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Strategies for analysing ecological health data: models of the biological risk of individuals.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Manton, KG; Stallard, E; Riggan, W
Published in: Statistics in medicine
April 1982

Frequently, the analysis of environmental health hazards using ecological data does not involve explicit recognition of the difficulties in translating health effects expressed in the aggregate to the health risks of individuals. We discuss these difficulties and suggest the need for the appropriate conceptualization of risk mechanisms at the individual level and of the population processes that determine the form in which these risk mechanisms are expressed in aggregate data. To illustrate the implications of these concepts we develop a biologically motivated model of lung cancer risk and apply it to both national and county data. In addition, to measure the total health effects of the long term elevation or depression of lung cancer incidence rates, we calculate prevalence distributions from the time series analysis of incidence patterns in county data.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Statistics in medicine

DOI

EISSN

1097-0258

ISSN

0277-6715

Publication Date

April 1982

Volume

1

Issue

2

Start / End Page

163 / 181

Related Subject Headings

  • United States
  • Time Factors
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Statistics as Topic
  • Statistics & Probability
  • Smoking
  • Sex Factors
  • Risk
  • Models, Biological
  • Middle Aged
 

Citation

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Manton, K. G., Stallard, E., & Riggan, W. (1982). Strategies for analysing ecological health data: models of the biological risk of individuals. Statistics in Medicine, 1(2), 163–181. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.4780010209
Manton, K. G., E. Stallard, and W. Riggan. “Strategies for analysing ecological health data: models of the biological risk of individuals.Statistics in Medicine 1, no. 2 (April 1982): 163–81. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.4780010209.
Manton KG, Stallard E, Riggan W. Strategies for analysing ecological health data: models of the biological risk of individuals. Statistics in medicine. 1982 Apr;1(2):163–81.
Manton, K. G., et al. “Strategies for analysing ecological health data: models of the biological risk of individuals.Statistics in Medicine, vol. 1, no. 2, Apr. 1982, pp. 163–81. Epmc, doi:10.1002/sim.4780010209.
Manton KG, Stallard E, Riggan W. Strategies for analysing ecological health data: models of the biological risk of individuals. Statistics in medicine. 1982 Apr;1(2):163–181.
Journal cover image

Published In

Statistics in medicine

DOI

EISSN

1097-0258

ISSN

0277-6715

Publication Date

April 1982

Volume

1

Issue

2

Start / End Page

163 / 181

Related Subject Headings

  • United States
  • Time Factors
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Statistics as Topic
  • Statistics & Probability
  • Smoking
  • Sex Factors
  • Risk
  • Models, Biological
  • Middle Aged