, large-ensemble coupled model simulations to demonstrat ... Full text Cite

Disentangling the mechanisms of equatorial Pacific climate change.

Journal Article Science advances · May 2023 Most state-of-art models project a reduced equatorial Pacific east-west temperature gradient and a weakened Walker circulation under global warming. However, the causes of this robust projection remain elusive. Here, we devise a series of slab ocean model ... Full text Cite

Historical Changes in Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation Can Accelerate Global Warming

Journal Article Geophysical Research Letters · February 28, 2023 Mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change depend on accurate climate projections for the coming decades. While changes in radiative heat fluxes are known to contribute to surface warming, changes to ocean circulation can also impact the rate ... Full text Cite

Climate Variations in the Past 250 Million Years and Contributing Factors

Journal Article Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · February 1, 2023 We simulate climate variations in the past 250 million years (Myr), using the fully coupled Community Earth System Model version 1.2.2 (CESM1.2.2) with the Community Atmosphere Model version 4 (CAM4). Three groups of simulations are performed, each includi ... Full text Cite

An Interpretable Deep Learning ENSO Forecasting Model

Journal Article Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Research · January 1, 2023 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dominates Earth’s year-to-year climate variability and can often cause severe environmental and socioeconomic impacts globally. However, despite continuous ENSO theory and modeling advances, the global heat signature ... Full text Cite

Global Warming Pattern Formation: The Role of Ocean Heat Uptake

Journal Article Journal of Climate · March 15, 2022 This study investigates the formation mechanism of the ocean surface warming pattern in response to a doubling CO2 with a focus on the role of ocean heat uptake (or ocean surface heat flux change, ΔQnet). We demonstrate that the transient patterns of surfa ... Full text Cite

Refining El Niño projections

Journal Article Nature Climate Change · September 1, 2021 Full text Cite

Indian Ocean warming as a driver of the North Atlantic warming hole.

Journal Article Nature communications · September 2020 Over the past century, the subpolar North Atlantic experienced slight cooling or suppressed warming, relative to the background positive temperature trends, often dubbed the North Atlantic warming hole (NAWH). The causes of the NAWH remain under debate. He ... Full text Cite

Indian Ocean warming as a driver of the North Atlantic warming hole

Journal Article Nature communications · 2020 Cite

ENSO Low‐Frequency Modulation and Mean State Interactions

Journal Article El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate · 2020 Cite

North Pacific temperature and precipitation response to El Niño-like equatorial heating: sensitivity to forcing location

Journal Article Climate Dynamics · September 13, 2019 This study investigates the sensitivity of oceanic and atmospheric response in the extra-tropics, especially in the North Pacific, to the position of equatorial El Niño-like heating within a slab-ocean climate model. In a suite of numerical experiments, we ... Full text Cite

Meridional structure and future changes of tropopause height and temperature

Journal Article Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2019 Cite

Cross-equatorial winds control El Niño diversity and change

Journal Article Nature Climate Change · 2018 Cite

The physics of orographic elevated heating in radiative–convective equilibrium

Journal Article Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · 2017 Cite

The extreme El Niño of 2015–2016 and the end of global warming hiatus

Journal Article Geophysical Research Letters · 2017 Cite

Exceptionally strong easterly wind burst stalling El Niño of 2014

Journal Article Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2016 Cite