Scholars@Duke publication: Clinical, biochemical and pathological predictors of poor response to intravenous cyclophosphamide in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis.

Clinical, biochemical and pathological predictors of poor response to intravenous cyclophosphamide in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis.

Publication , Journal Article

Conlon, PJ; Fischer, CA; Levesque, MC; Smith, SR; St Clair, EW; Allen, NB; Fleming, JA; Howell, DN

Published in: Clin Nephrol

September 1996

BACKGROUND: Reports in the literature on the outcome of lupus nephritis (LN) treated with intravenous (i.v.) cyclophosphamide have varied considerably. Previous studies have suggested that less than 25% of patients with LN will progress to end stage renal failure (ESRD) after 5 years. In addition it has been reported that serum creatinine and chronic histologic changes on kidney biopsy are useful markers of renal prognosis. Whether treatment with cyclophosphamide alters the predictive value of these markers in LN patients is not clear. The aim of this study was to review our experience of treating a large cohort of patients with LN treated with i.v. cyclophosphamide and to identify biochemical and histological features at the time renal biopsy which predict outcome in these patients. DESIGN: We retrospectively reviewed our experience with 43 consecutive patients who met criteria for either World Health Organization (WHO) classification III (focal proliferative) or IV (diffuse proliferative) LN and were treated with monthly i.v. cyclophosphamide. Biochemical indices of renal function and lupus disease activity were recorded. Renal biopsies, performed within two months of commencing therapy, were reviewed by two experienced pathologists and classified according to WHO classification as well as activity and chronicity index. The primary outcome variable for the analysis was the development of ESRD. RESULTS: Patients were followed for a mean of 2 years after renal biopsy. The mean dose of cyclophosphamide received by patients was 8.3 g. One patient died during follow up and 22 (51%) progressed to ESRD. A higher serum creatinine (p = 0.003) and higher score for interstitial fibrosis (p = 0.001) were associated with shorter renal survival. There was no significant association between activity index or its components or in the total chronicity score and survival free from the need for dialysis. CONCLUSION: In our experience more than half of patients treated with i.v. cyclophosphamide for LN progress to ESRD and a high serum Cr and a high degree of interstitial fibrosis on renal biopsy before treatment are associated with a worse renal prognosis.