Abstract 4138220: Traditional and HIV-specific Risk Factors Are Associated with Incident Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation and Atrial Flutter among Underrepresented Racial and Ethnic Minority Groups Living with HIV

With effective antiretroviral therapy (ART), HIV can now be managed as a chronic disease. Chronic disease and cardiovascular risk factor management is especially important for underrepresented racial and ethnic minority groups (UREG). Non-valvular atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (NVAF) have not been adequately studied in UREG with HIV. Among UREG with HIV, what is the incidence of NVAF? What factors are associated with incident NVAF? To narrow an evidence gap among UREG with HIV by 1) describing the incidence of NVAF and 2) identifying factors associated with incident NVAF. This is an ancillary study of the Pathways to Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Impact of Specialty Referral in Underrepresented Racial and Ethnic Minorities with HIV (PATHWAYS) study, a retrospective population-based study of HIV care patterns among UREG with HIV. Patients without a known history of NVAF entered our study cohort at the date of their first documented HIV diagnosis. We computed the cumulative incidence of NVAF over five years of follow-up (mean 3.4, SD 1.6), handling death as a competing risk. Cox regression analysis was used to examine the univariate associations between characteristics at HIV diagnosis and incident NVAF, adjusting for site and date of HIV diagnosis. From 2015-2019, 10,945 UREG meeting entry criteria were identified. On average, patients were 67.1% male, 94.4% Black, and 8.5% Hispanic. Average CHA2DS2VASc score was 0.92 (SD 1.1) and 63.4% were on ART. Cumulative incidence of NVAF at one and five years after HIV diagnosis were 0.48% (95% CI 0.36-0.63) and 2.16% (95% CI 1.85-2.51), respectively. HIV-related factors associated with incident NVAF included baseline CD4 count <200 (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.20-2.80) and initial ART including protease inhibitors (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.14-2.13) and/or integrase strand transfer inhibitors (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.08-1.99). Additional associated factors included older age, Medicare, cardiology visit(s) in prior year, and co-morbid diseases including hypertension, hyperlipidemia, coronary and peripheral artery disease, prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease. In a large cohort of UREG living with HIV, both traditional and HIV-specific risk factors are associated with increased risk of incident NVAF. Interventions to mitigate NVAF risk in this population will require interdisciplinary, team-based approaches.

Duke Scholars

Author Gerald Bloomfield Medicine, Cardiology

Author Keith Allen Marsolo Population Health Sciences

Author Karen Chiswell