Cumulative index of health disorders as an indicator of aging-associated processes in the elderly: results from analyses of the National Long Term Care Survey.

Journal Article (Journal Article)


We employ an approach based on the elaborated frailty index (FI), which is capable of taking into account variables with mild effect on the aging, health and survival outcomes, and investigate the connections between the FI, chronological age and the aging-associated outcomes in the elderly.


Cross-sectional analysis of pooled data from the National Long Term Care Survey (NLTCS) assessing health and functioning of the U.S. elderly in 1982, 1984, 1989, 1994, and 1999.


Distributions of frequency, residual life span, mortality rate, and relative risk of death are remarkably similar over age and FI. Coefficients of correlation between FI and age are low both for males (0.127, p<.01) and females (0.221, p<.01). The FI-specific age patterns show deceleration at advanced ages. The FI can provide order of magnitude better resolution in estimating mean remaining life span compared to age. Males have smaller FI than females while males' mortality risks are higher. For short-time horizons, the FI and age are largely independently associated with mortality risks.


The FI: (i) can be considered as an adequate sex-specific indicator of the aging-associated processes in the elderly, (ii) can characterize these processes independently of age, and (iii) is a better characteristic of the aging phenotype than chronological age.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Kulminski, A; Yashin, A; Arbeev, K; Akushevich, I; Ukraintseva, S; Land, K; Manton, K

Published Date

  • March 2007

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 128 / 3

Start / End Page

  • 250 - 258

PubMed ID

  • 17223183

Pubmed Central ID

  • PMC1866299

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1872-6216

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0047-6374

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1016/j.mad.2006.12.004


  • eng